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directional forecast
nashx
#1621 Posted : Monday, July 17, 2017 11:55:57 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 2/28/2014
Posts: 144
Location: Nairobi
karasinga wrote:
nashx wrote:
Update chart on KPLC smile

If you check here, 7.7 printed... was within the expected zone but having had a simple wave 2, I wont be surprised to see around 7.6 print. If and I repeat if this happens, then expect the following to be potential sell targets
target 1 = 8.55
target 2 = 9.15
target 3 = 10.1(most ambitious)
best wishes


Thank you @karasinga for the tireless work you do here.Applause Applause Applause It seems I will have to hold on to this counter further till the day it goes back to the 13s
No matter what, the broker always takes your 4.2%!!
hisah
#1622 Posted : Monday, July 17, 2017 11:59:18 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,974
July has been a sideways market. Waiting to see how the market will respond on August 9th.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
wukan
#1623 Posted : Monday, July 17, 2017 12:35:34 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 469
hisah wrote:
July has been a sideways market. Waiting to see how the market will respond on August 9th.


Sideways markets do the most damage. What is your trading strategy? Are going long or short or neutral?
Ebenyo
#1624 Posted : Monday, July 17, 2017 12:59:11 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 4/4/2016
Posts: 981
Location: Kitale
hisah wrote:
July has been a sideways market. Waiting to see how the market will respond on August 9th.



In my small opinion,i feel this bull was a worked one by MMS.On 9th august prices will fall.Whether election will be peaceful or not,the prices will come down.
Dont work for money.Let your money work for you.
winston
#1625 Posted : Monday, July 17, 2017 2:45:38 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 4/14/2010
Posts: 806
Location: Nairobi
Ebenyo wrote:
hisah wrote:
July has been a sideways market. Waiting to see how the market will respond on August 9th.



In my small opinion,i feel this bull was a worked one by MMS.On 9th august prices will fall.Whether election will be peaceful or not,the prices will come down.



Not sure...perhaps its one of those situations that require a 'double chance' bet.
lochaz-index
#1626 Posted : Monday, July 17, 2017 5:36:08 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 743
hisah wrote:
July has been a sideways market. Waiting to see how the market will respond on August 9th.

We might not have to wait that long. The sideways show could be the market's indecision before H1 results start trickling in. I still think the election will be a red herring and not much will come of it with regards to the market's direction. The recovery is very uncharacteristic to say the least...let's see if the bulls have enough in their tank to keep the party going.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
Angelica _ann
#1627 Posted : Tuesday, July 18, 2017 5:42:26 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 7,858
karasinga wrote:
sparkly wrote:
karasinga wrote:

@sparkly, are you waiting still waiting for 7.5?

Waiting to see the close for the day. Whether the bulls will regain control of lose out to the bears.

KEGN as at 1440hr 29th June
Find on the chart why I avoided this counter. Still waiting to see what comes out of it. Not yet clear

one of the most fundamental truth about financial markets is "anything can happen". If were you I would trade or is it tread carefully. might be the last leg north. best wishes


smile
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
mamilli
#1628 Posted : Tuesday, July 18, 2017 7:44:47 PM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 10/6/2015
Posts: 89
Location: nairobi kenya
Angelica _ann wrote:
karasinga wrote:
sparkly wrote:
karasinga wrote:

@sparkly, are you waiting still waiting for 7.5?

Waiting to see the close for the day. Whether the bulls will regain control of lose out to the bears.

KEGN as at 1440hr 29th June
Find on the chart why I avoided this counter. Still waiting to see what comes out of it. Not yet clear

one of the most fundamental truth about financial markets is "anything can happen". If were you I would trade or is it tread carefully. might be the last leg north. best wishes


smile


@karasinga alipotelea wapi...
its all about the cheddar....
Angelica _ann
#1629 Posted : Tuesday, July 18, 2017 8:33:18 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 7,858
mamilli wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
karasinga wrote:
sparkly wrote:
karasinga wrote:

@sparkly, are you waiting still waiting for 7.5?

Waiting to see the close for the day. Whether the bulls will regain control of lose out to the bears.

KEGN as at 1440hr 29th June
Find on the chart why I avoided this counter. Still waiting to see what comes out of it. Not yet clear

one of the most fundamental truth about financial markets is "anything can happen". If were you I would trade or is it tread carefully. might be the last leg north. best wishes


smile


@karasinga alipotelea wapi...


@sparkly et all when is the low of this coming we start buying again?
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
obiero
#1630 Posted : Tuesday, July 18, 2017 8:47:50 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 7,644
Location: nairobi
Angelica _ann wrote:
mamilli wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
karasinga wrote:
sparkly wrote:
karasinga wrote:

@sparkly, are you waiting still waiting for 7.5?

Waiting to see the close for the day. Whether the bulls will regain control of lose out to the bears.

KEGN as at 1440hr 29th June
Find on the chart why I avoided this counter. Still waiting to see what comes out of it. Not yet clear

one of the most fundamental truth about financial markets is "anything can happen". If were you I would trade or is it tread carefully. might be the last leg north. best wishes


smile


@karasinga alipotelea wapi...


@sparkly et all when is the low of this coming we start buying again?

@karasinga is well
www.winda.co.ke
Angelica _ann
#1631 Posted : Tuesday, July 25, 2017 10:21:57 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 7,858
Which is likely to be the next mbus? Kengen ama ARM?
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
bartum
#1632 Posted : Tuesday, July 25, 2017 10:25:15 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/11/2010
Posts: 956
Location: nairobi
Angelica _ann wrote:
Which is likely to be the next mbus? Kengen ama ARM?

I prefer kengen
Ebenyo
#1633 Posted : Tuesday, July 25, 2017 11:26:32 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 4/4/2016
Posts: 981
Location: Kitale
Angelica _ann wrote:
Which is likely to be the next mbus? Kengen ama ARM?




After the cash injection,Arm will perform better next year.
Dont work for money.Let your money work for you.
Mukiri
#1634 Posted : Wednesday, July 26, 2017 12:57:00 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2012
Posts: 4,583
nashx wrote:
karasinga wrote:
nashx wrote:
Update chart on KPLC smile

If you check here, 7.7 printed... was within the expected zone but having had a simple wave 2, I wont be surprised to see around 7.6 print. If and I repeat if this happens, then expect the following to be potential sell targets
target 1 = 8.55
target 2 = 9.15
target 3 = 10.1(most ambitious)
best wishes


Thank you @karasinga for the tireless work you do here.Applause Applause Applause It seems I will have to hold on to this counter further till the day it goes back to the 13s

Target 1 achievedApplause Thank you.. Onto target 2Pray
Mgaagaa na upwa hali wali mkavu!
bartum
#1635 Posted : Thursday, July 27, 2017 10:44:00 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/11/2010
Posts: 956
Location: nairobi
obiero wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
mamilli wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
karasinga wrote:
sparkly wrote:
karasinga wrote:

@sparkly, are you waiting still waiting for 7.5?

Waiting to see the close for the day. Whether the bulls will regain control of lose out to the bears.

KEGN as at 1440hr 29th June
Find on the chart why I avoided this counter. Still waiting to see what comes out of it. Not yet clear

one of the most fundamental truth about financial markets is "anything can happen". If were you I would trade or is it tread carefully. might be the last leg north. best wishes


smile


@karasinga alipotelea wapi...


@sparkly et all when is the low of this coming we start buying again?

@karasinga is well

Heavy trade at 8.10 today, we are now heading to 9.80 be prepared
Mukiri
#1636 Posted : Wednesday, August 09, 2017 2:32:19 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2012
Posts: 4,583
Mukiri wrote:
nashx wrote:
karasinga wrote:
nashx wrote:
Update chart on KPLC smile

If you check here, 7.7 printed... was within the expected zone but having had a simple wave 2, I wont be surprised to see around 7.6 print. If and I repeat if this happens, then expect the following to be potential sell targets
target 1 = 8.55
target 2 = 9.15
target 3 = 10.1(most ambitious)
best wishes


Thank you @karasinga for the tireless work you do here.Applause Applause Applause It seems I will have to hold on to this counter further till the day it goes back to the 13s

Target 1 achievedApplause Thank you.. Onto target 2Pray

Target 2 acheivedApplause with target 3 not being far-offsmile I bet if reviewed, 13 is attainable
Mgaagaa na upwa hali wali mkavu!
Mukiri
#1637 Posted : Friday, August 11, 2017 2:31:48 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2012
Posts: 4,583
Mukiri wrote:
Mukiri wrote:
nashx wrote:
karasinga wrote:
nashx wrote:
Update chart on KPLC smile

If you check here, 7.7 printed... was within the expected zone but having had a simple wave 2, I wont be surprised to see around 7.6 print. If and I repeat if this happens, then expect the following to be potential sell targets
target 1 = 8.55
target 2 = 9.15
target 3 = 10.1(most ambitious)
best wishes


Thank you @karasinga for the tireless work you do here.Applause Applause Applause It seems I will have to hold on to this counter further till the day it goes back to the 13s

Target 1 achievedApplause Thank you.. Onto target 2Pray

Target 2 acheivedApplause with target 3 not being far-offsmile I bet if reviewed, 13 is attainable

And the 'most ambitious' has been attainedApplause Pre-bear 15 I have been really waiting for you
Mgaagaa na upwa hali wali mkavu!
nashx
#1638 Posted : Friday, August 11, 2017 2:58:32 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 2/28/2014
Posts: 144
Location: Nairobi
ABP 10.17....averaged down to now negligible losses...fully in for the bull
No matter what, the broker always takes your 4.2%!!
hisah
#1639 Posted : Tuesday, August 15, 2017 3:04:50 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,974
NSE20 has flown past 3850 and smashed past 4000 handle to close at 4076. That's a 46.14% bounce from 2789 low! Are bulls getting ahead of themselves before year end Think

Testing 4000 handle is encouraging as it means the bears are heading out of town, but the current rush in prices doesn't offer a nice hunting ground for now. Sidelined. A reload window will present itself later.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
lochaz-index
#1640 Posted : Tuesday, August 15, 2017 9:06:43 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 743
hisah wrote:
NSE20 has flown past 3850 and smashed past 4000 handle to close at 4076. That's a 46.14% bounce from 2789 low! Are bulls getting ahead of themselves before year end Think

Testing 4000 handle is encouraging as it means the bears are heading out of town, but the current rush in prices doesn't offer a nice hunting ground for now. Sidelined. A reload window will present itself later.

Bulls have definitely overplayed their hand on this one. The resulting sell off should be equally brutal and unrelenting...that should catch most of the rally chasers unaware. The current recovery's pace is steeper than both the GFC and the 2011 bear(or any other previous bear) which leaves alot of questions unanswered seeing as the bull is not well founded. At this rate, a push towards 4200-4400 will come sooner rather than later but I smell a bull trap on this one. When everyone is buying into the peaceful elections narrative, the time to sell is imminent.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
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