Kaigangio wrote:Wakanyugi wrote:Kaigangio wrote:Wakanyugi wrote:2012 wrote:innairobi wrote:FRM2011 wrote:Someone sent me this and I think its worth sharing. The most dependable vote bloc (turnout) still remains Mt.Kenya.
muranga 86
kirinyaga 86
nyeri 85
nyandarua 85
kiambu 82
Bomet 81
Narok 78
Kericho 78
Kisumu 78
Nakuru 77
Kajiado 77
Nandi 76
meru 75
Bungoma 74
Uasin Gishu 74
Kakamega 74
machakos 73
Kisii 73
Nyamira 72
Nairobi 69
mombasa 57
will be interesting to see turnout when central kenya does not have a major presidential candidate as is likely to be the case in 2022.
True. I don't think Central will vote in a block of 80/20 but maybe 60/40. But Central politics are 100% about their issues eg, protection of businesses, markets, security etc. It's not about individuals.
A Ruto/Mutua ticket, with similar inroads into Coast, NEP and Western, will not need Central to win
@wakanyugi...you are very wrong...the mount kenya votes as per now is
4,382,000 votes.
This does not even include the votes from Nairobi and Nakuru regions.
Whoever inherits this block will either become a president in future or a king maker..
Nobody inherits a Central Kenya voting block.
Here leaders follow the people, not the other way round. How many times did Uhuru have to beg for support, even in Kiambu?
Voter apathy and fragmentation, especially if a credible Meru candidate emerges, is what will destroy this blocks potency.
My good friend Uhuru inherited the block from Kibaki after he was recommended by akina late wise Michuki and other elders. Michuki even said it in public.
Do you remember what happened to Uhuru in 2002...Uhuru had only been endorsed by Moi and believe me in Mt Kenya region he only got his votes from Kiambu area...that is why he lost to Kibaki.
This is an argument that only time can decide.
But think about this: both Uhuru and Kibaki were once abandoned by their own Kikuyu kin, granted for 'Mundu wa Nyumba' each time, but rejected all the same. In this election, Uhuru tried to sell a six piece narrative and was shouted down - and then followed the massacre of Independents (go figure).
Leading the Kikuyu is like herding a flock of cats. You take their loyalty for granted at your own political peril.
You made an important point in a different thread, that the one thing that gets the Kikuyu to really come out is when they feel under threat. Very true, they vote their own interest first, loyalty to a person, even their own, comes a distant second.
"The opposite of a correct statement is a false statement. But the opposite of a profound truth may well be another profound truth." (Niels Bohr)