FRM2011 wrote:washiku wrote:[quote=Tokyo]Kalonzo final campaign message " Mt Kenya to lie low like 'antelope '"
This was unfortunate. It will be used at the ground to whip emotions...Turnout might be at 95. In fact these sentiments might be what diverts RAO's last bullet from the bull's eye
@washiku, take it from me. The highest turnout this time will be less than 90%. If Kiambu achieves >85%, it will be a miracle.
It has nothing do with passion or love for their candidate. It's a voting trend reality.
This lesson was brought to me by an expert in this field.
Remember the voter registration statistics ? Which counties were leading ? Nairobi, kajiado, Machakos, Kiambu, Mombasa, Nakuru. Both in %age and absolute terms. Do you notice the common thread with these counties ?
They reflect the modern trend in urban settlements.
Finally, turnout is heavily influenced by the recency of the voter register. In 2013, register was 6 months old. This time it's 5 years old.
IEBC cleaned the register so its not what you are trying to tell usFrom the 2.3M Nairobi voters, 300K are already dead. Another 300K have settled elsewhere. Repeat that countrywide. [/quote)
Add another 100k that have moved to safer ground because of Babu's scare mongering.
And are you suggesting the 300k that moved did not register where they moved to?Love is beautiful and so are those who share it.With Love, Marriage is an amazing event in ones life time, the foundation of joy, happiness and success.