limanika wrote:
FRM2011 too quiet. People have lost money here. It was quite telling baba was noncomittal. You may still get some teargas here n there if baba doesn't say it himself
Niko mzee. This has been a learning season for me. Kwanza today I had time to attend Jubilee rally at Uhuru park. What I observed.
1. Its hard to mobilize supporters as an incumbent. 90% of those attending the rally were mobilized by the aspirants. There were very few ordinary Kenyans who just walked in like myself. Considering Uhuru commands close to 50% of all Nairobi voters.
2. Save for Sonko, Jaguar and Nixon Korir(generali), the rest of the Jubilee aspirants aren't pulling their weight. Uhuru didn't know some of the parliamentary aspirants as he was introducing them to the crowds.
3. From (1 & 2) above, the rally was poorly attended.
less than 10,000 by my estimation.
4. Shebesh and Sakaja are riding on the party popularity. But when it comes to Sonko, its almost the other way round. The party is riding on his popularity. Was standing next to a group supporting an MCA aspirant from Kangemi. They were doing their Isukuti thing. They cheered wildly when Sonko was passing. None for Sakaja.
5. Babayao - Its easy to dismiss him as a stone thrower from our air-conditioned offices. But he is an asset for Jubilee. Crowds always went wild whenever his name was mentioned. Unlike the others, he left on foot mobbed by supporters towards the road. As they joined Kenyatta avenue, there was an ugly scene as the presidential security detail cleared the road for the president.
I came out with new respect for Sonko and Korir. Serious mobilizers. Sadly, Langata is our zone. If Korir loses Langata for the 2nd time, they should nominate him.
Sonko will almost certaily take governor position. Shebesh and Sakaja will get Jubilee votes. Which means they will lose to ODM candidates.