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Market Direction with Election
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Trafalgar78
#1 Posted : Friday, July 28, 2017 11:08:26 AM
Rank: Hello

Joined: 7/28/2017
Posts: 1
What happens after August 8? Do I collect my profits for the next 1 week and then buy after the election? My average returns since January are 45%. Was thinking its time to get out but what do other investors think.

Thanks.
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bartum
#2 Posted : Friday, July 28, 2017 11:44:12 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 8/11/2010
Posts: 1,011
Location: nairobi
Trafalgar78 wrote:
What happens after August 8? Do I collect my profits for the next 1 week and then buy after the election? My average returns since January are 45%. Was thinking its time to get out but what do other investors think.

Thanks.

Will election be rigged first
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mlennyma
#3 Posted : Friday, July 28, 2017 12:34:44 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,194
Location: nairobi
bartum wrote:
Trafalgar78 wrote:
What happens after August 8? Do I collect my profits for the next 1 week and then buy after the election? My average returns since January are 45%. Was thinking its time to get out but what do other investors think.

Thanks.

Will election be rigged first

catch 22
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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winston
#4 Posted : Friday, July 28, 2017 3:57:13 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 4/14/2010
Posts: 806
Location: Nairobi
million dollar question.
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bartum
#5 Posted : Friday, July 28, 2017 4:59:58 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 8/11/2010
Posts: 1,011
Location: nairobi
winston wrote:
million dollar question.

A mganga can predict
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bird_man
#6 Posted : Friday, July 28, 2017 5:50:37 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/2/2006
Posts: 1,206
Location: Nairobi
bartum wrote:
Trafalgar78 wrote:
What happens after August 8? Do I collect my profits for the next 1 week and then buy after the election? My average returns since January are 45%. Was thinking its time to get out but what do other investors think.

Thanks.

Will election be rigged first

Of course it will be.Sell and buy after.
Formally employed people often live their employers' dream & forget about their own.
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obiero
#7 Posted : Friday, July 28, 2017 6:47:41 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,217
Location: nairobi
bird_man wrote:
bartum wrote:
Trafalgar78 wrote:
What happens after August 8? Do I collect my profits for the next 1 week and then buy after the election? My average returns since January are 45%. Was thinking its time to get out but what do other investors think.

Thanks.

Will election be rigged first

Of course it will be.Sell and buy after.

Rather stay put.. Ya election liwe liwalo. NSE isn't closing

KQ ABP 4.26
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Mukiri
#8 Posted : Saturday, July 29, 2017 1:26:45 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2012
Posts: 5,222
Investors (foreign) seem to have confidence of a positive outcome. After (peaceful) elections, prices will be at their all time high. I'm staying put. Geedy when others are fearful.

Proverbs 19:21
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sparkly
#9 Posted : Saturday, July 29, 2017 6:33:25 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
Trafalgar78 wrote:
What happens after August 8? Do I collect my profits for the next 1 week and then buy after the election? My average returns since January are 45%. Was thinking its time to get out but what do other investors think.

Thanks.


These are the potential outcomes after the election:
1. Elections are peaceful. Jubilee wins per the oponion polls - Market has factored in this possibility hence the sharp rise this year. No major change expected in market.
2. NASA wins elections are peacefull - Uncertainty on new government policies towards investments leading to a fall in market.
3. Either side wins, elections are violent - Market collapses.

In conclusion 1/3 the market doesn't change, 2/3 the market falls. You are better off taking your 45% profits.
Life is short. Live passionately.
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mlennyma
#10 Posted : Saturday, July 29, 2017 6:59:39 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,194
Location: nairobi
sparkly wrote:
Trafalgar78 wrote:
What happens after August 8? Do I collect my profits for the next 1 week and then buy after the election? My average returns since January are 45%. Was thinking its time to get out but what do other investors think.

Thanks.


These are the potential outcomes after the election:
1. Elections are peaceful. Jubilee wins per the oponion polls - Market has factored in this possibility hence the sharp rise this year. No major change expected in market.
2. NASA wins elections are peacefull - Uncertainty on new government policies towards investments leading to a fall in market.
3. Either side wins, elections are violent - Market collapses.

In conclusion 1/3 the market doesn't change, 2/3 the market falls. You are better off taking your 45% profits.

I also think take your 45% and if things are smooth sacrifice 10% of this 45% for commission and price appreciation to buy back
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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  | | Edit by user: Saturday, July 29, 2017 7:09 AM | Reason: Not specified
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