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BAT 1H17
Horton
#11 Posted : Friday, July 21, 2017 5:13:43 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 8/30/2007
Posts: 1,558
Location: Nairobi
VituVingiSana wrote:
Wow! If BAT has a biz downturn then who is safe?



No need to panic sir. Its only 10% here in this over-regulated business. Also smokers have been on the decline for a while now
mulla
#12 Posted : Friday, July 21, 2017 5:38:23 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 6/15/2013
Posts: 301
obiero wrote:
mamilli wrote:
Pesa Nane wrote:



Tax almost 50% of revenue....wonder which other blue chips can survive the "onslaught"

Tax 50% of revenue??


I think he means almost 50% of PBT...though its more like 30%..
VituVingiSana
#13 Posted : Friday, July 21, 2017 5:42:05 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,349
Location: Nairobi
Horton wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Wow! If BAT has a biz downturn then who is safe?


No need to panic sir. Its only 10% here in this over-regulated business. Also smokers have been on the decline for a while now

Natural attrition?
As a matter of principle, I am not an investor in BAT. I don't smoke and don't like it if people smoke around me. Plus I find many smokers are rather inconsiderate and drop cigarette butts anywhere and everywhere.
All that said, the biz is very well run despite the challenges over the years!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
mamilli
#14 Posted : Friday, July 21, 2017 5:55:58 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 10/6/2015
Posts: 249
Location: Nairobi
mulla wrote:
obiero wrote:
mamilli wrote:
Pesa Nane wrote:



Tax almost 50% of revenue....wonder which other blue chips can survive the "onslaught"

Tax 50% of revenue??


I think he means almost 50% of PBT...though its more like 30%..



my bad...@mulla you are right
Never lose your position in a bull market,BTFD.
Horton
#15 Posted : Friday, July 21, 2017 9:28:17 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 8/30/2007
Posts: 1,558
Location: Nairobi
VituVingiSana wrote:
Horton wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Wow! If BAT has a biz downturn then who is safe?


No need to panic sir. Its only 10% here in this over-regulated business. Also smokers have been on the decline for a while now

Natural attrition?
As a matter of principle, I am not an investor in BAT. I don't smoke and don't like it if people smoke around me. Plus I find many smokers are rather inconsiderate and drop cigarette butts anywhere and everywhere.
All that said, the biz is very well run despite the challenges over the years!


BAT is a business that doesnt have a great future people dont smoke as much as the Marlboro man (remember him?!) or Sportsman for this matter, would want them to

Was it Buffett who said โ€œWhen a management with a reputation for brilliance tackles a business with a reputation for bad economics, it is the reputation of the business that remains intact.โ€

Here is another quote for u to use on another forum: ๐Ÿ˜๐Ÿ˜๐Ÿ˜๐Ÿ˜

โ€œShould you find yourself in a chronically leaking boat, energy devoted to changing vessels is likely to be more productive than energy devoted to patching leaks.โ€ Warren Buffett
VituVingiSana
#16 Posted : Saturday, July 22, 2017 1:05:35 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,349
Location: Nairobi
Horton wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Horton wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Wow! If BAT has a biz downturn then who is safe?


No need to panic sir. Its only 10% here in this over-regulated business. Also smokers have been on the decline for a while now

Natural attrition?
As a matter of principle, I am not an investor in BAT. I don't smoke and don't like it if people smoke around me. Plus I find many smokers are rather inconsiderate and drop cigarette butts anywhere and everywhere.
All that said, the biz is very well run despite the challenges over the years!


BAT is a business that doesnt have a great future people dont smoke as much as the Marlboro man (remember him?!) or Sportsman for this matter, would want them to

Was it Buffett who said โ€œWhen a management with a reputation for brilliance tackles a business with a reputation for bad economics, it is the reputation of the business that remains intact.โ€

Here is another quote for u to use on another forum: ๐Ÿ˜๐Ÿ˜๐Ÿ˜๐Ÿ˜

โ€œShould you find yourself in a chronically leaking boat, energy devoted to changing vessels is likely to be more productive than energy devoted to patching leaks.โ€ Warren Buffett

BAT is an excellent "cigarette butt" business. I wish I had picked them up in spades at 250/- coz the dividend itself is a-awesome. That said, I hope it is dying business as far as the country's economy is concerned as health costs mount.

โ€œShould you find yourself in a chronically leaking boat, energy devoted to changing vessels is likely to be more productive than energy devoted to patching leaks.โ€ Warren Buffett >>> Now which thread would that be?
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
sparkly
#17 Posted : Saturday, July 22, 2017 7:48:06 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
VituVingiSana wrote:
Horton wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Horton wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Wow! If BAT has a biz downturn then who is safe?


No need to panic sir. Its only 10% here in this over-regulated business. Also smokers have been on the decline for a while now

Natural attrition?
As a matter of principle, I am not an investor in BAT. I don't smoke and don't like it if people smoke around me. Plus I find many smokers are rather inconsiderate and drop cigarette butts anywhere and everywhere.
All that said, the biz is very well run despite the challenges over the years!


BAT is a business that doesnt have a great future people dont smoke as much as the Marlboro man (remember him?!) or Sportsman for this matter, would want them to

Was it Buffett who said โ€œWhen a management with a reputation for brilliance tackles a business with a reputation for bad economics, it is the reputation of the business that remains intact.โ€

Here is another quote for u to use on another forum: ๐Ÿ˜๐Ÿ˜๐Ÿ˜๐Ÿ˜

โ€œShould you find yourself in a chronically leaking boat, energy devoted to changing vessels is likely to be more productive than energy devoted to patching leaks.โ€ Warren Buffett

BAT is an excellent "cigarette butt" business. I wish I had picked them up in spades at 250/- coz the dividend itself is a-awesome. That said, I hope it is dying business as far as the country's economy is concerned as health costs mount.

โ€œShould you find yourself in a chronically leaking boat, energy devoted to changing vessels is likely to be more productive than energy devoted to patching leaks.โ€ Warren Buffett >>> Now which thread would that be?


BAT relies on the export market as the Kenyan market declines. Fewer Kenyans smoke but in less stable neighbouring countries like South Sudan, Congo and Nothern Uganda, cigarettes are worshiped like a god.
Life is short. Live passionately.
lochaz-index
#18 Posted : Monday, July 24, 2017 10:32:02 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
VituVingiSana wrote:
Wow! If BAT has a biz downturn then who is safe?

The topline tanked by 10%. For a business that sells a good with 'inelastic demand' that is a disturbing development. Save for some cost cutting measures the performance would have been worse. It isn't often you see BAT suffer a downturn.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
Kausha
#19 Posted : Monday, July 24, 2017 6:48:12 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 2/8/2007
Posts: 808
lochaz-index wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Wow! If BAT has a biz downturn then who is safe?

The topline tanked by 10%. For a business that sells a good with 'inelastic demand' that is a disturbing development. Save for some cost cutting measures the performance would have been worse. It isn't often you see BAT suffer a downturn.


I use their results as a pulse of the economy in each given quarter. We appear to be entering a recessionary environment. Deflation here we come.d'oh! just my view.
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