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obiero
#841 Posted : Tuesday, July 11, 2017 9:32:50 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,213
Location: nairobi
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Ebenyo
#842 Posted : Wednesday, July 12, 2017 8:02:29 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 4/4/2016
Posts: 2,016
Location: Kitale
[quote=obiero]Palipo na moshi http://www.businessdaily...10732-46gos4/index.html[/quote]


Let panic reign so that we buy cheap.The foreigners will definitely sell in huge volumes.And i will be happy to buy cheap.
Towards the goal of financial freedom
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Ericsson
#843 Posted : Wednesday, July 12, 2017 8:08:27 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,804
Location: NAIROBI
Ebenyo wrote:
[quote=obiero]Palipo na moshi http://www.businessdaily...10732-46gos4/index.html[/quote]


Let panic reign so that we buy cheap.The foreigners will definitely sell in huge volumes.And i will be happy to buy cheap.


That's an article by Renaissance capital.The time of panic already passed and with talk that the interest rates cap may be reviewed in the next parliament.
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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winston
#844 Posted : Wednesday, July 12, 2017 4:29:15 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 4/14/2010
Posts: 806
Location: Nairobi
Assuming the theory that price reflects information available: Then is the current KCB price fully reflecting?
1) Effects from possible purchase of NBK
2) Effects of Interest rate capping
3) Effects of poor first half results
4) Election jitters

Seems to me that Simba is riding these effects well...so far.
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Ebenyo
#845 Posted : Wednesday, July 12, 2017 9:26:07 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 4/4/2016
Posts: 2,016
Location: Kitale
winston wrote:
Assuming the theory that price reflects information available: Then is the current KCB price fully reflecting?
1) Effects from possible purchase of NBK
2) Effects of Interest rate capping
3) Effects of poor first half results
4) Election jitters

Seems to me that Simba is riding these effects well...so far.


1.CMA halted the downtrend when they issued a statement denying the same.
2.The price passed this last year imediately when the new law was signed.It traded at 23-24.
3.Half year results are not yet out.Unless those traders with insider knowledge.
4.Election jitters have refused to affect results in almost all the market.Most counters are up.

Towards the goal of financial freedom
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Ericsson
#846 Posted : Thursday, July 13, 2017 7:47:48 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,804
Location: NAIROBI
[quote=obiero]Palipo na moshi http://www.businessdaily...10732-46gos4/index.html[/quote]

For now nothing can happen till after elections
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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winston
#847 Posted : Thursday, July 13, 2017 8:49:18 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 4/14/2010
Posts: 806
Location: Nairobi
Ebenyo wrote:
winston wrote:
Assuming the theory that price reflects information available: Then is the current KCB price fully reflecting?
1) Effects from possible purchase of NBK
2) Effects of Interest rate capping
3) Effects of poor first half results
4) Election jitters

Seems to me that Simba is riding these effects well...so far.


1.CMA halted the downtrend when they issued a statement denying the same.
2.The price passed this last year imediately when the new law was signed.It traded at 23-24.
3.Half year results are not yet out.Unless those traders with insider knowledge.
4.Election jitters have refused to affect results in almost all the market.Most counters are up.



Perhaps the exchange bar can help with H1 projections whose announcements should be around 1st/2nd week of August

It seems strange that Mr market is unaffected by market jitters...
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Ebenyo
#848 Posted : Thursday, July 13, 2017 9:16:29 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 4/4/2016
Posts: 2,016
Location: Kitale
winston wrote:
Ebenyo wrote:
winston wrote:
Assuming the theory that price reflects information available: Then is the current KCB price fully reflecting?
1) Effects from possible purchase of NBK
2) Effects of Interest rate capping
3) Effects of poor first half results
4) Election jitters

Seems to me that Simba is riding these effects well...so far.


1.CMA halted the downtrend when they issued a statement denying the same.
2.The price passed this last year imediately when the new law was signed.It traded at 23-24.
3.Half year results are not yet out.Unless those traders with insider knowledge.
4.Election jitters have refused to affect results in almost all the market.Most counters are up.



Perhaps the exchange bar can help with H1 projections whose announcements should be around 1st/2nd week of August

It seems strange that Mr market is unaffected by market jitters...


im also wondering why election jitters have refused to affect the market.I was waiting to pounce but have not succeeded yet.It could be a ploy by market makers.Lets see how the market behaves after election assuming its settled peacefully.
Towards the goal of financial freedom
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mamilli
#849 Posted : Thursday, July 13, 2017 9:51:57 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 10/6/2015
Posts: 249
Location: Nairobi
Ebenyo wrote:
winston wrote:
Ebenyo wrote:
winston wrote:
Assuming the theory that price reflects information available: Then is the current KCB price fully reflecting?
1) Effects from possible purchase of NBK
2) Effects of Interest rate capping
3) Effects of poor first half results
4) Election jitters

Seems to me that Simba is riding these effects well...so far.


1.CMA halted the downtrend when they issued a statement denying the same.
2.The price passed this last year imediately when the new law was signed.It traded at 23-24.
3.Half year results are not yet out.Unless those traders with insider knowledge.
4.Election jitters have refused to affect results in almost all the market.Most counters are up.



Perhaps the exchange bar can help with H1 projections whose announcements should be around 1st/2nd week of August

It seems strange that Mr market is unaffected by market jitters...


im also wondering why election jitters have refused to affect the market.I was waiting to pounce but have not succeeded yet.It could be a ploy by market makers.Lets see how the market behaves after election assuming its settled peacefully.


Hii maneno,the chiefs and elders of the forum can help....most certainly they've been through these motions before.
Never lose your position in a bull market,BTFD.
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Ebenyo
#850 Posted : Thursday, July 13, 2017 11:11:58 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 4/4/2016
Posts: 2,016
Location: Kitale
mamilli wrote:
Ebenyo wrote:
winston wrote:
Ebenyo wrote:
winston wrote:
Assuming the theory that price reflects information available: Then is the current KCB price fully reflecting?
1) Effects from possible purchase of NBK
2) Effects of Interest rate capping
3) Effects of poor first half results
4) Election jitters

Seems to me that Simba is riding these effects well...so far.


1.CMA halted the downtrend when they issued a statement denying the same.
2.The price passed this last year imediately when the new law was signed.It traded at 23-24.
3.Half year results are not yet out.Unless those traders with insider knowledge.
4.Election jitters have refused to affect results in almost all the market.Most counters are up.



Perhaps the exchange bar can help with H1 projections whose announcements should be around 1st/2nd week of August

It seems strange that Mr market is unaffected by market jitters...


im also wondering why election jitters have refused to affect the market.I was waiting to pounce but have not succeeded yet.It could be a ploy by market makers.Lets see how the market behaves after election assuming its settled peacefully.


Hii maneno,the chiefs and elders of the forum can help....most certainly they've been through these motions before.


Going back,NSE started in 1954.Kenya attained independence in 1963.There were general elections in 1962,1969,1974,1979,1983,1988,1992,1997,2002,2007,2013.
How did NSE performed shortly before and after those elections?
Out of those elections,its only 2007 that was hit with violence.
This site was probably created in 2005 or 2006? as stocks kenya? if its so,then we might have guys with clues on what happened shortly before and after 2007 and 2013.
@Vvs,@pesa nane,@obiero,@ericson might have some insight and will they probably share with the johnnie come lately like us?
According to my little knowledge gathered here,my opinion is that this thing has been caused by market makers.Because everybody was expecting the price to fall,they decided to hoodwink everyone so that they will reap shortly after elections.They decided to work the price up so that shortly after elections they sell.
Towards the goal of financial freedom
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