Wazua
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Property bubble bursts
Rank: Veteran Joined: 8/30/2007 Posts: 1,558 Location: Nairobi
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In Syokimau that was bound to happen. The aforementioned Sunset Boulevard has a pungent smell of Nyake from KMC. Think about waking up to that "fresh" smell every morning.
Glut in office will remain till past elections
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/7/2012 Posts: 11,937
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 14,318 Location: nairobi
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A housing shortage exists but the common man hasn't been factored into plans of the real estate developers.. The drop in rent is expected and long overdue COOP, IMH, KEGN, KQ, MTNU
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 14,318 Location: nairobi
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A housing shortage exists but the common man hasn't been factored into plans of the real estate developers.. The drop in rent is expected and long overdue COOP, IMH, KEGN, KQ, MTNU
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Rank: New-farer Joined: 5/29/2017 Posts: 13
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Allow me to chime in According to an article by Duncan Miriri "there were less than 25,000 mortgages in Kenya and mortgage debt made up just 3.15 percent of the GDP in 2015." Those saying that there will be a real estate bubble burst are mistaken. In Kenya the banks protect themselves very well. The only way rent prices will go down is by oversupply of homes by the government. That is not going to happen because of the ppp thing http://www.reuters.com/a...-worldbank-idUSL9N13C01R
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 14,318 Location: nairobi
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Magunia wrote:Allow me to chime in According to an article by Duncan Miriri "there were less than 25,000 mortgages in Kenya and mortgage debt made up just 3.15 percent of the GDP in 2015." Those saying that there will be a real estate bubble burst are mistaken. In Kenya the banks protect themselves very well. The only way rent prices will go down is by oversupply of homes by the government. That is not going to happen because of the ppp thing http://www.reuters.com/a...worldbank-idUSL9N13C01R The said bubble burst isn't countrywide.. And NSSF have capacity to deliver Kenyans from this economic suicide by replication of BuruBuru, Nyayo Estate etc But they would rather chase mirage of NBK shares and Hazina Towers.. This country is f×cked up! COOP, IMH, KEGN, KQ, MTNU
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Rank: Member Joined: 9/14/2011 Posts: 869 Location: nairobi
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[quote=Magunia]Allow me to chime in According to an article by Duncan Miriri " there were less than 25,000 mortgages in Kenya and mortgage debt made up just 3.15 percent of the GDP in 2015." Those saying that there will be a real estate bubble burst are mistaken. In Kenya the banks protect themselves very well. The only way rent prices will go down is by oversupply of homes by the government. That is not going to happen because of the ppp thing http://www.reuters.com/a...worldbank-idUSL9N13C01R[/quote] But i think it is wrong to just look at the number of mortgage. A good number of people finance the property purchase through personal bank loans/sacco loans etc
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 14,318 Location: nairobi
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heri wrote:[quote=Magunia]Allow me to chime in According to an article by Duncan Miriri " there were less than 25,000 mortgages in Kenya and mortgage debt made up just 3.15 percent of the GDP in 2015." Those saying that there will be a real estate bubble burst are mistaken. In Kenya the banks protect themselves very well. The only way rent prices will go down is by oversupply of homes by the government. That is not going to happen because of the ppp thing http://www.reuters.com/a...worldbank-idUSL9N13C01R[/quote] But i think it is wrong to just look at the number of mortgage. A good number of people finance the property purchase through personal bank loans/sacco loans etc For smaller houses yes, but property worth KES 6m or more, a mortgage may be necessary COOP, IMH, KEGN, KQ, MTNU
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Rank: Elder Joined: 4/22/2010 Posts: 11,522 Location: Nairobi
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obiero wrote:Magunia wrote:Allow me to chime in According to an article by Duncan Miriri "there were less than 25,000 mortgages in Kenya and mortgage debt made up just 3.15 percent of the GDP in 2015." Those saying that there will be a real estate bubble burst are mistaken. In Kenya the banks protect themselves very well. The only way rent prices will go down is by oversupply of homes by the government. That is not going to happen because of the ppp thing http://www.reuters.com/a...worldbank-idUSL9N13C01R The said bubble burst isn't countrywide.. And NSSF have capacity to deliver Kenyans from this economic suicide by replication of BuruBuru, Nyayo Estate etc But they would rather chase mirage of NBK shares and Hazina Towers.. This country is f×cked up! Ukweli.... possunt quia posse videntur
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 7/5/2010 Posts: 2,061 Location: Nairobi
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Magunia wrote:Allow me to chime in According to an article by Duncan Miriri "there were less than 25,000 mortgages in Kenya and mortgage debt made up just 3.15 percent of the GDP in 2015." Those saying that there will be a real estate bubble burst are mistaken. In Kenya the banks protect themselves very well. The only way rent prices will go down is by oversupply of homes by the government. That is not going to happen because of the ppp thing http://www.reuters.com/a...worldbank-idUSL9N13C01R
I am convinced there is creative accounting and mis-reporting going on at banks. Some of them should be quite distressed. There must be a lot of capital tied up in half-finished projects or in projects completed but with no occupancy or buyers, which means the owners are not servicing loans. These loans should be in bad debt / write-down territory now, fire sale mode. But no, everyone remains stiff lipped, probably hoping things will turn around, the turds in the books remain hidden somehow cause the fundamentals don't appear badly off, it is all hunky-dory. What if there is no turn-around in the next 5 to 10 years? How bad are the books I wonder? Will it be another Nakumatt-like scenario, a shiny edifice that is hollow inside?
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Property bubble bursts
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