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Uhuru versus Raila 2017
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Obi 1 Kanobi
#1041 Posted : Friday, June 30, 2017 5:02:33 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/23/2008
Posts: 3,017
Today's standard has the most accurate analysis using the registered voters.

Its a dead heat people, Uhuruto will be sweating for the next 40 days as they have the most to lose.
"The purpose of bureaucracy is to compensate for incompetence and lack of discipline." James Collins
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Angelica _ann
#1042 Posted : Friday, June 30, 2017 5:07:01 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,937
Obi 1 Kanobi wrote:
Today's standard has the most accurate analysis using the registered voters.

Its a dead heat people, Uhuruto will be sweating for the next 40 days as they have the most to lose.


@Obi nowadays i dont bother with these bonychestthumpers wait and see smile smile smile
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
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Realtreaty
#1043 Posted : Friday, June 30, 2017 7:54:59 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 8/16/2011
Posts: 2,389
Obi 1 Kanobi wrote:
Today's standard has the most accurate analysis using the registered voters.

Its a dead heat people, Uhuruto will be sweating for the next 40 days as they have the most to lose.


Liar Liar Liar Liar
Ati the standard?
Their stock do not have even a single thread on Wazua leave alone making a poll analysis for others.

Uhuru has just started his campaign, the last stretch will favor him as everyone read the lies in Nasa and its in-effective type /mode of Leadership.
Hope you will bring this analysis 20 days from Today when most people will have made decision.
That is their Opnion and mind you standard employees are individuals and not the paper. At the top or bottom you can read the Author.
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harrydre
#1044 Posted : Friday, June 30, 2017 8:04:24 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/10/2008
Posts: 9,131
Location: Kanjo
The bottom line will be:

1) Who has registered more since 2013
2) Campaign these last 40 days matter
3) Gains/Losses - who has gained/lost areas since 2013. Whats the net effect?
4) Turnout in August.
i.am.back!!!!
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harrydre
#1045 Posted : Friday, June 30, 2017 8:31:09 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/10/2008
Posts: 9,131
Location: Kanjo
gmg wrote:
very close to @mutahingunyi poll
47%Uhuru
39%Raila
05%Man with Coconut Head
09%Don't Care



Twitter poll is not scientific. that said, this isn't close at all.
i.am.back!!!!
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washiku
#1046 Posted : Friday, June 30, 2017 8:33:46 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/9/2007
Posts: 13,095
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Realtreaty
#1047 Posted : Friday, June 30, 2017 9:34:27 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 8/16/2011
Posts: 2,389
Njung'e wrote:
Latest IPSOS

UMK - 48%
RAO - 43%



Remember where I said Ambitho has been asked to report on progressive polls by Raila to show he is catching up? Now you can believe me. The actual tally will be Uhuru 59.4% and Raila 39%of votes.
Reason is that the poll size is too small@2000 and that Kenyan counties are not equally registered.Drool

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Lolest!
#1048 Posted : Friday, June 30, 2017 9:59:49 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/18/2011
Posts: 12,069
Location: Kianjokoma
[quote=washiku]@FRM, come look at these numbers

http://www.the-star.co.k...emain-the-same_c1588737[/quote]
That analysis assumes Raila gets exactly the same % in western. It should add Musalia's numbers to his
Laughing out loudly smile Applause d'oh! Sad Drool Liar Shame on you Pray
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Lolest!
#1049 Posted : Friday, June 30, 2017 10:09:33 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/18/2011
Posts: 12,069
Location: Kianjokoma
Nasa seems to be campaigning against Ruto than against entire Jubilee

2022 will be more interesting esp if Jubilee wins
Laughing out loudly smile Applause d'oh! Sad Drool Liar Shame on you Pray
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FRM2011
#1050 Posted : Friday, June 30, 2017 11:27:13 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 11/5/2010
Posts: 2,459
[quote=washiku]@FRM, come look at these numbers

http://www.the-star.co.k...emain-the-same_c1588737[/quote]

We did early in the morning and ignored them.

When someone says NASA will get 53% and Jubilee 28% of votes in western, you know you don't even need to bother looking at the data anymore. And the balance goes to Jirongo apparently.

For perspective this is how Uhuru fared in western in 2013.

Kakamega - 2%
Vihiga - 1%
Bungoma - 12%
Busia - 7%

Weighted average - 6%

Does anyone believe that Uhuru's support base in Western has grown 4-fold ? Kila mtu ajijazie.
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