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NASA :Whats the game plan.
Rank: Elder Joined: 7/10/2008 Posts: 9,131 Location: Kanjo
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Bigchick wrote:FRM2011 wrote:Bigchick wrote:FRM2011 wrote:
Today someone decided to tweak the numbers a bit and give Jubilee a best case scenario. A nightmare for us but this is a contest we need to be ready. So here we go.
Assumptions.
1. Uhuru will take Nairobi by 53%(He had 48% in 2013).
2. Kiambu will turnout 93% ( up from 91% in 2013).
3. Muranga, Kirinyaga, Nyeri & Nyandarua will average 94% turnout.(2013-92%)
4. Meru will vote Uhuru 92% (2013 - 90%)
5. Kisii (120,000), Machakos (80,000), Mombasa(100,000).
Top ten for Uhuru would look like this.
Kiambu - 980K
Nairobi -910K
Nakuru - 680K
Meru - 560K
Muranga -540K
Nyeri - 410K
Kirinyaga - 310K
Nyandarua - 310K
Kericho - 290K
U.Gishu - 290K
This would result in an extremely close contest with no clear winner. A run-off would have to be done.
49.4%/ 48.8%
Glad to see you are coming back to your senses.At least you can now see a run-off and the 10M strong crap is over. Please put the same for NASWAS top 10. Interesting fact. The top ten counties for Uhuru will carry around 65%-68% of his total votes. For Baba, that figure is 56 %. After the top ten, the other 37 counties will give uhuru an average of 75K-85K. For Baba, that figure is 95K-100K. In short Baba is not top heavy. His support is broad-based. See his top ten below. Nairobi Kakamega Kisumu Machakos Homabay Bungoma Siaya Kitui Makueni Kisii Apart from Nairobi(860K) and Kakamega ( 550K), the rest are below 500K votes. Be kind please. Bee specific of the NASWA figures.That below 500k is to general.It could be anything....100k to 499k. Meanwhile your simulations show that Uhuruto are only popular in 10 counties?The other 37 Joshua & Steve have an edge. Baringo, Bomet, Laikipia,Embu,Nandi na kadhalika belong to NASWA?Please go slow on whatever you are taking. FRM needs to tell us what has changed since 2013. What new votes has babu added? New voter registration shows Tano Tena registered more voters than babu. Tell us what counties babu has flipped and the numbers! i.am.back!!!!
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Rank: Chief Joined: 5/9/2007 Posts: 13,095
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Does this indicate how the printing tender case that NASA was to present today will be treated? Did they go to court by the way as promised?
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/7/2007 Posts: 11,935 Location: Nairobi
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....and Chebukati says it's one party agent per polling station. NASA may be forced to buy binoculars for the other nine per polling station for this "adopt a poll" to work  http://www.the-star.co.k...ebc-tells-nasa_c1584448
Nothing great was ever achieved without enthusiasm.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 9/21/2011 Posts: 2,032
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They should go a step further - 'if there is such violence in a particular polling station such that the police and agents of some parties or iebc officials are roughed up, evicted, etc, then results of that particular station shall be cancelled'.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/7/2007 Posts: 11,935 Location: Nairobi
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limanika wrote:They should go a step further - 'if there is such violence in a particular polling station such that the police and agents of some parties or iebc officials are roughed up, evicted, etc, then results of that particular station shall be cancelled'. CHECKMATE!!!.....is that the law? and this is for Maraga  Nothing great was ever achieved without enthusiasm.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 3/29/2011 Posts: 2,242
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Were the 10 agents to vote first and then remain in the hall as observers or they were not to vote at all? The last place for one to want to hand around is a poling station unless one is an aspirant for a seat "Things that matter most must never be at the mercy of things that matter least." Goethe
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 9/21/2011 Posts: 2,032
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washiku wrote:
Does this indicate how the printing tender case that NASA was to present today will be treated? Did they go to court by the way as promised?
And could someone pliz explain like a 2 year old exactly how printing ballots alone amounts to rigging? Am I missing something?
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/7/2007 Posts: 11,935 Location: Nairobi
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limanika wrote:[quote=washiku]
Case filed this afternoon.IEBC and Ghurair to be served. Parties to appear before court tomorrow for further directions. The judge?........... You are Right! Now, Now. Jubilee is seeking to be enjoined in the case. What's Jubilee's interest?. I think that isa stupid move especially if NASA succeeds in stopping the entire process. Nothing great was ever achieved without enthusiasm.
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Rank: Chief Joined: 5/9/2007 Posts: 13,095
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limanika wrote:washiku wrote:
Does this indicate how the printing tender case that NASA was to present today will be treated? Did they go to court by the way as promised?
And could someone pliz explain like a 2 year old exactly how printing ballots alone amounts to rigging? Am I missing something? Walisema the "compromised" company will print more ballots that will be used to rig.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 11/17/2009 Posts: 2,038 Location: GA
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Njung'e wrote:limanika wrote:[quote=washiku]
Case filed this afternoon.IEBC and Ghurair to be served. Parties to appear before court tomorrow for further directions. The judge?........... You are Right! Now, Now. Jubilee is seeking to be enjoined in the case. What's Jubilee's interest?. I think that isa stupid move especially if NASA succeeds in stopping the entire process. "The Judiciary will neither interfere with the general election nor make any decision that will see it postponed from August 8, Chief Justice David Maraga has said."
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/22/2009 Posts: 2,449 Location: Africa
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Tomorrow the courts are expected to rule on whether presidential results talleyed at the constituency level will be the final results
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/9/2009 Posts: 6,592 Location: Nairobi
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Shak wrote:Tomorrow the courts are expected to rule on whether presidential results talleyed at the constituency level will be the final results How can they be the final results? There should be a national tally.
BBI will solve it :)
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/28/2015 Posts: 9,562 Location: Rodi Kopany, Homa Bay
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Baba now warns the police a few days after giving a stern warning to the military....Those whom the gods wish to destroy makes them mad first. And #kimundu is mad. #kimuguruki http://www.the-star.co.k...toe-to-toe-with_c1584613
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/28/2015 Posts: 9,562 Location: Rodi Kopany, Homa Bay
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How does he expect to be the Commander in Chief of the armed forces while what he does everyday is to warn and threaten the officers?
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 9/21/2011 Posts: 2,032
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washiku wrote:limanika wrote:washiku wrote:
Does this indicate how the printing tender case that NASA was to present today will be treated? Did they go to court by the way as promised?
And could someone pliz explain like a 2 year old exactly how printing ballots alone amounts to rigging? Am I missing something? Walisema the "compromised" company will print more ballots that will be used to rig. Is that just speculation coz am sure there terms of reference somewherefor the printer stipulating exact number of ballots to be printed and the numbers add up? How do you argue a case based on speculation?? This one will be thrown out, and he will loose all the good will at iebc if any remains. Nobody ever wishes to be labeled untrustworthy especially when not justified, you make them lose respect 4u, thats what hes doing with iebc
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/26/2012 Posts: 15,980
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Quote:The National Super Alliance has filed its suit challenging the ballot papers tender awarded to Al Ghurair.
Justice George Odunga on Thursday directed the Opposition to serve IEBC and the Dubai-based printing firm with the suit papers.
He asked the parties to go back to court on Friday for further directions.
Jubilee Party is seeking to be enjoined as an interested party in the case. "There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/28/2015 Posts: 9,562 Location: Rodi Kopany, Homa Bay
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Interesting that this Al Ghurair has been printing ballots for all kenyan by elections since 2013, about 30 of which ODM has won, and ODM has never complained.... until now.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 11/17/2009 Posts: 1,049
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washiku wrote:
Does this indicate how the printing tender case that NASA was to present today will be treated? Did they go to court by the way as promised?
It's only a matter of time before RAO disowns him, and follow it up with a cry of 'korti bandia'. Just as absolute power corrupts leaders, so does absolute fanaticism blind the people from logic
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/9/2009 Posts: 6,592 Location: Nairobi
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I think baba's elections are stolen because it's all he dreams about, whether real or imaginary.
BBI will solve it :)
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/28/2015 Posts: 9,562 Location: Rodi Kopany, Homa Bay
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Nandwa wrote:washiku wrote:
Does this indicate how the printing tender case that NASA was to present today will be treated? Did they go to court by the way as promised?
It's only a matter of time before RAO disowns him, and follow it up with a cry of 'korti bandia'. If he disowned his "friend" Mutunga and called him korti bandia, Marangha should be next.
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NASA :Whats the game plan.
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