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Kenya Airways...why ignore..
sparkly
#7781 Posted : Sunday, June 11, 2017 1:16:52 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
omega wrote:
obiero wrote:
@ the exchange bar.. word is out; 7.8B new shares needed to cover 48B conversion of GoK and financiers debt at KES 25B & 23B, respectively.. Share price agreed between parties for purchase is KES 7.2.. Fundamentally, KQ has obtained a new lease of life. Due to this fact, National Assembly has agreed to pass the Sessional Paper 3 in Wednesday's sitting. I sit tight, noting that in stock investment you must be prepared mentally to loose everything or gain it all..


7.8B plus the current issued shares (1.5B) comes to 9.3B.

If we use a profit after tax of 3.5B (2011), which is best result that KQ has managed in the last ten years, then the EPS would be 0.38. With a generous PE of 10, it would then trade at ksh 3.8 per share.

Given the full recovery is a way off, I wouldn't be surprised if KQ traded at below ksh 2 per share.


What if we use KQ's current operating profit without finance costs?
Life is short. Live passionately.
omega
#7782 Posted : Sunday, June 11, 2017 2:16:58 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 6/9/2009
Posts: 85
sparkly wrote:
omega wrote:
obiero wrote:
@ the exchange bar.. word is out; 7.8B new shares needed to cover 48B conversion of GoK and financiers debt at KES 25B & 23B, respectively.. Share price agreed between parties for purchase is KES 7.2.. Fundamentally, KQ has obtained a new lease of life. Due to this fact, National Assembly has agreed to pass the Sessional Paper 3 in Wednesday's sitting. I sit tight, noting that in stock investment you must be prepared mentally to loose everything or gain it all..


7.8B plus the current issued shares (1.5B) comes to 9.3B.

If we use a profit after tax of 3.5B (2011), which is best result that KQ has managed in the last ten years, then the EPS would be 0.38. With a generous PE of 10, it would then trade at ksh 3.8 per share.

Given the full recovery is a way off, I wouldn't be surprised if KQ traded at below ksh 2 per share.


What if we use KQ's current operating profit without finance costs?


That would be a disaster as 2017 operating profit was 897 M. That's an EPS of .096 (.897/9.3).

I am being generous with 2011 financial results.
obiero
#7783 Posted : Sunday, June 11, 2017 2:32:28 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,798
Location: nairobi
omega wrote:
sparkly wrote:
omega wrote:
obiero wrote:
@ the exchange bar.. word is out; 7.8B new shares needed to cover 48B conversion of GoK and financiers debt at KES 25B & 23B, respectively.. Share price agreed between parties for purchase is KES 7.2.. Fundamentally, KQ has obtained a new lease of life. Due to this fact, National Assembly has agreed to pass the Sessional Paper 3 in Wednesday's sitting. I sit tight, noting that in stock investment you must be prepared mentally to loose everything or gain it all..


7.8B plus the current issued shares (1.5B) comes to 9.3B.

If we use a profit after tax of 3.5B (2011), which is best result that KQ has managed in the last ten years, then the EPS would be 0.38. With a generous PE of 10, it would then trade at ksh 3.8 per share.

Given the full recovery is a way off, I wouldn't be surprised if KQ traded at below ksh 2 per share.


What if we use KQ's current operating profit without finance costs?


That would be a disaster as 2017 operating profit was 897 M. That's an EPS of .096 (.897/9.3).

I am being generous with 2011 financial results.

At the end as per the cautionary announcement, we only need to wait and see.. No one truly knows where the dice will land. For KQ to have traded at a high of KES 7.7 with a loss position and negative working capital, shows higher promise in the firm's future than most people believe

COOP 255,000 ABP 15.85; IMH 5,000 ABP 35.55; KQ 604,200 ABP 6.96; MTN 23,800 ABP 5.20
muandiwambeu
#7784 Posted : Sunday, June 11, 2017 3:39:43 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/28/2015
Posts: 1,247
omega wrote:
obiero wrote:
@ the exchange bar.. word is out; 7.8B new shares needed to cover 48B conversion of GoK and financiers debt at KES 25B & 23B, respectively.. Share price agreed between parties for purchase is KES 7.2.. Fundamentally, KQ has obtained a new lease of life. Due to this fact, National Assembly has agreed to pass the Sessional Paper 3 in Wednesday's sitting. I sit tight, noting that in stock investment you must be prepared mentally to loose everything or gain it all..


7.8B plus the current issued shares (1.5B) comes to 9.3B.

If we use a profit after tax of 3.5B (2011), which is best result that KQ has managed in the last ten years, then the EPS would be 0.38. With a generous PE of 10, it would then trade at ksh 3.8 per share.

Given the full recovery is a way off, I wouldn't be surprised if KQ traded at below ksh 2 per share.

Even God's would be wrong to let all these prophecies of a tumbili KQ not come true. Fundamentally, we can not be wrong too now.
,Behold, a sower went forth to sow;....
tandich
#7785 Posted : Sunday, June 11, 2017 10:58:45 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 5/6/2008
Posts: 199
tandich wrote:
Where can one obtain the Sessional Paper mentioned in the Business Daily article?


Anyone?
Ericsson
#7786 Posted : Monday, June 12, 2017 1:46:16 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,779
Location: NAIROBI
tandich wrote:
tandich wrote:
Where can one obtain the Sessional Paper mentioned in the Business Daily article?


Anyone?


According to the 2015-2016 annual report Co-op bank was biggest lenders. Kcb had refused to extend payment of short term lending.

Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
sparkly
#7787 Posted : Monday, June 12, 2017 8:14:56 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
tandich wrote:
tandich wrote:
Where can one obtain the Sessional Paper mentioned in the Business Daily article?


Anyone?


1. Treasury
2. Cabinet
3. The reporter who published the story
Life is short. Live passionately.
Spikes
#7788 Posted : Monday, June 12, 2017 10:18:40 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
@Obiero you were busy calling Wazuans deragotory names .You refuted calls for early exit.Now the lightening has struck your only darling at NSE leaving your pocket badly maimed. I guess you have been forced to scamper for safety and to avoid being a laughing stock you have pulled down portfolio signature footnotes to avert persistent derision. Pole brother. Umekubali kufa kiume.
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
Spikes
#7789 Posted : Monday, June 12, 2017 10:25:42 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
As KQ nosedives into the red sea speculators are held captive just a tip of the tail visible far distant
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
Angelica _ann
#7790 Posted : Monday, June 12, 2017 10:26:07 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,924
sparkly wrote:
tandich wrote:
tandich wrote:
Where can one obtain the Sessional Paper mentioned in the Business Daily article?


Anyone?


1. Treasury
2. Cabinet
3. The reporter who published the story


Government Printers smile
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
obiero
#7791 Posted : Monday, June 12, 2017 10:46:26 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,798
Location: nairobi
Spikes wrote:
@Obiero you were busy calling Wazuans deragotory names .You refuted calls for early exit.Now the lightening has struck your only darling at NSE leaving your pocket badly maimed. I guess you have been forced to scamper for safety and to avoid being a laughing stock you have pulled down portfolio signature footnotes to avert persistent derision. Pole brother. Umekubali kufa kiume.

Haha.. Tuko area clown.. These are the market forces on slim trades

COOP 255,000 ABP 15.85; IMH 5,000 ABP 35.55; KQ 604,200 ABP 6.96; MTN 23,800 ABP 5.20
Spikes
#7792 Posted : Monday, June 12, 2017 10:49:44 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
obiero wrote:
Spikes wrote:
@Obiero you were busy calling Wazuans deragotory names .You refuted calls for early exit.Now the lightening has struck your only darling at NSE leaving your pocket badly maimed. I guess you have been forced to scamper for safety and to avoid being a laughing stock you have pulled down portfolio signature footnotes to avert persistent derision. Pole brother. Umekubali kufa kiume.

Haha.. Tuko area clown.. These are the market forces on slim trades

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
You mean you haven't developed loose stool as we expect tempo of heading south to increase at the end of the week?
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
obiero
#7793 Posted : Monday, June 12, 2017 10:55:35 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,798
Location: nairobi
Spikes wrote:
obiero wrote:
Spikes wrote:
@Obiero you were busy calling Wazuans deragotory names .You refuted calls for early exit.Now the lightening has struck your only darling at NSE leaving your pocket badly maimed. I guess you have been forced to scamper for safety and to avoid being a laughing stock you have pulled down portfolio signature footnotes to avert persistent derision. Pole brother. Umekubali kufa kiume.

Haha.. Tuko area clown.. These are the market forces on slim trades

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
You mean you haven't developed loose stool as we expect tempo of heading south to increase at the end of the week?

Hehe. It's quite firm.. These are temporary pull backs but I do have a stop loss figure

COOP 255,000 ABP 15.85; IMH 5,000 ABP 35.55; KQ 604,200 ABP 6.96; MTN 23,800 ABP 5.20
sparkly
#7794 Posted : Monday, June 12, 2017 1:19:31 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
obiero wrote:
Spikes wrote:
obiero wrote:
Spikes wrote:
@Obiero you were busy calling Wazuans deragotory names .You refuted calls for early exit.Now the lightening has struck your only darling at NSE leaving your pocket badly maimed. I guess you have been forced to scamper for safety and to avoid being a laughing stock you have pulled down portfolio signature footnotes to avert persistent derision. Pole brother. Umekubali kufa kiume.

Haha.. Tuko area clown.. These are the market forces on slim trades

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
You mean you haven't developed loose stool as we expect tempo of heading south to increase at the end of the week?

Hehe. It's quite firm.. These are temporary pull backs but I do have a stop loss figure


Hahaha the blue section is the only source of entertainment in Wazua these days Laughing out loudly
Life is short. Live passionately.
Impunity
#7795 Posted : Monday, June 12, 2017 1:30:52 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 3/2/2009
Posts: 26,330
Location: Masada
I wish I sold this thing on the week Mikosz landed in Kenya.
How Saad...so locked in ad infitum.
Portfolio: Sold
You know you've made it when you get a parking space for your yatcht.

Impunity
#7796 Posted : Monday, June 12, 2017 1:35:24 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 3/2/2009
Posts: 26,330
Location: Masada
sparkly wrote:
obiero wrote:
Spikes wrote:
obiero wrote:
Spikes wrote:
@Obiero you were busy calling Wazuans deragotory names .You refuted calls for early exit.Now the lightening has struck your only darling at NSE leaving your pocket badly maimed. I guess you have been forced to scamper for safety and to avoid being a laughing stock you have pulled down portfolio signature footnotes to avert persistent derision. Pole brother. Umekubali kufa kiume.

Haha.. Tuko area clown.. These are the market forces on slim trades

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
You mean you haven't developed loose stool as we expect tempo of heading south to increase at the end of the week?

Hehe. It's quite firm.. These are temporary pull backs but I do have a stop loss figure


Hahaha the blue section is the only source of entertainment in Wazua these days Laughing out loudly


Me thinks he had developed hard stool due to persistent constipation.
Portfolio: Sold
You know you've made it when you get a parking space for your yatcht.

obiero
#7797 Posted : Monday, June 12, 2017 2:22:30 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,798
Location: nairobi
Impunity wrote:
sparkly wrote:
obiero wrote:
Spikes wrote:
obiero wrote:
Spikes wrote:
@Obiero you were busy calling Wazuans deragotory names .You refuted calls for early exit.Now the lightening has struck your only darling at NSE leaving your pocket badly maimed. I guess you have been forced to scamper for safety and to avoid being a laughing stock you have pulled down portfolio signature footnotes to avert persistent derision. Pole brother. Umekubali kufa kiume.

Haha.. Tuko area clown.. These are the market forces on slim trades

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
You mean you haven't developed loose stool as we expect tempo of heading south to increase at the end of the week?

Hehe. It's quite firm.. These are temporary pull backs but I do have a stop loss figure


Hahaha the blue section is the only source of entertainment in Wazua these days Laughing out loudly


Me thinks he had developed hard stool due to persistent constipation.

Haha. Msikonde wenzangu.. Hii ndio inaitwa soko la hisa. We know exactly how this thing will end.. Buy now or forever keep your peace, but only if you know when to jump ship. Long termers are on the money

COOP 255,000 ABP 15.85; IMH 5,000 ABP 35.55; KQ 604,200 ABP 6.96; MTN 23,800 ABP 5.20
actuarywahisa
#7798 Posted : Monday, June 12, 2017 2:48:39 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 5/21/2014
Posts: 184
Triple pain....

1. Debt restructuring
2. Injection of fresh capital required
3. outcome might not reflect the effort as there are many external factors at play.
There are too many opportunities all around. Open your eyes and maybe you'll spot one
xxxxx
#7799 Posted : Monday, June 12, 2017 4:15:07 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/20/2008
Posts: 503
obiero wrote:

Haha. Msikonde wenzangu.. Hii ndio inaitwa soko la hisa. We know exactly how this thing will end.. Buy now or forever keep your peace, but only if you know when to jump ship. Long termers are on the money



When a management with a reputation for brilliance tackles a business with a reputation for bad economics, it is the reputation of the business that remains intact.

With KQ, the above quote is right on point.
Ebenyo
#7800 Posted : Monday, June 12, 2017 4:39:11 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 4/4/2016
Posts: 1,997
Location: Kitale
im a buyer at kshs 2 and below.someone reminds me pliz when it reaches their so that i dont miss.
Towards the goal of financial freedom
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