2012 wrote:FRM2011 wrote:2012 wrote:Bigchick wrote:kaka2za wrote:Bigchick wrote:According to Tuko.co. There is a company(Straw Poll) that predicted Donald Trumps win.They have given Uhuruto a 60% win.Sample used 82k participants.
@FROM2011 any comment?
I saw Tuko...and stopped reading right there!
Fair enough.Ignore Tuko.
There is another one by African Electoral Observation Group on citizen digital.UK 51.7% and NASWA 39%
Awaiting your comments.
@FRM2011 and NASA are awaiting for Angela Ambito's company Inftrack to do the only 'credible' poll...
We don't pay much attention to the pollsters. You may have noticed none of our principals commented on the IPSOS poll.
We analyze these numbers every day. And like I keep saying, we are happy with what the numbers are telling us.This time around, Jubilee's best case scenario on 8/8/2017, is to deny us a 50%+1.
You've just confirmed why baba loses elections. His numbers are imagined and not scientific. Imaginary numbers will give you whatever result you want.
'You' should probably start paying attention to some pollsters, not all but some. Baba's biggest weapon in previous years was the crowds he could pull for the cameras but that's not working this time because the 'duo' are drawing huge crowds as well, not just in rallies but also by the road sides.
Rallies will mislead you. In the Kericho, malindi and homabay by-elections we almost thought the main party would be upstaged in their own stronghold. Now we know better.
Do you know any credible pollsters ? Ipsos ? Infotrak ? Tifa ? In the last elections consumer insight almost messed up their reputation with the opinion polling. This time around they are staying away.
All the three musketeers above gave Kabogo a landslide victory in Kiambu. Lowest gave him 53%.
Our numbers are very simple to generate. Uhuru got 5.3% of votes in Makueni in 2013. We go down to the specific polling stations. In sultan hamud, Salama or Emali towns, we know its the diaspora votes. So when we put Uhuru at < 3% in Makueni, its not sampling. Its the actual votes.