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NASA :Whats the game plan.
Rank: Elder Joined: 11/5/2010 Posts: 2,459
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Uhuruto heads to Kisii, Nyamira, Kakamega, Transzoia, Bungoma and Uasin-Gishu.
I have just seen the full itinerary and all I can say is wow ! Its back-to-back campaigns in six counties. Poor Uhuru.
Its not random stops. They are specifically targeted at the areas where there still is a chance of a few votes.
In Kisii and Nyamira, Jubilee must get >30%. In 2013, they had 27%. Nyaribari chache, Nyaribari masaba, South/north Mugirango were unbelievably generous to Jubilee in 2013. They have since crossed over to NASA. And where did Omingo magara go to ? Sam Nyamweya and charles Nyachae ? Seriously ?
Trans-nzoia is an interesting one. Jubilee holds sway only in cheragany. Kipruto arap Kirwa might just mess these few votes. Add the mess in handling maize. They had 37% last time. Any slight drop and its game-shot.
Let me explain something here. In all our possible simulations, Jubilee is struggling to force a run-off. Forget winning in round-1. The highest %age I have seen is 48.2%.
The next five days are basically a do-or-die affair.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 11/25/2011 Posts: 2,103 Location: Nrb
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While I was away,MC mutated to FRM? Ningojee naleta Koolaid I am happy
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Rank: Elder Joined: 11/25/2011 Posts: 2,103 Location: Nrb
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While I was away,@MC mutated to FRM? Ningojee naleta Koolaid I am happy
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Rank: Elder Joined: 11/25/2011 Posts: 2,103 Location: Nrb
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harrydre wrote:Angelica _ann wrote:Kaleos will vote 98% Jubilee that is obvious. Remember the tall order wakina Bett, the Koskeys, that former ODM Executive Director Magarer went through in the last elections and still didn't make inroads. You can imagine now that WSR is DPORK. There are no guys who are good at organizing night meetings and mobilization to a man like them (Kaleo)!!!!! Nice to see youth shouting Jubilee at #NASA without violence. That is the way to go  Is this alai or his chic? lol  I am happy
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 11/9/2009 Posts: 2,003
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FRM2011 wrote:
Uhuruto heads to Kisii, Nyamira, Kakamega, Transzoia, Bungoma and Uasin-Gishu.
I have just seen the full itinerary and all I can say is wow ! Its back-to-back campaigns in six counties. Poor Uhuru.
Its not random stops. They are specifically targeted at the areas where there still is a chance of a few votes.
In Kisii and Nyamira, Jubilee must get >30%. In 2013, they had 27%. Nyaribari chache, Nyaribari masaba, South/north Mugirango were unbelievably generous to Jubilee in 2013. They have since crossed over to NASA. And where did Omingo magara go to ? Sam Nyamweya and charles Nyachae ? Seriously ?
Trans-nzoia is an interesting one. Jubilee holds sway only in cheragany. Kipruto arap Kirwa might just mess these few votes. Add the mess in handling maize. They had 37% last time. Any slight drop and its game-shot.
Let me explain something here. In all our possible simulations, Jubilee is struggling to force a run-off. Forget winning in round-1. The highest %age I have seen is 48.2%.
The next five days are basically a do-or-die affair.
Knowing Joshua's absence of clarity of mind, if this is the stories you guys are feeding him, you are the only winner I can see in all my simulations
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 3/27/2009 Posts: 1,437
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Fyatu wrote:LONG POST ALERT...This is what i have observed from NASA campaigns
Mganga joshua gets to speak first like....he quickly does that silly dance and then mdomo baggy adjusts the microphone...
Mganga a.k.a. ki mumdu(insert kuyo accent)
HaYa Haya Haya...vijana hoyee...kumepambauka(insert Bupamba ascent here) and then asks wananchi if they have seen the 90 bob unga or laptops or roads or electricity..after his 15 minutes are over, he has not said anything tangible e.g., he does not sell his sera or manifesto etc...but once in a while claims credit to Kibaki's projects (We all know he, Kalonzo and the rest left NARC in 2004 but Kazi ya Baks bado iliendelea)
Next comes in Kalonzo...(silly dance again...mdomo baggy adjusts the microphone according to height) and Kalinzo goes..
Nasa hoye...Vijana hoyee. He then goes on and on about his political journey post-2002 and how he has sacrificed a lot for us Kenyans(Okuyos included). He also drops DP Ruto's name here and there...10 minutes later he has not mention what NASA intends to do differently from Jubilee
Then comes in Weta the guy who sold Tokyo embassy and received a 15k bribe from BAT..same routine with dance and microphone
Nasa hoye!...Nasa hoye!...Weta spends his five minutes telling wananchi that they are hungry and that Wananchi in Nyeri are also hungry because of Jubilee and how for the past four years Kenya has stagnated...again DP ruto name is dropped...still no sera
Enter Ma-dvd the cabinet-secretary-prime-minister
Ma-dvd violently shouts NASA hawa...NASA hawa. He drops Ruto's name and castigates civil servants for one imaginary offense or another. He then calls for youth to turn in large numbers and send Jubilee home asubuhi na mapema...its now 40 minutes into the rally and no one has mentioned any sera. Wananchi can be seen walking up and down in the stadium/field/venue...Shouts of Joho! Joho! Joho! are relentless and Orengo the MC calls Joho to the podium
Enter Joho the dumb (D for dump) juvenile baboon a.k.a 001. A different song other than mambo ya badilika is played...sana sana kamatia chini...It is worth noting at this point that this ratchet pea-brained governor attained grade D in Swahili which happens to be his mother tongue...but i digress
Joho shouts tibiim! then goes and on chest thumping about his new achieved status of being enemy number one of H.E. Uhuru and Ruto. He calls Ruto his friend and thief in one sentence. Wananchi are estatic. He immedietly drifts and starts speaking about complex issues(i.e., to his pebble head) like SGR, cost of Unga....agriculture and how jubilee has deliberately inflated costs or have deliberately ensured Kenyan farmers don't succeed etc...wananchi get bored and on comes the next speaker....still no manifesto but importantly Joho in his address subtly patronizes Kalonzo by mentioning Kalonzo's name whenever he mentions Bupamba's name..
Enter Kivutha kibwana
Nasa tibbim!If the rally is in Kapsabet (Wa - NAndi hoyee!) If the rally is in Kakamega (Wa baluhya hoyee!)...if the rally is is Kiambu (Wa Kikuyu hoyee!)...The moment this old man starts calling another oldman baba that becomes a deal breaker...The good professor having sunk so low(by calling his age mate baba) just like previous speaker does not speak of any sera
I have not mentioned the other cabinet-secretary-deputy-prime-minister....the short guy from Bomet and his shouts of theft and poverty and pesa...it is by design  You might be unfortunate to have met the fool. He is what Kibaki would call mavi ya kuku for lack of a more civil epithet.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/8/2013 Posts: 4,068 Location: At Large.
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FRM2011 wrote:
Uhuruto heads to Kisii, Nyamira, Kakamega, Transzoia, Bungoma and Uasin-Gishu.
I have just seen the full itinerary and all I can say is wow ! Its back-to-back campaigns in six counties. Poor Uhuru.
Its not random stops. They are specifically targeted at the areas where there still is a chance of a few votes.
In Kisii and Nyamira, Jubilee must get >30%. In 2013, they had 27%. Nyaribari chache, Nyaribari masaba, South/north Mugirango were unbelievably generous to Jubilee in 2013. They have since crossed over to NASA. And where did Omingo magara go to ? Sam Nyamweya and charles Nyachae ? Seriously ?
Trans-nzoia is an interesting one. Jubilee holds sway only in cheragany. Kipruto arap Kirwa might just mess these few votes. Add the mess in handling maize. They had 37% last time. Any slight drop and its game-shot.
Let me explain something here. In all our possible simulations, Jubilee is struggling to force a run-off. Forget winning in round-1. The highest %age I have seen is 48.2%.
The next five days are basically a do-or-die affair.
Remember to post the mbishas here. Love is beautiful and so are those who share it.With Love, Marriage is an amazing event in ones life time, the foundation of joy, happiness and success.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 3/18/2011 Posts: 12,069 Location: Kianjokoma
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Amores wrote:harrydre wrote:Angelica _ann wrote:Kaleos will vote 98% Jubilee that is obvious. Remember the tall order wakina Bett, the Koskeys, that former ODM Executive Director Magarer went through in the last elections and still didn't make inroads. You can imagine now that WSR is DPORK. There are no guys who are good at organizing night meetings and mobilization to a man like them (Kaleo)!!!!! Nice to see youth shouting Jubilee at #NASA without violence. That is the way to go Is this alai or his chic? lol
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 1/20/2011 Posts: 1,820 Location: Nakuru
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Iganamagana wrote:Fyatu wrote:LONG POST ALERT...This is what i have observed from NASA campaigns
Mganga joshua gets to speak first like....he quickly does that silly dance and then mdomo baggy adjusts the microphone...
Mganga a.k.a. ki mumdu(insert kuyo accent)
HaYa Haya Haya...vijana hoyee...kumepambauka(insert Bupamba ascent here) and then asks wananchi if they have seen the 90 bob unga or laptops or roads or electricity..after his 15 minutes are over, he has not said anything tangible e.g., he does not sell his sera or manifesto etc...but once in a while claims credit to Kibaki's projects (We all know he, Kalonzo and the rest left NARC in 2004 but Kazi ya Baks bado iliendelea)
Next comes in Kalonzo...(silly dance again...mdomo baggy adjusts the microphone according to height) and Kalinzo goes..
Nasa hoye...Vijana hoyee. He then goes on and on about his political journey post-2002 and how he has sacrificed a lot for us Kenyans(Okuyos included). He also drops DP Ruto's name here and there...10 minutes later he has not mention what NASA intends to do differently from Jubilee
Then comes in Weta the guy who sold Tokyo embassy and received a 15k bribe from BAT..same routine with dance and microphone
Nasa hoye!...Nasa hoye!...Weta spends his five minutes telling wananchi that they are hungry and that Wananchi in Nyeri are also hungry because of Jubilee and how for the past four years Kenya has stagnated...again DP ruto name is dropped...still no sera
Enter Ma-dvd the cabinet-secretary-prime-minister
Ma-dvd violently shouts NASA hawa...NASA hawa. He drops Ruto's name and castigates civil servants for one imaginary offense or another. He then calls for youth to turn in large numbers and send Jubilee home asubuhi na mapema...its now 40 minutes into the rally and no one has mentioned any sera. Wananchi can be seen walking up and down in the stadium/field/venue...Shouts of Joho! Joho! Joho! are relentless and Orengo the MC calls Joho to the podium
Enter Joho the dumb (D for dump) juvenile baboon a.k.a 001. A different song other than mambo ya badilika is played...sana sana kamatia chini...It is worth noting at this point that this ratchet pea-brained governor attained grade D in Swahili which happens to be his mother tongue...but i digress
Joho shouts tibiim! then goes and on chest thumping about his new achieved status of being enemy number one of H.E. Uhuru and Ruto. He calls Ruto his friend and thief in one sentence. Wananchi are estatic. He immedietly drifts and starts speaking about complex issues(i.e., to his pebble head) like SGR, cost of Unga....agriculture and how jubilee has deliberately inflated costs or have deliberately ensured Kenyan farmers don't succeed etc...wananchi get bored and on comes the next speaker....still no manifesto but importantly Joho in his address subtly patronizes Kalonzo by mentioning Kalonzo's name whenever he mentions Bupamba's name..
Enter Kivutha kibwana
Nasa tibbim!If the rally is in Kapsabet (Wa - NAndi hoyee!) If the rally is in Kakamega (Wa baluhya hoyee!)...if the rally is is Kiambu (Wa Kikuyu hoyee!)...The moment this old man starts calling another oldman baba that becomes a deal breaker...The good professor having sunk so low(by calling his age mate baba) just like previous speaker does not speak of any sera
I have not mentioned the other cabinet-secretary-deputy-prime-minister....the short guy from Bomet and his shouts of theft and poverty and pesa...it is by design You might be unfortunate to have met the fool. He is what Kibaki would call mavi ya kuku for lack of a more civil epithet. One of the major daily papers has a headline that the people of Machakos were fed with stories of sacrifices instead of NASA's Sera/Manifesto/agenda for the nation. The platform was also used to endorse wavinya. Clearly Mganga Joshua has no game plan Dumb money becomes dumb only when it listens to smart money
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Rank: Elder Joined: 11/5/2010 Posts: 2,459
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Good morning everyone. Its 60 days to the election. Mine is an appeal to Jubilee supporters specifically those like me from the house of mumbi.
We are getting worried. Most of us might have missed @masukuma's post about possible hotspots should NASA win.
Please please please, help us to manage expectations.
Open an excel sheet. List the 47 counties like @harrydre did. Use turnout figures for 2013 or whatever you think is realistic. You can use the voting trends in 2013 as a guide or decide for yourself how different counties will vote. Try as many what-if scenarios as possible.
Then look at the figures. Don't share with us. Talk to your folks upcountry. Let them be ready for the inevitable.
Should you need any raw data, drop an e-mail.
And why are our people in Eldoret getting into a face-off with Mandago ? I was going through the Uasin-gishu county forum FB page and the comments are taking an ugly tribal angle.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/8/2013 Posts: 4,068 Location: At Large.
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FRM2011 wrote:
Good morning everyone. Its 60 days to the election. Mine is an appeal to Jubilee supporters specifically those like me from the house of mumbi.
We are getting worried. Most of us might have missed @masukuma's post about possible hotspots should NASA win.
Please please please, help us to manage expectations.
Open an excel sheet. List the 47 counties like @harrydre did. Use turnout figures for 2013 or whatever you think is realistic. You can use the voting trends in 2013 as a guide or decide for yourself how different counties will vote. Try as many what-if scenarios as possible.
Then look at the figures. Don't share with us. Talk to your folks upcountry. Let them be ready for the inevitable.
Should you need any raw data, drop an e-mail.
And why are our people in Eldoret getting into a face-off with Mandago ? I was going through the Uasin-gishu county forum FB page and the comments are taking an ugly tribal angle.
What makes you think we do not have it? As you work on yours so are we and the picture is quite good.Actually what we want is a win that even Babu Joshua will be ashamed trying to take to the Supreme Court. As usual we await the final cleaned raw data of registered voters.So far mine tells me we are dealing with a 53.5%(9.1M) win for Jubilee Vs 43.5%(7.9) loss for NASWA.An absolute figures margin of 1.2M.We want to push this to 2M absolute figures and percentage to 58%-60%. Love is beautiful and so are those who share it.With Love, Marriage is an amazing event in ones life time, the foundation of joy, happiness and success.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 11/14/2006 Posts: 1,311
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FRM2011 wrote:
Good morning everyone. Its 60 days to the election. Mine is an appeal to Jubilee supporters specifically those like me from the house of mumbi.
We are getting worried. Most of us might have missed @masukuma's post about possible hotspots should NASA win.
Please please please, help us to manage expectations.
Open an excel sheet. List the 47 counties like @harrydre did. Use turnout figures for 2013 or whatever you think is realistic. You can use the voting trends in 2013 as a guide or decide for yourself how different counties will vote. Try as many what-if scenarios as possible.
Then look at the figures. Don't share with us. Talk to your folks upcountry. Let them be ready for the inevitable.
Should you need any raw data, drop an e-mail.
And why are our people in Eldoret getting into a face-off with Mandago ? I was going through the Uasin-gishu county forum FB page and the comments are taking an ugly tribal angle.
And what are you doing to manage your own expectations?
At this rate you might have to be admitted somewhere on 9/8/2017....lol
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 10/8/2008 Posts: 1,575
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Liv wrote:FRM2011 wrote:
Good morning everyone. Its 60 days to the election. Mine is an appeal to Jubilee supporters specifically those like me from the house of mumbi.
We are getting worried. Most of us might have missed @masukuma's post about possible hotspots should NASA win.
Please please please, help us to manage expectations.
Open an excel sheet. List the 47 counties like @harrydre did. Use turnout figures for 2013 or whatever you think is realistic. You can use the voting trends in 2013 as a guide or decide for yourself how different counties will vote. Try as many what-if scenarios as possible.
Then look at the figures. Don't share with us. Talk to your folks upcountry. Let them be ready for the inevitable.
Should you need any raw data, drop an e-mail.
And why are our people in Eldoret getting into a face-off with Mandago ? I was going through the Uasin-gishu county forum FB page and the comments are taking an ugly tribal angle.
And what are you doing to manage your own expectations?
At this rate you might have to be admitted somewhere on 9/8/2017....lol
if i get 1.5k today, i'll pay nhif. i am sorted I care!
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 10/29/2008 Posts: 1,566
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Wa wa wa wa! One man army putting on a brave face! Isuni yilu yi maa me muyo - ni Mbisuu
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 11/17/2009 Posts: 2,038 Location: GA
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Angelica _ann wrote:From where i sit, i think the NASA guys have started their campaigns too early, message fatigue on the voter will set in soon!!!!! Whoever is doing their events hafanyi kazi mbaya in 2013 they were doing T-Shirts only alafu instead of issuing them for free walikuwa wanauza
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Rank: Elder Joined: 3/18/2011 Posts: 12,069 Location: Kianjokoma
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Ngalaka wrote:Wa wa wa wa!
One man army putting on a brave face! Uasin Gishu NASWAd too. Mandago amesema kama hapigiwi kura na Centrolites naye Uhuru asahau zao. tigg togg!
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 11/17/2009 Posts: 2,038 Location: GA
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Lolest! wrote:Ngalaka wrote:Wa wa wa wa!
One man army putting on a brave face! Uasin Gishu NASWAd too. Mandago amesema kama hapigiwi kura na Centrolites naye Uhuru asahau zao. tigg togg! Rutos word ni final huko if henry na sally kosgey could not tilt the scales in 2013 sioni mandago akifaulu.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 10/29/2008 Posts: 1,566
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Nasa held a rally in Machakos yesterday 5.6.2017. Who has details of crowd response. Isuni yilu yi maa me muyo - ni Mbisuu
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/8/2013 Posts: 4,068 Location: At Large.
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Ngalaka wrote:Nasa held a rally in Machakos yesterday 5.6.2017.
Who has details of crowd response. Heard on Radio crowd ululating when asked by Joshua if "Mtu wa sinema na sarakasi"should go. My ex told them its time to fagia hata governor wao. Love is beautiful and so are those who share it.With Love, Marriage is an amazing event in ones life time, the foundation of joy, happiness and success.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 11/14/2006 Posts: 1,311
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thuks wrote:Liv wrote:FRM2011 wrote:
Good morning everyone. Its 60 days to the election. Mine is an appeal to Jubilee supporters specifically those like me from the house of mumbi.
We are getting worried. Most of us might have missed @masukuma's post about possible hotspots should NASA win.
Please please please, help us to manage expectations.
Open an excel sheet. List the 47 counties like @harrydre did. Use turnout figures for 2013 or whatever you think is realistic. You can use the voting trends in 2013 as a guide or decide for yourself how different counties will vote. Try as many what-if scenarios as possible.
Then look at the figures. Don't share with us. Talk to your folks upcountry. Let them be ready for the inevitable.
Should you need any raw data, drop an e-mail.
And why are our people in Eldoret getting into a face-off with Mandago ? I was going through the Uasin-gishu county forum FB page and the comments are taking an ugly tribal angle.
And what are you doing to manage your own expectations?
At this rate you might have to be admitted somewhere on 9/8/2017....lol
if i get 1.5k today, i'll pay nhif. i am sorted Good strategy.... Someone here needs to do that to ensure he doesn't get admitted at Lee xxxxxx home.
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