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NASA :Whats the game plan.
Rank: Elder Joined: 10/4/2006 Posts: 13,823 Location: Nairobi
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Lolest! wrote:masukuma wrote:my concerns is 'ni wapi kitaumana Jubilee ikishindwa?' my top 5 places are
1) Kabianga areas of south rift and possibly (but not sure - Transmara areas)
2) Kericho and anywhere west of that as you head towards the lake victoria basin
3) North of that as we head towards borders of the mulembe people and Kaleos 4.Kibra 5.Mathare 6.Huruma hizo ni skirmishes  All Mushrooms are edible! Some Mushroom are only edible ONCE!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 11/5/2010 Posts: 2,459
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harrydre wrote:FRM this is for you for free. This is how it will go down. 2% margin of error.
Kiambu - registered votes 1,173,594
Votes cast 1,168,511
Jubilee -1,051,622
Nasa-110,341
Others-5,379
Rest-spoilt votes
Nakuru - registered votes 948,668
Votes cast- 945,259
Jubilee -871,135
Nasa- 69,233
Others-4,211
Rest-spoilt votes
Meru - registered votes 712,378
Votes cast- 709,321
Jubilee- 784,729
Nasa-21,354
Others-2,122
Rest-spoilt votes
Murang'a -registered votes 590,775
Votes cast- 589,769
Jubilee -578,379
Nasa-5,873
Others -3,067
Rest-spoilt votes
Nyeri -registered votes 460,806
Votes cast- 459,673
Jubilee -450,653
Nasa-5,388
Others -2,854
Rest-spoilt votes
Uasin Gishu - registered votes 451,485
Votes cast- 450,977
Jubilee - 439,958
Nasa-6,378
Others- 2,543
Rest-spoilt votes
Kericho - registered votes 379,815
Votes cast- 379,513
Jubilee- 368,726
Nasa-5,766
Others -3,011
Rest-spoilt votes
Kirinyaga - registered votes 315,162
Votes cast- 314,928
Jubilee - 305,897
Nasa - 6,122
Others-1,943
Rest-spoilt votes
Nandi - registered votes 349,340
Votes cast- 348,988
Jubilee -345,338
Nasa-2,097
Others-1,259
Rest-spoilt votes
Nyandarua -registered votes 336,322
Votes cast- 334,157
Jubilee -330,997
Nasa-2,567
Others -1,824
Rest-spoilt votes
Embu - registered votes 315,162
Votes cast-314,111
Jubilee -303,143
Nasa- 7,059
Others-3,112
Rest-spoilt votes
Laikipia -registered votes 239,497
Votes cast-238,113
Jubilee-209,978
Nasa-25,765
Others -3,456
Rest-spoilt votes
Baringo-registered votes 227,918
Votes cast-193,876
Jubilee -188,974
Nasa-1,654
Other-2,534
Rest-spoilt votes
Tharaka - registered votes 216,522
Votes cast- 205,936
Jubilee -203,998
Nasa-598
Others - 873
Rest-spoilt votes
Pokot -registered votes 178,989
Votes cast-167,544
Jubilee -127,547
Nasa-38,765
Others -3,959
Rest-spoilt votes
Marakwet - registered votes 178,975
Votes cast-175,876
Jubilee -150,152
Nasa-20,971
Others - 3,743
Rest-spoilt votes
Mandera - registered votes 168,478
Votes cast -160,978
Jubilee -156,727
Nasa-576
Others -3,972
Rest-spoilt votes
Isiolo -registered votes 72,548
Votes cast -68,973
Jubilee -59,973
Nasa-2,874
Others -4,751
Rest-spoilt votes
Nairobi -registered votes 2,304,386
Votes cast- 2,298,179
Jubilee - 1,432,657
Nasa-854,764
Others -1,098
Rest-spoilt votes
Kajiado - registered votes 409,266
Votes cast -405,659
Jubilee -278,998
Nasa-120,754
Others-4,979
Rest-spoilt votes
Garissa - registered votes 162,486
Votes cast -161,972
Jubilee - 130,586
Nasa- 24,598
0thers-6,008
Rest-spoilt votes
Wajir - registered votes 155,916
Votes cast-150,099
Jubilee -120,077
Nasa-23,326
Others -6,967
Rest-spoilt votes
Marsabit - registered votes 143,541
Votes cast- 141,958
Jubilee -111,845
Nasa-20,749
Others -8,123
Rest-spoilt votes
Samburu - registered votes 79,477
Votes cast- 77,922
Jubilee -55,978
Nasa-20,741
Others -1,179
Rest-spoilt votes
Bomet - registered votes 325,606
Votes cast- 323,995
Jubilee -313,745
Nasa -10,975
Others -1,097
Rest-spoilt votes
Lamu - registered votes 70,224
Votes cast - 67,978
Jubilee-43,098
Nasa -23,321
Others -1,075
Rest-spoilt votes
Nzoia - registered votes 339,832
Votes cast -337,341
Jubilee -293,579
Nasa-43,873
Others -997
Rest-spoilt votes
Kakamega - registered votes 746,877
Votes cast 694,043
Jubilee -141,098
Nasa-540,789
Others-5,789
Rest-spoilt votes
Machakos - registered votes 627,168
Votes cast - 615,754
Jubilee -155,783
Nasa-453,856
Others -7,584
Rest-spoilt votes
Mombasa - registered votes 596,485
Votes cast - 557,893
Jubilee - 173,989
Nasa-379,834
Other-3,548
Rest-spoilt votes
Bungoma - registered votes 559,897
Votes cast -537,723
Jubilee -35,732
Nasa-498,644
Others -2,078
Rest-spoilt votes
Kisumu - registered votes 548,868
Votes cast -503,548
Jubilee -1,008
Nasa- 501,978
Others -798
Rest-spoilt votes
Kilifi - registered votes 510,484
Votes cast -498,749
Jubilee -99,589
Nasa-395,654
Others-2,784
Rest-spoilt votes
Kitui - registered votes 477,655
Votes cast -437,987
Jubilee -57,853
Nasa-337,534
Others -1,073
Rest-spoilt votes
Homa Bay - registered votes 476,150
Votes cast 445,754
Jubilee -1,098
Nasa-443,967
Others -523
Rest-spoilt votes
Siaya - registered votes 447,745
Votes cast 439,876
Jubilee -998
Nasa-438,365
Others-432
Rest-spoilt votes
Makueni - registered votes 421,180
Votes cast 415,538
Jubilee -49,743
Nasa-364,653
Others -1,298
Rest-spoilt votes
Migori - registered votes 388,967
Votes cast 354,794
Jubilee -1,008
Nasa -352,989
Others -607
Rest-spoilt votes
Busia - registered votes 347,911
Votes cast -328,798
Jubilee -18,459
Nasa -309,575
Others -1,074
Rest-spoilt votes
Kwale - registered votes 282,436
Votes cast 268,953
Jubilee -117,975
Nasa-151,754
Others -1,074
Rest-spoilt votes
Vihiga - registered votes 267,481
Votes cast -255,654
Jubilee -65,476
Nasa-189,644
Others-1,098
Rest-spoilt votes
Taita - registered votes 155,904
Votes cast - 145,786
Jubilee -35,567
Nasa-107,754
Others -2,007
Rest-spoilt votes
Tana River - registered votes 178, 189
Votes cast- 254,543
Jubilee -97,154
Nasa-150,175
Others -3,564
Rest-spoilt votes
Narok - registered votes 347, 427
Votes cast - 343,997
Jubilee -239,654
Nasa-101,435
Others -2,108
Rest-spoilt votes
Nyamira - registered votes 279,685
Votes cast 253,648
Jubilee -65,647
Nasa-183,986
Others -3,654
Rest-spoilt votes
Turkana - registered votes 188,617
Votes cast -173,654
Jubilee -60,754
Nasa-124,653
Others -3,067
Rest-spoilt votes
Kisii - registered votes 544,753
Votes cast -533,579
Jubilee -98,537
Nasa-432,644
Others -2,089
Rest-spoilt votes
Total
Jubilee:- 11,225,601
-58.183% +/- 2%
Nasa:-7,936,366
- 41.133% +/-2
Others:-132,386
-0.686% +/-0.2%
Spoilt volts:- 0.008% +/- 0.002% Guys are laughing here. You know where you put crazy assumptions. 99.87% turnout ?? Can see you also gave Jubilee an extra 8 counties which they lost in 2013. But am sure you can amend the formulae on your excel sheet and watch as the tragedy unfolds. Anyway, thumbs up. Facts are stubborn things.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/7/2012 Posts: 11,941
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Crazy turnout for Jubilee areas ..... whah now we know what is in the offing  In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/3/2008 Posts: 4,058 Location: Gwitu
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Well,Well so someone expects 19M Kenyans to turn up to vote. That would be a magical increase of 58% from 2013. Truth forever on the scaffold
Wrong forever on the throne
(James Russell Rowell)
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/7/2012 Posts: 11,941
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kaka2za wrote:Well,Well so someone expects 19M Kenyans to turn up to vote. That would be a magical increase of 58% from 2013. Those are emotional figures. Like Migori because Kuria East and West, Jubilee will get 20k plus votes In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 1/20/2011 Posts: 1,822 Location: Nakuru
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LONG POST ALERT...This is what i have observed from NASA campaigns Mganga joshua gets to speak first like....he quickly does that silly dance and then mdomo baggy adjusts the microphone...Mganga a.k.a. ki mumdu(insert kuyo accent) HaYa Haya Haya...vijana hoyee...kumepambauka(insert Bupamba ascent here) and then asks wananchi if they have seen the 90 bob unga or laptops or roads or electricity..after his 15 minutes are over, he has not said anything tangible e.g., he does not sell his sera or manifesto etc...but once in a while claims credit to Kibaki's projects (We all know he, Kalonzo and the rest left NARC in 2004 but Kazi ya Baks bado iliendelea) Next comes in Kalonzo...(silly dance again...mdomo baggy adjusts the microphone according to height) and Kalinzo goes..Nasa hoye...Vijana hoyee. He then goes on and on about his political journey post-2002 and how he has sacrificed a lot for us Kenyans(Okuyos included). He also drops DP Ruto's name here and there...10 minutes later he has not mention what NASA intends to do differently from Jubilee Then comes in Weta the guy who sold Tokyo embassy and received a 15k bribe from BAT..same routine with dance and microphoneNasa hoye!...Nasa hoye!...Weta spends his five minutes telling wananchi that they are hungry and that Wananchi in Nyeri are also hungry because of Jubilee and how for the past four years Kenya has stagnated...again DP ruto name is dropped...still no sera Enter Ma-dvd the cabinet-secretary-prime-ministerMa-dvd violently shouts NASA hawa...NASA hawa. He drops Ruto's name and castigates civil servants for one imaginary offense or another. He then calls for youth to turn in large numbers and send Jubilee home asubuhi na mapema...its now 40 minutes into the rally and no one has mentioned any sera. Wananchi can be seen walking up and down in the stadium/field/venue...Shouts of Joho! Joho! Joho! are relentless and Orengo the MC calls Joho to the podium Enter Joho the dumb (D for dump) juvenile baboon a.k.a 001. A different song other than mambo ya badilika is played...sana sana kamatia chini...It is worth noting at this point that this ratchet pea-brained governor attained grade D in Swahili which happens to be his mother tongue...but i digress Joho shouts tibiim! then goes and on chest thumping about his new achieved status of being enemy number one of H.E. Uhuru and Ruto. He calls Ruto his friend and thief in one sentence. Wananchi are estatic. He immedietly drifts and starts speaking about complex issues(i.e., to his pebble head) like SGR, cost of Unga....agriculture and how jubilee has deliberately inflated costs or have deliberately ensured Kenyan farmers don't succeed etc...wananchi get bored and on comes the next speaker....still no manifesto but importantly Joho in his address subtly patronizes Kalonzo by mentioning Kalonzo's name whenever he mentions Bupamba's name.. Enter Kivutha kibwanaNasa tibbim!If the rally is in Kapsabet (Wa - NAndi hoyee!) If the rally is in Kakamega (Wa baluhya hoyee!)...if the rally is is Kiambu (Wa Kikuyu hoyee!)...The moment this old man starts calling another oldman baba that becomes a deal breaker...The good professor having sunk so low(by calling his age mate baba) just like previous speaker does not speak of any sera I have not mentioned the other cabinet-secretary-deputy-prime-minister....the short guy from Bomet and his shouts of theft and poverty and pesa...it is by design Dumb money becomes dumb only when it listens to smart money
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Rank: Elder Joined: 11/5/2010 Posts: 2,459
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Angelica _ann wrote:kaka2za wrote:Well,Well so someone expects 19M Kenyans to turn up to vote. That would be a magical increase of 58% from 2013. Those are emotional figures. Like Migori because Kuria East and West, Jubilee will get 20k plus votes In our projections, we gave jubilee 38,000 for Kuria west and east. We are generous like that. @harrydre, this is a humble appeal to you as a patriot and nationalist. Please help us to manage the expectations from uthamakistanis. We are really getting worried coz no one is preparing them for what is coming. Go back to your excel sheet. Use the updated registration numbers. Use the actual 2013 turnout. You know muranga-94%, Nyeri-93% e.t.c. Then apportion the votes using actual voting trends for 2013. E.g. For Muranga, Uhuru-97%, Rao-1%. The figure at the bottom of your excel sheet will be depressing. Let me add salt to the wound. The voting trend will change marginally in our favour in Kisii, Nyamira, Meru, Tharaka and Bomet. We analyze about 8 vernacular radio stations from jubilee zones every day. They are psyched for a win that caan't happen. Please prepare your supporters psychologically.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 3/29/2011 Posts: 2,242
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harrydre wrote:FRM this is for you for free. This is how it will go down. 2% margin of error.
Kiambu - registered votes 1,173,594
Votes cast 1,168,511
Jubilee -1,051,622
Nasa-110,341
Others-5,379
Rest-spoilt votes
Nakuru - registered votes 948,668
Votes cast- 945,259
Jubilee -871,135
Nasa- 69,233
Others-4,211
Rest-spoilt votes
Meru - registered votes 712,378
Votes cast- 709,321
Jubilee- 784,729
Nasa-21,354
Others-2,122
Rest-spoilt votes
Murang'a -registered votes 590,775
Votes cast- 589,769
Jubilee -578,379
Nasa-5,873
Others -3,067
Rest-spoilt votes
Nyeri -registered votes 460,806
Votes cast- 459,673
Jubilee -450,653
Nasa-5,388
Others -2,854
Rest-spoilt votes
Uasin Gishu - registered votes 451,485
Votes cast- 450,977
Jubilee - 439,958
Nasa-6,378
Others- 2,543
Rest-spoilt votes
Kericho - registered votes 379,815
Votes cast- 379,513
Jubilee- 368,726
Nasa-5,766
Others -3,011
Rest-spoilt votes
Kirinyaga - registered votes 315,162
Votes cast- 314,928
Jubilee - 305,897
Nasa - 6,122
Others-1,943
Rest-spoilt votes
Nandi - registered votes 349,340
Votes cast- 348,988
Jubilee -345,338
Nasa-2,097
Others-1,259
Rest-spoilt votes
Nyandarua -registered votes 336,322
Votes cast- 334,157
Jubilee -330,997
Nasa-2,567
Others -1,824
Rest-spoilt votes
Embu - registered votes 315,162
Votes cast-314,111
Jubilee -303,143
Nasa- 7,059
Others-3,112
Rest-spoilt votes
Laikipia -registered votes 239,497
Votes cast-238,113
Jubilee-209,978
Nasa-25,765
Others -3,456
Rest-spoilt votes
Baringo-registered votes 227,918
Votes cast-193,876
Jubilee -188,974
Nasa-1,654
Other-2,534
Rest-spoilt votes
Tharaka - registered votes 216,522
Votes cast- 205,936
Jubilee -203,998
Nasa-598
Others - 873
Rest-spoilt votes
Pokot -registered votes 178,989
Votes cast-167,544
Jubilee -127,547
Nasa-38,765
Others -3,959
Rest-spoilt votes
Marakwet - registered votes 178,975
Votes cast-175,876
Jubilee -150,152
Nasa-20,971
Others - 3,743
Rest-spoilt votes
Mandera - registered votes 168,478
Votes cast -160,978
Jubilee -156,727
Nasa-576
Others -3,972
Rest-spoilt votes
Isiolo -registered votes 72,548
Votes cast -68,973
Jubilee -59,973
Nasa-2,874
Others -4,751
Rest-spoilt votes
Nairobi -registered votes 2,304,386
Votes cast- 2,298,179
Jubilee - 1,432,657
Nasa-854,764
Others -1,098
Rest-spoilt votes
Kajiado - registered votes 409,266
Votes cast -405,659
Jubilee -278,998
Nasa-120,754
Others-4,979
Rest-spoilt votes
Garissa - registered votes 162,486
Votes cast -161,972
Jubilee - 130,586
Nasa- 24,598
0thers-6,008
Rest-spoilt votes
Wajir - registered votes 155,916
Votes cast-150,099
Jubilee -120,077
Nasa-23,326
Others -6,967
Rest-spoilt votes
Marsabit - registered votes 143,541
Votes cast- 141,958
Jubilee -111,845
Nasa-20,749
Others -8,123
Rest-spoilt votes
Samburu - registered votes 79,477
Votes cast- 77,922
Jubilee -55,978
Nasa-20,741
Others -1,179
Rest-spoilt votes
Bomet - registered votes 325,606
Votes cast- 323,995
Jubilee -313,745
Nasa -10,975
Others -1,097
Rest-spoilt votes
Lamu - registered votes 70,224
Votes cast - 67,978
Jubilee-43,098
Nasa -23,321
Others -1,075
Rest-spoilt votes
Nzoia - registered votes 339,832
Votes cast -337,341
Jubilee -293,579
Nasa-43,873
Others -997
Rest-spoilt votes
Kakamega - registered votes 746,877
Votes cast 694,043
Jubilee -141,098
Nasa-540,789
Others-5,789
Rest-spoilt votes
Machakos - registered votes 627,168
Votes cast - 615,754
Jubilee -155,783
Nasa-453,856
Others -7,584
Rest-spoilt votes
Mombasa - registered votes 596,485
Votes cast - 557,893
Jubilee - 173,989
Nasa-379,834
Other-3,548
Rest-spoilt votes
Bungoma - registered votes 559,897
Votes cast -537,723
Jubilee -35,732
Nasa-498,644
Others -2,078
Rest-spoilt votes
Kisumu - registered votes 548,868
Votes cast -503,548
Jubilee -1,008
Nasa- 501,978
Others -798
Rest-spoilt votes
Kilifi - registered votes 510,484
Votes cast -498,749
Jubilee -99,589
Nasa-395,654
Others-2,784
Rest-spoilt votes
Kitui - registered votes 477,655
Votes cast -437,987
Jubilee -57,853
Nasa-337,534
Others -1,073
Rest-spoilt votes
Homa Bay - registered votes 476,150
Votes cast 445,754
Jubilee -1,098
Nasa-443,967
Others -523
Rest-spoilt votes
Siaya - registered votes 447,745
Votes cast 439,876
Jubilee -998
Nasa-438,365
Others-432
Rest-spoilt votes
Makueni - registered votes 421,180
Votes cast 415,538
Jubilee -49,743
Nasa-364,653
Others -1,298
Rest-spoilt votes
Migori - registered votes 388,967
Votes cast 354,794
Jubilee -1,008
Nasa -352,989
Others -607
Rest-spoilt votes
Busia - registered votes 347,911
Votes cast -328,798
Jubilee -18,459
Nasa -309,575
Others -1,074
Rest-spoilt votes
Kwale - registered votes 282,436
Votes cast 268,953
Jubilee -117,975
Nasa-151,754
Others -1,074
Rest-spoilt votes
Vihiga - registered votes 267,481
Votes cast -255,654
Jubilee -65,476
Nasa-189,644
Others-1,098
Rest-spoilt votes
Taita - registered votes 155,904
Votes cast - 145,786
Jubilee -35,567
Nasa-107,754
Others -2,007
Rest-spoilt votes
Tana River - registered votes 178, 189
Votes cast- 254,543
Jubilee -97,154
Nasa-150,175
Others -3,564
Rest-spoilt votes
Narok - registered votes 347, 427
Votes cast - 343,997
Jubilee -239,654
Nasa-101,435
Others -2,108
Rest-spoilt votes
Nyamira - registered votes 279,685
Votes cast 253,648
Jubilee -65,647
Nasa-183,986
Others -3,654
Rest-spoilt votes
Turkana - registered votes 188,617
Votes cast -173,654
Jubilee -60,754
Nasa-124,653
Others -3,067
Rest-spoilt votes
Kisii - registered votes 544,753
Votes cast -533,579
Jubilee -98,537
Nasa-432,644
Others -2,089
Rest-spoilt votes
Total
Jubilee:- 11,225,601
-58.183% +/- 2%
Nasa:-7,936,366
- 41.133% +/-2
Others:-132,386
-0.686% +/-0.2%
Spoilt volts:- 0.008% +/- 0.002% @harrydre, Your turn-out is quite high, second only to South Sudan referendum when they turned up at 99%. "Things that matter most must never be at the mercy of things that matter least." Goethe
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Rank: Elder Joined: 11/5/2010 Posts: 2,459
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Someone has forwarded these timeless lyrics from Bob Marley. Natural mystic.
"There's a natural mystic blowing through the air
If you listen carefully now you will hear.
This could be the first trumpet , might as well be the last
Many more will have to suffer ,
Many more will have to die .
don't ask me why.
Things are not the way they used to be ,
I won't tell no lie
One and all have to face reality now.
Though I've tried to find the answer to all the questions they ask.
Though I know it's impossible to go living through the past -
Don't tell no lie.
There's a natural mystic blowing through the air -
Can't keep them down -
If you listen carefully now you will hear.
There's a natural mystic blowing through the air.
If you listen carefully....you will hear.
Bob Marley
Natural Mystic
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/3/2008 Posts: 4,058 Location: Gwitu
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FRM2011 wrote:
Someone has forwarded these timeless lyrics from Bob Marley. Natural mystic.
"There's a natural mystic blowing through the air
If you listen carefully now you will hear.
This could be the first trumpet , might as well be the last
Many more will have to suffer ,
Many more will have to die .
don't ask me why.
Things are not the way they used to be ,
I won't tell no lie
One and all have to face reality now.
Though I've tried to find the answer to all the questions they ask.
Though I know it's impossible to go living through the past -
Don't tell no lie.
There's a natural mystic blowing through the air -
Can't keep them down -
If you listen carefully now you will hear.
There's a natural mystic blowing through the air.
If you listen carefully....you will hear.
Bob Marley
Natural Mystic
Got to have your kaya now,Kaya Kaya! Truth forever on the scaffold
Wrong forever on the throne
(James Russell Rowell)
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NASA :Whats the game plan.
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