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NASA :Whats the game plan.
Rank: Elder Joined: 3/18/2011 Posts: 12,069 Location: Kianjokoma
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masukuma wrote:my concerns is 'ni wapi kitaumana Jubilee ikishindwa?' my top 5 places are
1) Kabianga areas of south rift and possibly (but not sure - Transmara areas)
2) Kericho and anywhere west of that as you head towards the lake victoria basin
3) North of that as we head towards borders of the mulembe people and Kaleos 4.Kibra 5.Mathare 6.Huruma
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/8/2013 Posts: 4,068 Location: At Large.
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Lolest! wrote:FRM2011 wrote:Angelica _ann wrote:Kaleos will vote 98% Jubilee that is obvious. Remember the tall order wakina Bett, the Koskeys, that former ODM Executive Director Magarer went through in the last elections and still didn't make inroads. You can imagine now that WSR is DPORK. There are no guys who are good at organizing night meetings and mobilization to a man like them (Kaleo)!!!!! Nice to see youth shouting Jubilee at #NASA without violence. That is the way to go  Wish you had time to look at the IEBC report on the 2013 election. Its a 700 pg document. Contains voting data down to the polling stations. Some of us have extracted that data and broken it down. We have seen trends that a casual observer wouldn't notice. Did you know Rao did significantly well (>20%) in 2 out of 8 Kalenjin counties ? And dismally in counties where the kingpins you have mentioned above hail from ? When you look at the individual polling stations, you start seeing very interesting trends. Luckily for you, the data analysts at Jubilee HQ have looked at the trends as well. And it terrifies the hell out of them. Just for your sake, I hope NASA wins. I don't want to imagine what would happen if they don't Gotten words out of my mouth. We had McReggae here in 2013 with tick tock and ground shiffting seriously in the Rift.Till the day of reconning came. I still await the final cleaned register. Love is beautiful and so are those who share it.With Love, Marriage is an amazing event in ones life time, the foundation of joy, happiness and success.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 11/5/2010 Posts: 2,459
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Lolest! wrote:masukuma wrote:my concerns is 'ni wapi kitaumana Jubilee ikishindwa?' my top 5 places are
1) Kabianga areas of south rift and possibly (but not sure - Transmara areas)
2) Kericho and anywhere west of that as you head towards the lake victoria basin
3) North of that as we head towards borders of the mulembe people and Kaleos 4.Kibra
5.Mathare
6.Huruma These are NASA zones. There will be wild celebrations. No threat of violence.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 11/5/2010 Posts: 2,459
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Bigchick wrote:Lolest! wrote:FRM2011 wrote:Angelica _ann wrote:Kaleos will vote 98% Jubilee that is obvious. Remember the tall order wakina Bett, the Koskeys, that former ODM Executive Director Magarer went through in the last elections and still didn't make inroads. You can imagine now that WSR is DPORK. There are no guys who are good at organizing night meetings and mobilization to a man like them (Kaleo)!!!!! Nice to see youth shouting Jubilee at #NASA without violence. That is the way to go Wish you had time to look at the IEBC report on the 2013 election. Its a 700 pg document. Contains voting data down to the polling stations. Some of us have extracted that data and broken it down. We have seen trends that a casual observer wouldn't notice. Did you know Rao did significantly well (>20%) in 2 out of 8 Kalenjin counties ? And dismally in counties where the kingpins you have mentioned above hail from ? When you look at the individual polling stations, you start seeing very interesting trends. Luckily for you, the data analysts at Jubilee HQ have looked at the trends as well. And it terrifies the hell out of them. Just for your sake, I hope NASA wins. I don't want to imagine what would happen if they don't Gotten words out of my mouth. We had McReggae here in 2013 with tick tock and ground shiffting seriously in the Rift.Till the day of reconning came. I still await the final cleaned register. Its not just about winning. It goes deeper. The "why". Please watch the ted talk i suggested. Simon Sinek. I am a father of two young kids. Both girls. Yesterday we sent m-pesa to support Boniface Mwangi's campaign in starehe. When they come of age, they will ask me what I did to make their country better. Their great-grandfather served 7 years in Manyani. Their grandfather was at the epic FORD rally in Kamukunji in 1990. I want them to remember that their dad stood on the right side of history. I know all this philosophical stuff sounds strange. For you its simply voting for the guy with whom you share a mother-tongue.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/7/2012 Posts: 11,929
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From where i sit, i think the NASA guys have started their campaigns too early, message fatigue on the voter will set in soon!!!!! In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 3/27/2009 Posts: 1,437
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Lolest! wrote:FRM2011 wrote:Angelica _ann wrote:Kaleos will vote 98% Jubilee that is obvious. Remember the tall order wakina Bett, the Koskeys, that former ODM Executive Director Magarer went through in the last elections and still didn't make inroads. You can imagine now that WSR is DPORK. There are no guys who are good at organizing night meetings and mobilization to a man like them (Kaleo)!!!!! Nice to see youth shouting Jubilee at #NASA without violence. That is the way to go Wish you had time to look at the IEBC report on the 2013 election. Its a 700 pg document. Contains voting data down to the polling stations. Some of us have extracted that data and broken it down. We have seen trends that a casual observer wouldn't notice. Did you know Rao did significantly well (>20%) in 2 out of 8 Kalenjin counties ? And dismally in counties where the kingpins you have mentioned above hail from ? When you look at the individual polling stations, you start seeing very interesting trends. Luckily for you, the data analysts at Jubilee HQ have looked at the trends as well. And it terrifies the hell out of them. Just for your sake, I hope NASA wins. I don't want to imagine what would happen if they don't It might be prudent to put this guy (FRM2011)on a suicide watch list.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 11/17/2009 Posts: 1,049
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FRM2011 wrote:
Jubilee chants in Kapsabet. Yes, of course. We got 15% votes in Nandi in 2013. Jubilee had 85%. Can't tell you our target for this year but that's why we had to go there.
There is low voter turnout in Western. A myth. Here are the numbers.
Vihiga - turnout (83%)
Rao - 46%
Madvd - 49%
Uhuru - 1%
Kakamega - turnout(84%)
Rao - 63%
Madvd - 30%
Uhuru - 2%
Busia - turnout(88%)
Rao - 85%
Madvd - 8%
Uhuru - 3%
Bungoma - turnout(86%)
Rao - 52%
Madvd - 30%
Uhuru - 12%
Myth no.2. Mulembe nation have no incentive to vote without one of their own on the ballot. Well, in 2013, the voted for someone other than their own.
Bungoma county. Jubilee votes are from mt. Elgon only. those who know the area will tell you why.
Busia - 3% for jubilee came from teso. They have ignored them and are banking on Ababu. Budalangi gave uhuru <1% in 2013.
Transzoia - In RV, but mulembe rules 4 out of 5 constituencies. Rao took it in 2013.
So ile story ya " I was with Peter Kenneth in 2013 ilikua vaku"  How can we tell what we are hearing now sio vaku pia  Just as absolute power corrupts leaders, so does absolute fanaticism blind the people from logic
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Rank: Elder Joined: 3/18/2011 Posts: 12,069 Location: Kianjokoma
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FRM2011 wrote:Bigchick wrote:Lolest! wrote:FRM2011 wrote:Angelica _ann wrote:Kaleos will vote 98% Jubilee that is obvious. Remember the tall order wakina Bett, the Koskeys, that former ODM Executive Director Magarer went through in the last elections and still didn't make inroads. You can imagine now that WSR is DPORK. There are no guys who are good at organizing night meetings and mobilization to a man like them (Kaleo)!!!!! Nice to see youth shouting Jubilee at #NASA without violence. That is the way to go Wish you had time to look at the IEBC report on the 2013 election. Its a 700 pg document. Contains voting data down to the polling stations. Some of us have extracted that data and broken it down. We have seen trends that a casual observer wouldn't notice. Did you know Rao did significantly well (>20%) in 2 out of 8 Kalenjin counties ? And dismally in counties where the kingpins you have mentioned above hail from ? When you look at the individual polling stations, you start seeing very interesting trends. Luckily for you, the data analysts at Jubilee HQ have looked at the trends as well. And it terrifies the hell out of them. Just for your sake, I hope NASA wins. I don't want to imagine what would happen if they don't Gotten words out of my mouth. We had McReggae here in 2013 with tick tock and ground shiffting seriously in the Rift.Till the day of reconning came. I still await the final cleaned register. Its not just about winning. It goes deeper. The "why". Please watch the ted talk i suggested. Simon Sinek. I am a father of two young kids. Both girls. Yesterday we sent m-pesa to support Boniface Mwangi's campaign in starehe. When they come of age, they will ask me what I did to make their country better. Their great-grandfather served 7 years in Manyani. Their grandfather was at the epic FORD rally in Kamukunji in 1990. I want them to remember that their dad stood on the right side of history. I know all this philosophical stuff sounds strange. For you its simply voting for the guy with whom you share a mother-tongue. They will judge you right when you are appointed to Tana Water Services Board as you were telling us
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Rank: Chief Joined: 5/9/2007 Posts: 13,095
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/10/2008 Posts: 9,131 Location: Kanjo
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FRM this is for you for free. This is how it will go down. 2% margin of error. Kiambu - registered votes 1,173,594 Votes cast 1,168,511 Jubilee -1,051,622 Nasa-110,341 Others-5,379 Rest-spoilt votes Nakuru - registered votes 948,668 Votes cast- 945,259 Jubilee -871,135 Nasa- 69,233 Others-4,211 Rest-spoilt votes Meru - registered votes 712,378 Votes cast- 709,321 Jubilee- 784,729 Nasa-21,354 Others-2,122 Rest-spoilt votes Murang'a -registered votes 590,775 Votes cast- 589,769 Jubilee -578,379 Nasa-5,873 Others -3,067 Rest-spoilt votes Nyeri -registered votes 460,806 Votes cast- 459,673 Jubilee -450,653 Nasa-5,388 Others -2,854 Rest-spoilt votes Uasin Gishu - registered votes 451,485 Votes cast- 450,977 Jubilee - 439,958 Nasa-6,378 Others- 2,543 Rest-spoilt votes Kericho - registered votes 379,815 Votes cast- 379,513 Jubilee- 368,726 Nasa-5,766 Others -3,011 Rest-spoilt votes Kirinyaga - registered votes 315,162 Votes cast- 314,928 Jubilee - 305,897 Nasa - 6,122 Others-1,943 Rest-spoilt votes Nandi - registered votes 349,340 Votes cast- 348,988 Jubilee -345,338 Nasa-2,097 Others-1,259 Rest-spoilt votes Nyandarua -registered votes 336,322 Votes cast- 334,157 Jubilee -330,997 Nasa-2,567 Others -1,824 Rest-spoilt votes Embu - registered votes 315,162 Votes cast-314,111 Jubilee -303,143 Nasa- 7,059 Others-3,112 Rest-spoilt votes Laikipia -registered votes 239,497 Votes cast-238,113 Jubilee-209,978 Nasa-25,765 Others -3,456 Rest-spoilt votes Baringo-registered votes 227,918 Votes cast-193,876 Jubilee -188,974 Nasa-1,654 Other-2,534 Rest-spoilt votes Tharaka - registered votes 216,522 Votes cast- 205,936 Jubilee -203,998 Nasa-598 Others - 873 Rest-spoilt votes Pokot -registered votes 178,989 Votes cast-167,544 Jubilee -127,547 Nasa-38,765 Others -3,959 Rest-spoilt votes Marakwet - registered votes 178,975 Votes cast-175,876 Jubilee -150,152 Nasa-20,971 Others - 3,743 Rest-spoilt votes Mandera - registered votes 168,478 Votes cast -160,978 Jubilee -156,727 Nasa-576 Others -3,972 Rest-spoilt votes Isiolo -registered votes 72,548 Votes cast -68,973 Jubilee -59,973 Nasa-2,874 Others -4,751 Rest-spoilt votes Nairobi -registered votes 2,304,386 Votes cast- 2,298,179 Jubilee - 1,432,657 Nasa-854,764 Others -1,098 Rest-spoilt votes Kajiado - registered votes 409,266 Votes cast -405,659 Jubilee -278,998 Nasa-120,754 Others-4,979 Rest-spoilt votes Garissa - registered votes 162,486 Votes cast -161,972 Jubilee - 130,586 Nasa- 24,598 0thers-6,008 Rest-spoilt votes Wajir - registered votes 155,916 Votes cast-150,099 Jubilee -120,077 Nasa-23,326 Others -6,967 Rest-spoilt votes Marsabit - registered votes 143,541 Votes cast- 141,958 Jubilee -111,845 Nasa-20,749 Others -8,123 Rest-spoilt votes Samburu - registered votes 79,477 Votes cast- 77,922 Jubilee -55,978 Nasa-20,741 Others -1,179 Rest-spoilt votes Bomet - registered votes 325,606 Votes cast- 323,995 Jubilee -313,745 Nasa -10,975 Others -1,097 Rest-spoilt votes Lamu - registered votes 70,224 Votes cast - 67,978 Jubilee-43,098 Nasa -23,321 Others -1,075 Rest-spoilt votes Nzoia - registered votes 339,832 Votes cast -337,341 Jubilee -293,579 Nasa-43,873 Others -997 Rest-spoilt votes Kakamega - registered votes 746,877 Votes cast 694,043 Jubilee -141,098 Nasa-540,789 Others-5,789 Rest-spoilt votes Machakos - registered votes 627,168 Votes cast - 615,754 Jubilee -155,783 Nasa-453,856 Others -7,584 Rest-spoilt votes Mombasa - registered votes 596,485 Votes cast - 557,893 Jubilee - 173,989 Nasa-379,834 Other-3,548 Rest-spoilt votes Bungoma - registered votes 559,897 Votes cast -537,723 Jubilee -35,732 Nasa-498,644 Others -2,078 Rest-spoilt votes Kisumu - registered votes 548,868 Votes cast -503,548 Jubilee -1,008 Nasa- 501,978 Others -798 Rest-spoilt votes Kilifi - registered votes 510,484 Votes cast -498,749 Jubilee -99,589 Nasa-395,654 Others-2,784 Rest-spoilt votes Kitui - registered votes 477,655 Votes cast -437,987 Jubilee -57,853 Nasa-337,534 Others -1,073 Rest-spoilt votes Homa Bay - registered votes 476,150 Votes cast 445,754 Jubilee -1,098 Nasa-443,967 Others -523 Rest-spoilt votes Siaya - registered votes 447,745 Votes cast 439,876 Jubilee -998 Nasa-438,365 Others-432 Rest-spoilt votes Makueni - registered votes 421,180 Votes cast 415,538 Jubilee -49,743 Nasa-364,653 Others -1,298 Rest-spoilt votes Migori - registered votes 388,967 Votes cast 354,794 Jubilee -1,008 Nasa -352,989 Others -607 Rest-spoilt votes Busia - registered votes 347,911 Votes cast -328,798 Jubilee -18,459 Nasa -309,575 Others -1,074 Rest-spoilt votes Kwale - registered votes 282,436 Votes cast 268,953 Jubilee -117,975 Nasa-151,754 Others -1,074 Rest-spoilt votes Vihiga - registered votes 267,481 Votes cast -255,654 Jubilee -65,476 Nasa-189,644 Others-1,098 Rest-spoilt votes Taita - registered votes 155,904 Votes cast - 145,786 Jubilee -35,567 Nasa-107,754 Others -2,007 Rest-spoilt votes Tana River - registered votes 178, 189 Votes cast- 254,543 Jubilee -97,154 Nasa-150,175 Others -3,564 Rest-spoilt votes Narok - registered votes 347, 427 Votes cast - 343,997 Jubilee -239,654 Nasa-101,435 Others -2,108 Rest-spoilt votes Nyamira - registered votes 279,685 Votes cast 253,648 Jubilee -65,647 Nasa-183,986 Others -3,654 Rest-spoilt votes Turkana - registered votes 188,617 Votes cast -173,654 Jubilee -60,754 Nasa-124,653 Others -3,067 Rest-spoilt votes Kisii - registered votes 544,753 Votes cast -533,579 Jubilee -98,537 Nasa-432,644 Others -2,089 Rest-spoilt votes Total Jubilee:- 11,225,601 -58.183% +/- 2% Nasa:-7,936,366 - 41.133% +/-2 Others:-132,386 -0.686% +/-0.2% Spoilt volts:- 0.008% +/- 0.002% i.am.back!!!!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/4/2006 Posts: 13,822 Location: Nairobi
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Lolest! wrote:masukuma wrote:my concerns is 'ni wapi kitaumana Jubilee ikishindwa?' my top 5 places are
1) Kabianga areas of south rift and possibly (but not sure - Transmara areas)
2) Kericho and anywhere west of that as you head towards the lake victoria basin
3) North of that as we head towards borders of the mulembe people and Kaleos 4.Kibra 5.Mathare 6.Huruma hizo ni skirmishes  All Mushrooms are edible! Some Mushroom are only edible ONCE!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 11/5/2010 Posts: 2,459
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harrydre wrote:FRM this is for you for free. This is how it will go down. 2% margin of error.
Kiambu - registered votes 1,173,594
Votes cast 1,168,511
Jubilee -1,051,622
Nasa-110,341
Others-5,379
Rest-spoilt votes
Nakuru - registered votes 948,668
Votes cast- 945,259
Jubilee -871,135
Nasa- 69,233
Others-4,211
Rest-spoilt votes
Meru - registered votes 712,378
Votes cast- 709,321
Jubilee- 784,729
Nasa-21,354
Others-2,122
Rest-spoilt votes
Murang'a -registered votes 590,775
Votes cast- 589,769
Jubilee -578,379
Nasa-5,873
Others -3,067
Rest-spoilt votes
Nyeri -registered votes 460,806
Votes cast- 459,673
Jubilee -450,653
Nasa-5,388
Others -2,854
Rest-spoilt votes
Uasin Gishu - registered votes 451,485
Votes cast- 450,977
Jubilee - 439,958
Nasa-6,378
Others- 2,543
Rest-spoilt votes
Kericho - registered votes 379,815
Votes cast- 379,513
Jubilee- 368,726
Nasa-5,766
Others -3,011
Rest-spoilt votes
Kirinyaga - registered votes 315,162
Votes cast- 314,928
Jubilee - 305,897
Nasa - 6,122
Others-1,943
Rest-spoilt votes
Nandi - registered votes 349,340
Votes cast- 348,988
Jubilee -345,338
Nasa-2,097
Others-1,259
Rest-spoilt votes
Nyandarua -registered votes 336,322
Votes cast- 334,157
Jubilee -330,997
Nasa-2,567
Others -1,824
Rest-spoilt votes
Embu - registered votes 315,162
Votes cast-314,111
Jubilee -303,143
Nasa- 7,059
Others-3,112
Rest-spoilt votes
Laikipia -registered votes 239,497
Votes cast-238,113
Jubilee-209,978
Nasa-25,765
Others -3,456
Rest-spoilt votes
Baringo-registered votes 227,918
Votes cast-193,876
Jubilee -188,974
Nasa-1,654
Other-2,534
Rest-spoilt votes
Tharaka - registered votes 216,522
Votes cast- 205,936
Jubilee -203,998
Nasa-598
Others - 873
Rest-spoilt votes
Pokot -registered votes 178,989
Votes cast-167,544
Jubilee -127,547
Nasa-38,765
Others -3,959
Rest-spoilt votes
Marakwet - registered votes 178,975
Votes cast-175,876
Jubilee -150,152
Nasa-20,971
Others - 3,743
Rest-spoilt votes
Mandera - registered votes 168,478
Votes cast -160,978
Jubilee -156,727
Nasa-576
Others -3,972
Rest-spoilt votes
Isiolo -registered votes 72,548
Votes cast -68,973
Jubilee -59,973
Nasa-2,874
Others -4,751
Rest-spoilt votes
Nairobi -registered votes 2,304,386
Votes cast- 2,298,179
Jubilee - 1,432,657
Nasa-854,764
Others -1,098
Rest-spoilt votes
Kajiado - registered votes 409,266
Votes cast -405,659
Jubilee -278,998
Nasa-120,754
Others-4,979
Rest-spoilt votes
Garissa - registered votes 162,486
Votes cast -161,972
Jubilee - 130,586
Nasa- 24,598
0thers-6,008
Rest-spoilt votes
Wajir - registered votes 155,916
Votes cast-150,099
Jubilee -120,077
Nasa-23,326
Others -6,967
Rest-spoilt votes
Marsabit - registered votes 143,541
Votes cast- 141,958
Jubilee -111,845
Nasa-20,749
Others -8,123
Rest-spoilt votes
Samburu - registered votes 79,477
Votes cast- 77,922
Jubilee -55,978
Nasa-20,741
Others -1,179
Rest-spoilt votes
Bomet - registered votes 325,606
Votes cast- 323,995
Jubilee -313,745
Nasa -10,975
Others -1,097
Rest-spoilt votes
Lamu - registered votes 70,224
Votes cast - 67,978
Jubilee-43,098
Nasa -23,321
Others -1,075
Rest-spoilt votes
Nzoia - registered votes 339,832
Votes cast -337,341
Jubilee -293,579
Nasa-43,873
Others -997
Rest-spoilt votes
Kakamega - registered votes 746,877
Votes cast 694,043
Jubilee -141,098
Nasa-540,789
Others-5,789
Rest-spoilt votes
Machakos - registered votes 627,168
Votes cast - 615,754
Jubilee -155,783
Nasa-453,856
Others -7,584
Rest-spoilt votes
Mombasa - registered votes 596,485
Votes cast - 557,893
Jubilee - 173,989
Nasa-379,834
Other-3,548
Rest-spoilt votes
Bungoma - registered votes 559,897
Votes cast -537,723
Jubilee -35,732
Nasa-498,644
Others -2,078
Rest-spoilt votes
Kisumu - registered votes 548,868
Votes cast -503,548
Jubilee -1,008
Nasa- 501,978
Others -798
Rest-spoilt votes
Kilifi - registered votes 510,484
Votes cast -498,749
Jubilee -99,589
Nasa-395,654
Others-2,784
Rest-spoilt votes
Kitui - registered votes 477,655
Votes cast -437,987
Jubilee -57,853
Nasa-337,534
Others -1,073
Rest-spoilt votes
Homa Bay - registered votes 476,150
Votes cast 445,754
Jubilee -1,098
Nasa-443,967
Others -523
Rest-spoilt votes
Siaya - registered votes 447,745
Votes cast 439,876
Jubilee -998
Nasa-438,365
Others-432
Rest-spoilt votes
Makueni - registered votes 421,180
Votes cast 415,538
Jubilee -49,743
Nasa-364,653
Others -1,298
Rest-spoilt votes
Migori - registered votes 388,967
Votes cast 354,794
Jubilee -1,008
Nasa -352,989
Others -607
Rest-spoilt votes
Busia - registered votes 347,911
Votes cast -328,798
Jubilee -18,459
Nasa -309,575
Others -1,074
Rest-spoilt votes
Kwale - registered votes 282,436
Votes cast 268,953
Jubilee -117,975
Nasa-151,754
Others -1,074
Rest-spoilt votes
Vihiga - registered votes 267,481
Votes cast -255,654
Jubilee -65,476
Nasa-189,644
Others-1,098
Rest-spoilt votes
Taita - registered votes 155,904
Votes cast - 145,786
Jubilee -35,567
Nasa-107,754
Others -2,007
Rest-spoilt votes
Tana River - registered votes 178, 189
Votes cast- 254,543
Jubilee -97,154
Nasa-150,175
Others -3,564
Rest-spoilt votes
Narok - registered votes 347, 427
Votes cast - 343,997
Jubilee -239,654
Nasa-101,435
Others -2,108
Rest-spoilt votes
Nyamira - registered votes 279,685
Votes cast 253,648
Jubilee -65,647
Nasa-183,986
Others -3,654
Rest-spoilt votes
Turkana - registered votes 188,617
Votes cast -173,654
Jubilee -60,754
Nasa-124,653
Others -3,067
Rest-spoilt votes
Kisii - registered votes 544,753
Votes cast -533,579
Jubilee -98,537
Nasa-432,644
Others -2,089
Rest-spoilt votes
Total
Jubilee:- 11,225,601
-58.183% +/- 2%
Nasa:-7,936,366
- 41.133% +/-2
Others:-132,386
-0.686% +/-0.2%
Spoilt volts:- 0.008% +/- 0.002% Guys are laughing here. You know where you put crazy assumptions. 99.87% turnout ?? Can see you also gave Jubilee an extra 8 counties which they lost in 2013. But am sure you can amend the formulae on your excel sheet and watch as the tragedy unfolds. Anyway, thumbs up. Facts are stubborn things.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/7/2012 Posts: 11,929
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Crazy turnout for Jubilee areas ..... whah now we know what is in the offing In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/3/2008 Posts: 4,057 Location: Gwitu
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Well,Well so someone expects 19M Kenyans to turn up to vote. That would be a magical increase of 58% from 2013. Truth forever on the scaffold
Wrong forever on the throne
(James Russell Rowell)
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/7/2012 Posts: 11,929
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kaka2za wrote:Well,Well so someone expects 19M Kenyans to turn up to vote. That would be a magical increase of 58% from 2013. Those are emotional figures. Like Migori because Kuria East and West, Jubilee will get 20k plus votes In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 1/20/2011 Posts: 1,820 Location: Nakuru
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LONG POST ALERT...This is what i have observed from NASA campaigns Mganga joshua gets to speak first like....he quickly does that silly dance and then mdomo baggy adjusts the microphone...Mganga a.k.a. ki mumdu(insert kuyo accent) HaYa Haya Haya...vijana hoyee...kumepambauka(insert Bupamba ascent here) and then asks wananchi if they have seen the 90 bob unga or laptops or roads or electricity..after his 15 minutes are over, he has not said anything tangible e.g., he does not sell his sera or manifesto etc...but once in a while claims credit to Kibaki's projects (We all know he, Kalonzo and the rest left NARC in 2004 but Kazi ya Baks bado iliendelea) Next comes in Kalonzo...(silly dance again...mdomo baggy adjusts the microphone according to height) and Kalinzo goes..Nasa hoye...Vijana hoyee. He then goes on and on about his political journey post-2002 and how he has sacrificed a lot for us Kenyans(Okuyos included). He also drops DP Ruto's name here and there...10 minutes later he has not mention what NASA intends to do differently from Jubilee Then comes in Weta the guy who sold Tokyo embassy and received a 15k bribe from BAT..same routine with dance and microphoneNasa hoye!...Nasa hoye!...Weta spends his five minutes telling wananchi that they are hungry and that Wananchi in Nyeri are also hungry because of Jubilee and how for the past four years Kenya has stagnated...again DP ruto name is dropped...still no sera Enter Ma-dvd the cabinet-secretary-prime-ministerMa-dvd violently shouts NASA hawa...NASA hawa. He drops Ruto's name and castigates civil servants for one imaginary offense or another. He then calls for youth to turn in large numbers and send Jubilee home asubuhi na mapema...its now 40 minutes into the rally and no one has mentioned any sera. Wananchi can be seen walking up and down in the stadium/field/venue...Shouts of Joho! Joho! Joho! are relentless and Orengo the MC calls Joho to the podium Enter Joho the dumb (D for dump) juvenile baboon a.k.a 001. A different song other than mambo ya badilika is played...sana sana kamatia chini...It is worth noting at this point that this ratchet pea-brained governor attained grade D in Swahili which happens to be his mother tongue...but i digress Joho shouts tibiim! then goes and on chest thumping about his new achieved status of being enemy number one of H.E. Uhuru and Ruto. He calls Ruto his friend and thief in one sentence. Wananchi are estatic. He immedietly drifts and starts speaking about complex issues(i.e., to his pebble head) like SGR, cost of Unga....agriculture and how jubilee has deliberately inflated costs or have deliberately ensured Kenyan farmers don't succeed etc...wananchi get bored and on comes the next speaker....still no manifesto but importantly Joho in his address subtly patronizes Kalonzo by mentioning Kalonzo's name whenever he mentions Bupamba's name.. Enter Kivutha kibwanaNasa tibbim!If the rally is in Kapsabet (Wa - NAndi hoyee!) If the rally is in Kakamega (Wa baluhya hoyee!)...if the rally is is Kiambu (Wa Kikuyu hoyee!)...The moment this old man starts calling another oldman baba that becomes a deal breaker...The good professor having sunk so low(by calling his age mate baba) just like previous speaker does not speak of any sera I have not mentioned the other cabinet-secretary-deputy-prime-minister....the short guy from Bomet and his shouts of theft and poverty and pesa...it is by design Dumb money becomes dumb only when it listens to smart money
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Rank: Elder Joined: 11/5/2010 Posts: 2,459
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Angelica _ann wrote:kaka2za wrote:Well,Well so someone expects 19M Kenyans to turn up to vote. That would be a magical increase of 58% from 2013. Those are emotional figures. Like Migori because Kuria East and West, Jubilee will get 20k plus votes In our projections, we gave jubilee 38,000 for Kuria west and east. We are generous like that. @harrydre, this is a humble appeal to you as a patriot and nationalist. Please help us to manage the expectations from uthamakistanis. We are really getting worried coz no one is preparing them for what is coming. Go back to your excel sheet. Use the updated registration numbers. Use the actual 2013 turnout. You know muranga-94%, Nyeri-93% e.t.c. Then apportion the votes using actual voting trends for 2013. E.g. For Muranga, Uhuru-97%, Rao-1%. The figure at the bottom of your excel sheet will be depressing. Let me add salt to the wound. The voting trend will change marginally in our favour in Kisii, Nyamira, Meru, Tharaka and Bomet. We analyze about 8 vernacular radio stations from jubilee zones every day. They are psyched for a win that caan't happen. Please prepare your supporters psychologically.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 3/29/2011 Posts: 2,242
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harrydre wrote:FRM this is for you for free. This is how it will go down. 2% margin of error.
Kiambu - registered votes 1,173,594
Votes cast 1,168,511
Jubilee -1,051,622
Nasa-110,341
Others-5,379
Rest-spoilt votes
Nakuru - registered votes 948,668
Votes cast- 945,259
Jubilee -871,135
Nasa- 69,233
Others-4,211
Rest-spoilt votes
Meru - registered votes 712,378
Votes cast- 709,321
Jubilee- 784,729
Nasa-21,354
Others-2,122
Rest-spoilt votes
Murang'a -registered votes 590,775
Votes cast- 589,769
Jubilee -578,379
Nasa-5,873
Others -3,067
Rest-spoilt votes
Nyeri -registered votes 460,806
Votes cast- 459,673
Jubilee -450,653
Nasa-5,388
Others -2,854
Rest-spoilt votes
Uasin Gishu - registered votes 451,485
Votes cast- 450,977
Jubilee - 439,958
Nasa-6,378
Others- 2,543
Rest-spoilt votes
Kericho - registered votes 379,815
Votes cast- 379,513
Jubilee- 368,726
Nasa-5,766
Others -3,011
Rest-spoilt votes
Kirinyaga - registered votes 315,162
Votes cast- 314,928
Jubilee - 305,897
Nasa - 6,122
Others-1,943
Rest-spoilt votes
Nandi - registered votes 349,340
Votes cast- 348,988
Jubilee -345,338
Nasa-2,097
Others-1,259
Rest-spoilt votes
Nyandarua -registered votes 336,322
Votes cast- 334,157
Jubilee -330,997
Nasa-2,567
Others -1,824
Rest-spoilt votes
Embu - registered votes 315,162
Votes cast-314,111
Jubilee -303,143
Nasa- 7,059
Others-3,112
Rest-spoilt votes
Laikipia -registered votes 239,497
Votes cast-238,113
Jubilee-209,978
Nasa-25,765
Others -3,456
Rest-spoilt votes
Baringo-registered votes 227,918
Votes cast-193,876
Jubilee -188,974
Nasa-1,654
Other-2,534
Rest-spoilt votes
Tharaka - registered votes 216,522
Votes cast- 205,936
Jubilee -203,998
Nasa-598
Others - 873
Rest-spoilt votes
Pokot -registered votes 178,989
Votes cast-167,544
Jubilee -127,547
Nasa-38,765
Others -3,959
Rest-spoilt votes
Marakwet - registered votes 178,975
Votes cast-175,876
Jubilee -150,152
Nasa-20,971
Others - 3,743
Rest-spoilt votes
Mandera - registered votes 168,478
Votes cast -160,978
Jubilee -156,727
Nasa-576
Others -3,972
Rest-spoilt votes
Isiolo -registered votes 72,548
Votes cast -68,973
Jubilee -59,973
Nasa-2,874
Others -4,751
Rest-spoilt votes
Nairobi -registered votes 2,304,386
Votes cast- 2,298,179
Jubilee - 1,432,657
Nasa-854,764
Others -1,098
Rest-spoilt votes
Kajiado - registered votes 409,266
Votes cast -405,659
Jubilee -278,998
Nasa-120,754
Others-4,979
Rest-spoilt votes
Garissa - registered votes 162,486
Votes cast -161,972
Jubilee - 130,586
Nasa- 24,598
0thers-6,008
Rest-spoilt votes
Wajir - registered votes 155,916
Votes cast-150,099
Jubilee -120,077
Nasa-23,326
Others -6,967
Rest-spoilt votes
Marsabit - registered votes 143,541
Votes cast- 141,958
Jubilee -111,845
Nasa-20,749
Others -8,123
Rest-spoilt votes
Samburu - registered votes 79,477
Votes cast- 77,922
Jubilee -55,978
Nasa-20,741
Others -1,179
Rest-spoilt votes
Bomet - registered votes 325,606
Votes cast- 323,995
Jubilee -313,745
Nasa -10,975
Others -1,097
Rest-spoilt votes
Lamu - registered votes 70,224
Votes cast - 67,978
Jubilee-43,098
Nasa -23,321
Others -1,075
Rest-spoilt votes
Nzoia - registered votes 339,832
Votes cast -337,341
Jubilee -293,579
Nasa-43,873
Others -997
Rest-spoilt votes
Kakamega - registered votes 746,877
Votes cast 694,043
Jubilee -141,098
Nasa-540,789
Others-5,789
Rest-spoilt votes
Machakos - registered votes 627,168
Votes cast - 615,754
Jubilee -155,783
Nasa-453,856
Others -7,584
Rest-spoilt votes
Mombasa - registered votes 596,485
Votes cast - 557,893
Jubilee - 173,989
Nasa-379,834
Other-3,548
Rest-spoilt votes
Bungoma - registered votes 559,897
Votes cast -537,723
Jubilee -35,732
Nasa-498,644
Others -2,078
Rest-spoilt votes
Kisumu - registered votes 548,868
Votes cast -503,548
Jubilee -1,008
Nasa- 501,978
Others -798
Rest-spoilt votes
Kilifi - registered votes 510,484
Votes cast -498,749
Jubilee -99,589
Nasa-395,654
Others-2,784
Rest-spoilt votes
Kitui - registered votes 477,655
Votes cast -437,987
Jubilee -57,853
Nasa-337,534
Others -1,073
Rest-spoilt votes
Homa Bay - registered votes 476,150
Votes cast 445,754
Jubilee -1,098
Nasa-443,967
Others -523
Rest-spoilt votes
Siaya - registered votes 447,745
Votes cast 439,876
Jubilee -998
Nasa-438,365
Others-432
Rest-spoilt votes
Makueni - registered votes 421,180
Votes cast 415,538
Jubilee -49,743
Nasa-364,653
Others -1,298
Rest-spoilt votes
Migori - registered votes 388,967
Votes cast 354,794
Jubilee -1,008
Nasa -352,989
Others -607
Rest-spoilt votes
Busia - registered votes 347,911
Votes cast -328,798
Jubilee -18,459
Nasa -309,575
Others -1,074
Rest-spoilt votes
Kwale - registered votes 282,436
Votes cast 268,953
Jubilee -117,975
Nasa-151,754
Others -1,074
Rest-spoilt votes
Vihiga - registered votes 267,481
Votes cast -255,654
Jubilee -65,476
Nasa-189,644
Others-1,098
Rest-spoilt votes
Taita - registered votes 155,904
Votes cast - 145,786
Jubilee -35,567
Nasa-107,754
Others -2,007
Rest-spoilt votes
Tana River - registered votes 178, 189
Votes cast- 254,543
Jubilee -97,154
Nasa-150,175
Others -3,564
Rest-spoilt votes
Narok - registered votes 347, 427
Votes cast - 343,997
Jubilee -239,654
Nasa-101,435
Others -2,108
Rest-spoilt votes
Nyamira - registered votes 279,685
Votes cast 253,648
Jubilee -65,647
Nasa-183,986
Others -3,654
Rest-spoilt votes
Turkana - registered votes 188,617
Votes cast -173,654
Jubilee -60,754
Nasa-124,653
Others -3,067
Rest-spoilt votes
Kisii - registered votes 544,753
Votes cast -533,579
Jubilee -98,537
Nasa-432,644
Others -2,089
Rest-spoilt votes
Total
Jubilee:- 11,225,601
-58.183% +/- 2%
Nasa:-7,936,366
- 41.133% +/-2
Others:-132,386
-0.686% +/-0.2%
Spoilt volts:- 0.008% +/- 0.002% @harrydre, Your turn-out is quite high, second only to South Sudan referendum when they turned up at 99%. "Things that matter most must never be at the mercy of things that matter least." Goethe
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Rank: Elder Joined: 11/5/2010 Posts: 2,459
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Someone has forwarded these timeless lyrics from Bob Marley. Natural mystic.
"There's a natural mystic blowing through the air
If you listen carefully now you will hear.
This could be the first trumpet , might as well be the last
Many more will have to suffer ,
Many more will have to die .
don't ask me why.
Things are not the way they used to be ,
I won't tell no lie
One and all have to face reality now.
Though I've tried to find the answer to all the questions they ask.
Though I know it's impossible to go living through the past -
Don't tell no lie.
There's a natural mystic blowing through the air -
Can't keep them down -
If you listen carefully now you will hear.
There's a natural mystic blowing through the air.
If you listen carefully....you will hear.
Bob Marley
Natural Mystic
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/3/2008 Posts: 4,057 Location: Gwitu
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FRM2011 wrote:
Someone has forwarded these timeless lyrics from Bob Marley. Natural mystic.
"There's a natural mystic blowing through the air
If you listen carefully now you will hear.
This could be the first trumpet , might as well be the last
Many more will have to suffer ,
Many more will have to die .
don't ask me why.
Things are not the way they used to be ,
I won't tell no lie
One and all have to face reality now.
Though I've tried to find the answer to all the questions they ask.
Though I know it's impossible to go living through the past -
Don't tell no lie.
There's a natural mystic blowing through the air -
Can't keep them down -
If you listen carefully now you will hear.
There's a natural mystic blowing through the air.
If you listen carefully....you will hear.
Bob Marley
Natural Mystic
Got to have your kaya now,Kaya Kaya! Truth forever on the scaffold
Wrong forever on the throne
(James Russell Rowell)
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