Baba is a celebrity everywhere he goes he will always pull a crowd of people wanting to see and listen to him. I assure you even in Muranga or Nyeri or Kiambu Baba will pull a crowd and they love him. That does not mean they will vote for him.

On another note North Rift crowds are very disciplined and very deceptive. I remember when Kibaki was campaigning there in 2007 they would turn up in large numbers and quietly listen to him. When elections came the same places where he was pulling thousands of people in crowds he barely got a few hundred votes.

What did I see on TV in Kapsabet?

Siku ya nyani inasongea.

The guy in red cap and cream jacket is @FRM2011. Very disappointed indeed. Had to change to suit the prevailing circumstances.

Jubilee chants in Kapsabet. Yes, of course. We got 15% votes in Nandi in 2013. Jubilee had 85%. Can't tell you our target for this year but that's why we had to go there.

There is low voter turnout in Western. A myth. Here are the numbers.

Vihiga - turnout (83%)
Rao - 46%
Madvd - 49%
Uhuru - 1%

Kakamega - turnout(84%)
Rao - 63%
Madvd - 30%
Uhuru - 2%

Busia - turnout(88%)
Rao - 85%
Madvd - 8%
Uhuru - 3%

Bungoma - turnout(86%)
Rao - 52%
Madvd - 30%
Uhuru - 12%

Myth no.2. Mulembe nation have no incentive to vote without one of their own on the ballot. Well, in 2013, the voted for someone other than their own.

Bungoma county. Jubilee votes are from mt. Elgon only. those who know the area will tell you why.

Busia - 3% for jubilee came from teso. They have ignored them and are banking on Ababu. Budalangi gave uhuru <1% in 2013.

Transzoia - In RV, but mulembe rules 4 out of 5 constituencies. Rao took it in 2013.

Please put the absolute numbers.99% of 1000 is 990 and 1% is 10.

Also give us the totals of UK Vs Others (RAO,Mdvd etc).

Every morning as I log-in on my workstation, these figures stare at me. We crunch data. We ask questions down to individual polling stations. Why people vote(d) the way they do/did.

Have you ever watched Simon Sinek's Ted talk ? It explains the what/how/why. Organisations that prosper and leaders who inspire start by asking why not what they need to do.

You'd be shocked to learn that everyone working at NASA is a volunteer. We do it for ourselves, for our kids and not for Raila. This is our cause. This is the fight of our generation.

Back to your numbers.
KK- 746K, BGM - 559K, Busia - 347K, Vihiga - 267K, T. nzoia - 339K.

Jubilee won in cheragany (57K) with 54% of the vote. The other four were taken by Rao. Mt.elgon has 49K votes. Again Jubilee will take >50% of these.

Is this alai or his chic? lol

Wish you had time to look at the IEBC report on the 2013 election. Its a 700 pg document. Contains voting data down to the polling stations. Some of us have extracted that data and broken it down. We have seen trends that a casual observer wouldn't notice.

Did you know Rao did significantly well (>20%) in 2 out of 8 Kalenjin counties ? And dismally in counties where the kingpins you have mentioned above hail from ? When you look at the individual polling stations, you start seeing very interesting trends.

Luckily for you, the data analysts at Jubilee HQ have looked at the trends as well. And it terrifies the hell out of them.

Just for your sake, I hope NASA wins. I don't want to imagine what would happen if they don't