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Realities of Forex Investment
hisah
#3721 Posted : Wednesday, May 17, 2017 6:26:43 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,958
@aluta, WH issues have been overplayed. S&P500 has tested the gap April 24th gap up (Macron election) and rebounded. E$ bulls have pushed things to the extreme and almost punched the day's ATR. Gold bulls as well have been on a romp. Extremes for the day across board on matters US stocks and USD. The overbought reads across many times frames do not inspire further bullish push. Correction is imminent.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
karasinga
#3722 Posted : Thursday, May 18, 2017 6:11:26 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,038
considering long USDCAD
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
alutacontinua
#3723 Posted : Friday, May 19, 2017 7:26:41 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/23/2011
Posts: 285
GBP$ drops 100 pips in 12 seconds d'oh! d'oh! d'oh!
You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
hisah
#3724 Posted : Friday, May 19, 2017 10:50:55 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,958
alutacontinua wrote:
GBP$ drops 100 pips in 12 seconds d'oh! d'oh! d'oh!

Nasty stop hunt run to take out 1.29 stops. If so, then GBP$ should finish the week above 1.30 handle.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
karasinga
#3725 Posted : Friday, May 19, 2017 11:29:32 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,038
karasinga wrote:
considering long USDCAD

buy stop 1.35876
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
hisah
#3726 Posted : Friday, May 19, 2017 11:51:45 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,958
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
considering long USDCAD

buy stop 1.35876

Caution with this one. Strong weakness on 4hr chart which means it can easily fall to 1.3490.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
karasinga
#3727 Posted : Friday, May 19, 2017 12:39:57 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,038
hisah wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
considering long USDCAD

buy stop 1.35876

Caution with this one. Strong weakness on 4hr chart which means it can easily fall to 1.3490.

thanks mate. trader helping out trader.... like that. lucky it was a buy stop. Watching with great interest
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
alutacontinua
#3728 Posted : Friday, May 19, 2017 3:10:22 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/23/2011
Posts: 285
karasinga wrote:
hisah wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
considering long USDCAD

buy stop 1.35876

Caution with this one. Strong weakness on 4hr chart which means it can easily fall to 1.3490.

thanks mate. trader helping out trader.... like that. lucky it was a buy stop. Watching with great interest


Still holding short here with 1.3530 and 1.3410 as targets as i had mentioned earlier. My reasoning is with crude buyers stepping in yesterday it could crack $50 add to that further USD weakness the levels could be reached however, Canadian CPI and Retail Sales data will be on the wires shortly could prove the deciding factor to break through the current low...
You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
alutacontinua
#3729 Posted : Friday, May 19, 2017 10:05:26 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/23/2011
Posts: 285
alutacontinua wrote:
karasinga wrote:
hisah wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
considering long USDCAD

buy stop 1.35876

Caution with this one. Strong weakness on 4hr chart which means it can easily fall to 1.3490.

thanks mate. trader helping out trader.... like that. lucky it was a buy stop. Watching with great interest


Still holding short here with 1.3530 and 1.3410 as targets as i had mentioned earlier. My reasoning is with crude buyers stepping in yesterday it could crack $50 add to that further USD weakness the levels could be reached however, Canadian CPI and Retail Sales data will be on the wires shortly could prove the deciding factor to break through the current low...


1.3530 target hit smile

Monday being a public holiday in Canada I expect thin liquidity as well as consolidation in the pair or a short squeeze up to 1.3550 before the next leg down to that 1.3410 level...depending on crude maintaining the $50 level.

Keenly watching Yen pairs (esp. $Yen) as BOJ looks to be back to their intervention strategies to weaken the currency...outflows from safe haven flows we saw last week due to the drop in USD and Wednesday's 2% stock dip look to be at play as well.
You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
hisah
#3730 Posted : Monday, May 22, 2017 4:29:18 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,958
alutacontinua wrote:
alutacontinua wrote:
karasinga wrote:
hisah wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
considering long USDCAD

buy stop 1.35876

Caution with this one. Strong weakness on 4hr chart which means it can easily fall to 1.3490.

thanks mate. trader helping out trader.... like that. lucky it was a buy stop. Watching with great interest


Still holding short here with 1.3530 and 1.3410 as targets as i had mentioned earlier. My reasoning is with crude buyers stepping in yesterday it could crack $50 add to that further USD weakness the levels could be reached however, Canadian CPI and Retail Sales data will be on the wires shortly could prove the deciding factor to break through the current low...


1.3530 target hit smile

Monday being a public holiday in Canada I expect thin liquidity as well as consolidation in the pair or a short squeeze up to 1.3550 before the next leg down to that 1.3410 level...depending on crude maintaining the $50 level.

Keenly watching Yen pairs (esp. $Yen) as BOJ looks to be back to their intervention strategies to weaken the currency...outflows from safe haven flows we saw last week due to the drop in USD and Wednesday's 2% stock dip look to be at play as well.

1.3490 target hit.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
alutacontinua
#3731 Posted : Tuesday, May 23, 2017 9:29:36 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/23/2011
Posts: 285
Currently looking at AUD$...a close above 0.75 today could see further upside. First target is 0.7610 and to an extreme 0.7770

You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
alutacontinua
#3732 Posted : Tuesday, May 23, 2017 6:49:57 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/23/2011
Posts: 285
alutacontinua wrote:
alutacontinua wrote:
karasinga wrote:
hisah wrote:
karasinga wrote:
karasinga wrote:
considering long USDCAD

buy stop 1.35876

Caution with this one. Strong weakness on 4hr chart which means it can easily fall to 1.3490.

thanks mate. trader helping out trader.... like that. lucky it was a buy stop. Watching with great interest


Still holding short here with 1.3530 and 1.3410 as targets as i had mentioned earlier. My reasoning is with crude buyers stepping in yesterday it could crack $50 add to that further USD weakness the levels could be reached however, Canadian CPI and Retail Sales data will be on the wires shortly could prove the deciding factor to break through the current low...


1.3530 target hit smile

Monday being a public holiday in Canada I expect thin liquidity as well as consolidation in the pair or a short squeeze up to 1.3550 before the next leg down to that 1.3410 level...depending on crude maintaining the $50 level.

Keenly watching Yen pairs (esp. $Yen) as BOJ looks to be back to their intervention strategies to weaken the currency...outflows from safe haven flows we saw last week due to the drop in USD and Wednesday's 2% stock dip look to be at play as well.


BOJ activated...
You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
alutacontinua
#3733 Posted : Friday, June 02, 2017 5:05:05 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/23/2011
Posts: 285
Thread has gone silent again Sad

NFP comes in at 138k vs. 184k expected as well as downward revisions of previous month payroll numbers by 66k.

Wondering whether the FED will hike this month following the latest numbers (91% priced in even after todays NFP numbers)...bonds look to finally be reacting and the trump reflation trade (USD Longs) are headed towards the election day lows.
You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
hisah
#3734 Posted : Friday, June 02, 2017 5:19:57 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,958
alutacontinua wrote:
Thread has gone silent again Sad

NFP comes in at 138k vs. 184k expected as well as downward revisions of previous month payroll numbers by 66k.

Wondering whether the FED will hike this month following the latest numbers (91% priced in even after todays NFP numbers)...bonds look to finally be reacting and the trump reflation trade (USD Longs) are headed towards the election day lows.

The Fed will keep hiking until things fall apart again!

For now watching Gold. 1350 level is where the showdown begins between the bears and the bulls!

My focus is now on matters GBP and the looming election. Opportunities abound. GBP has a bearish hint. Good news will launch the GBP bulls which will present a nice shorting opportunity above 1.30
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#3735 Posted : Wednesday, June 07, 2017 1:39:09 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,958
The trouble with euro 2.0

Here comes the wild ride to the parity fall.

USD bears watch out!
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#3736 Posted : Friday, June 09, 2017 7:21:56 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,958
hisah wrote:
alutacontinua wrote:
Thread has gone silent again Sad

NFP comes in at 138k vs. 184k expected as well as downward revisions of previous month payroll numbers by 66k.

Wondering whether the FED will hike this month following the latest numbers (91% priced in even after todays NFP numbers)...bonds look to finally be reacting and the trump reflation trade (USD Longs) are headed towards the election day lows.

The Fed will keep hiking until things fall apart again!

For now watching Gold. 1350 level is where the showdown begins between the bears and the bulls!

My focus is now on matters GBP and the looming election. Opportunities abound. GBP has a bearish hint. Good news will launch the GBP bulls which will present a nice shorting opportunity above 1.30

GBP$ failed to spike above 1.30 for a sizable short as anticipated. Breaking below 1.2750 means 1.25 will be a likely target. if it fails to hold then 1.20 is the next focus.

Italy and Greece will ensure summer is quite busy for matters euro. Stay focussed. Things will get volatile in fall...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#3737 Posted : Monday, June 12, 2017 6:59:49 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,958
Short XAU at market @1266.22, lot size 2.0 (two positions) This is a medium term play for 3 weeks at least. Objective is open for now. The weekly chart is bearish suggesting that the support at 1200 handle will collapse! If this plays out then Dow will likely top 21500 and a bigger fall will push Dow towards 22000.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
karasinga
#3738 Posted : Tuesday, June 13, 2017 10:38:12 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 1,038
GBPJPY: sell stop 139.720
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
alutacontinua
#3739 Posted : Thursday, June 15, 2017 2:51:08 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/23/2011
Posts: 285
hisah wrote:
Short XAU at market @1266.22, lot size 2.0 (two positions) This is a medium term play for 3 weeks at least. Objective is open for now. The weekly chart is bearish suggesting that the support at 1200 handle will collapse! If this plays out then Dow will likely top 21500 and a bigger fall will push Dow towards 22000.



How was yesterday's wild ride ??? Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly really hope you are still in coz its paying out smile

What a crazy day yesterday was...
You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
hisah
#3740 Posted : Thursday, June 15, 2017 3:46:08 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,958
alutacontinua wrote:
hisah wrote:
Short XAU at market @1266.22, lot size 2.0 (two positions) This is a medium term play for 3 weeks at least. Objective is open for now. The weekly chart is bearish suggesting that the support at 1200 handle will collapse! If this plays out then Dow will likely top 21500 and a bigger fall will push Dow towards 22000.



How was yesterday's wild ride ??? Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly really hope you are still in coz its paying out smile

What a crazy day yesterday was...

The weekly chart is hinting a bearish move soon. I'm still holding for I expect 1200 handle to breakdown.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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