Obi 1 Kanobi wrote:Checked the 2013 results and it was a slim victory for UHURUTO. Too much bravado here in my opinion just happens to be masking deep concerns over a Jubilee victory that at this point is not as clear cut as some would have us believe.
It will all come down to registered voters, swing votes and ultimately turnout.
It was not a slim victory, unless you are using the Trumpian Electoral college math argument. When your competition leaves by kendo 800K votes and you have to rely on a constitutional clause or a friendly court to save you, then you are in trouble.
Elections are won by numbers first, the more the better. If NASA hopes to win they must appreciate that they are starting from a deficit of 800,000 votes not 8000 and they a facing a formidable opponent, not the greenhorns of 2013; one who now has state machinery control and probably unlimited money. Otherwise shauri yao.
Turn out will decide this thing
"The opposite of a correct statement is a false statement. But the opposite of a profound truth may well be another profound truth." (Niels Bohr)