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Fake: Opinion polls 2017
2012
#1 Posted : Thursday, April 27, 2017 11:04:12 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/9/2009
Posts: 6,592
Location: Nairobi
The credibility of opinion polls is being questioned following a decisive win by Kabete MP Ferdinand Waititu over Kiambu Governor William Kabogo, against pollsters’ predictions.

The two were competing for the gubernatorial seat during the Jubilee party nominations in Kiambu County on Tuesday. The MP garnered 353,604 votes against the incumbent’s 69,916.

The result comes barely three weeks after an opinion poll by Infotrack showed Mr Kabogo would get 48.9% of the votes against Mr Waititu’s 31.8%, if elections were to be held on April 7.

Pollsters-on-the-spot

BBI will solve it
:)
Iganamagana
#2 Posted : Friday, April 28, 2017 7:55:37 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/27/2009
Posts: 1,437
2012 wrote:
The credibility of opinion polls is being questioned following a decisive win by Kabete MP Ferdinand Waititu over Kiambu Governor William Kabogo, against pollsters’ predictions.

The two were competing for the gubernatorial seat during the Jubilee party nominations in Kiambu County on Tuesday. The MP garnered 353,604 votes against the incumbent’s 69,916.

The result comes barely three weeks after an opinion poll by Infotrack showed Mr Kabogo would get 48.9% of the votes against Mr Waititu’s 31.8%, if elections were to be held on April 7.

Pollsters-on-the-spot


In their defence, the elections were not held on April 7th. A day in politics is like a lifetime. Kiambu people know all the dirt on Kabogos' past negative utterances especially against women were dug, nicely compiled and widely circulated on media platforms just two days before the first nomination day.

Lesson: Always watch your words and arrogance does not pay.
Lolest!
#3 Posted : Friday, April 28, 2017 8:05:36 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 3/18/2011
Posts: 12,069
Location: Kianjokoma
Iganamagana wrote:
2012 wrote:
The credibility of opinion polls is being questioned following a decisive win by Kabete MP Ferdinand Waititu over Kiambu Governor William Kabogo, against pollsters’ predictions.

The two were competing for the gubernatorial seat during the Jubilee party nominations in Kiambu County on Tuesday. The MP garnered 353,604 votes against the incumbent’s 69,916.

The result comes barely three weeks after an opinion poll by Infotrack showed Mr Kabogo would get 48.9% of the votes against Mr Waititu’s 31.8%, if elections were to be held on April 7.

Pollsters-on-the-spot


In their defence, the elections were not held on April 7th. A day in politics is like a lifetime. Kiambu people know all the dirt on Kabogos' past negative utterances especially against women were dug, nicely compiled and widely circulated on media platforms just two days before the first nomination day.

Lesson: Always watch your words and arrogance does not pay.

Wrong. Kabogo started losing kitambo sana
Laughing out loudly smile Applause d'oh! Sad Drool Liar Shame on you Pray
Iganamagana
#4 Posted : Friday, April 28, 2017 9:41:56 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/27/2009
Posts: 1,437
Lolest! wrote:
Iganamagana wrote:
2012 wrote:
The credibility of opinion polls is being questioned following a decisive win by Kabete MP Ferdinand Waititu over Kiambu Governor William Kabogo, against pollsters’ predictions.

The two were competing for the gubernatorial seat during the Jubilee party nominations in Kiambu County on Tuesday. The MP garnered 353,604 votes against the incumbent’s 69,916.

The result comes barely three weeks after an opinion poll by Infotrack showed Mr Kabogo would get 48.9% of the votes against Mr Waititu’s 31.8%, if elections were to be held on April 7.

Pollsters-on-the-spot


In their defence, the elections were not held on April 7th. A day in politics is like a lifetime. Kiambu people know all the dirt on Kabogos' past negative utterances especially against women were dug, nicely compiled and widely circulated on media platforms just two days before the first nomination day.

Lesson: Always watch your words and arrogance does not pay.

Wrong. Kabogo started losing kitambo sana


Agreed. He started loosing Kitambo but the last days "cucu" media information made even the undecided decide hence the unbelievable margins.
kaka2za
#5 Posted : Friday, April 28, 2017 9:43:35 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/3/2008
Posts: 4,057
Location: Gwitu
Lolest! wrote:
Iganamagana wrote:
2012 wrote:
The credibility of opinion polls is being questioned following a decisive win by Kabete MP Ferdinand Waititu over Kiambu Governor William Kabogo, against pollsters’ predictions.

The two were competing for the gubernatorial seat during the Jubilee party nominations in Kiambu County on Tuesday. The MP garnered 353,604 votes against the incumbent’s 69,916.

The result comes barely three weeks after an opinion poll by Infotrack showed Mr Kabogo would get 48.9% of the votes against Mr Waititu’s 31.8%, if elections were to be held on April 7.

Pollsters-on-the-spot


In their defence, the elections were not held on April 7th. A day in politics is like a lifetime. Kiambu people know all the dirt on Kabogos' past negative utterances especially against women were dug, nicely compiled and widely circulated on media platforms just two days before the first nomination day.

Lesson: Always watch your words and arrogance does not pay.

Wrong. Kabogo started losing kitambo sana


You are definitely not from Kiambu. Kabogo was assumed to be indispensable just a few weeks ago!
Truth forever on the scaffold
Wrong forever on the throne
(James Russell Rowell)
Lolest!
#6 Posted : Friday, April 28, 2017 9:45:23 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 3/18/2011
Posts: 12,069
Location: Kianjokoma
kaka2za wrote:
Lolest! wrote:
Iganamagana wrote:
2012 wrote:
The credibility of opinion polls is being questioned following a decisive win by Kabete MP Ferdinand Waititu over Kiambu Governor William Kabogo, against pollsters’ predictions.

The two were competing for the gubernatorial seat during the Jubilee party nominations in Kiambu County on Tuesday. The MP garnered 353,604 votes against the incumbent’s 69,916.

The result comes barely three weeks after an opinion poll by Infotrack showed Mr Kabogo would get 48.9% of the votes against Mr Waititu’s 31.8%, if elections were to be held on April 7.

Pollsters-on-the-spot


In their defence, the elections were not held on April 7th. A day in politics is like a lifetime. Kiambu people know all the dirt on Kabogos' past negative utterances especially against women were dug, nicely compiled and widely circulated on media platforms just two days before the first nomination day.

Lesson: Always watch your words and arrogance does not pay.

Wrong. Kabogo started losing kitambo sana


You are definitely not from Kiambu. Kabogo was assumed to be indispesable just a few weeks ago!

Yeah, by armchair analysts and Infotrak!
Laughing out loudly smile Applause d'oh! Sad Drool Liar Shame on you Pray
simonkabz
#7 Posted : Friday, April 28, 2017 11:14:45 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 3/2/2007
Posts: 8,776
Location: Cameroon
Lolest! wrote:
kaka2za wrote:
Lolest! wrote:
Iganamagana wrote:
2012 wrote:
The credibility of opinion polls is being questioned following a decisive win by Kabete MP Ferdinand Waititu over Kiambu Governor William Kabogo, against pollsters’ predictions.

The two were competing for the gubernatorial seat during the Jubilee party nominations in Kiambu County on Tuesday. The MP garnered 353,604 votes against the incumbent’s 69,916.

The result comes barely three weeks after an opinion poll by Infotrack showed Mr Kabogo would get 48.9% of the votes against Mr Waititu’s 31.8%, if elections were to be held on April 7.

Pollsters-on-the-spot


In their defence, the elections were not held on April 7th. A day in politics is like a lifetime. Kiambu people know all the dirt on Kabogos' past negative utterances especially against women were dug, nicely compiled and widely circulated on media platforms just two days before the first nomination day.

Lesson: Always watch your words and arrogance does not pay.

Wrong. Kabogo started losing kitambo sana


You are definitely not from Kiambu. Kabogo was assumed to be indispesable just a few weeks ago!

Yeah, by armchair analysts and Infotrak!


Bro umenoa. When Babayao came to the scene, opinion was split down the middle. Towards the nominations, Kabogo had regained imensely, almost sealing his re-election when he exposed Gakuyo as a fraudster (Gakuyo is not a fraudster). 2 days to nominations, the mother of all bombshells was unleashed.....the Nyondo cia Ngui collection of expletives meted by Kabogo in the past. Gakuyo himself went to Kameme and reiterated the Nyondo cia Ngui story among other terrible utterances by Kabogo. MAny women in the rural areas are always on Kameme/inooro, thile the townfolk are on social media.

Boom! That is the Day Kabogo's fate was sealed.
TULIA.........UFUNZWE!
Liv
#8 Posted : Friday, April 28, 2017 12:16:42 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/14/2006
Posts: 1,311
simonkabz wrote:
Lolest! wrote:
kaka2za wrote:
Lolest! wrote:
Iganamagana wrote:
2012 wrote:
The credibility of opinion polls is being questioned following a decisive win by Kabete MP Ferdinand Waititu over Kiambu Governor William Kabogo, against pollsters’ predictions.

The two were competing for the gubernatorial seat during the Jubilee party nominations in Kiambu County on Tuesday. The MP garnered 353,604 votes against the incumbent’s 69,916.

The result comes barely three weeks after an opinion poll by Infotrack showed Mr Kabogo would get 48.9% of the votes against Mr Waititu’s 31.8%, if elections were to be held on April 7.

Pollsters-on-the-spot


In their defence, the elections were not held on April 7th. A day in politics is like a lifetime. Kiambu people know all the dirt on Kabogos' past negative utterances especially against women were dug, nicely compiled and widely circulated on media platforms just two days before the first nomination day.

Lesson: Always watch your words and arrogance does not pay.

Wrong. Kabogo started losing kitambo sana


You are definitely not from Kiambu. Kabogo was assumed to be indispesable just a few weeks ago!

Yeah, by armchair analysts and Infotrak!


Bro umenoa. When Babayao came to the scene, opinion was split down the middle. Towards the nominations, Kabogo had regained imensely, almost sealing his re-election when he exposed Gakuyo as a fraudster (Gakuyo is not a fraudster). 2 days to nominations, the mother of all bombshells was unleashed.....the Nyondo cia Ngui collection of expletives meted by Kabogo in the past. Gakuyo himself went to Kameme and reiterated the Nyondo cia Ngui story among other terrible utterances by Kabogo. MAny women in the rural areas are always on Kameme/inooro, thile the townfolk are on social media.

Boom! That is the Day Kabogo's fate was sealed.


Welcome back Simon, we missed you. How is Cameroon?
Iganamagana
#9 Posted : Friday, April 28, 2017 12:35:59 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/27/2009
Posts: 1,437
simonkabz wrote:
Lolest! wrote:
kaka2za wrote:
Lolest! wrote:
Iganamagana wrote:
2012 wrote:
The credibility of opinion polls is being questioned following a decisive win by Kabete MP Ferdinand Waititu over Kiambu Governor William Kabogo, against pollsters’ predictions.

The two were competing for the gubernatorial seat during the Jubilee party nominations in Kiambu County on Tuesday. The MP garnered 353,604 votes against the incumbent’s 69,916.

The result comes barely three weeks after an opinion poll by Infotrack showed Mr Kabogo would get 48.9% of the votes against Mr Waititu’s 31.8%, if elections were to be held on April 7.

Pollsters-on-the-spot


In their defence, the elections were not held on April 7th. A day in politics is like a lifetime. Kiambu people know all the dirt on Kabogos' past negative utterances especially against women were dug, nicely compiled and widely circulated on media platforms just two days before the first nomination day.

Lesson: Always watch your words and arrogance does not pay.

Wrong. Kabogo started losing kitambo sana


You are definitely not from Kiambu. Kabogo was assumed to be indispesable just a few weeks ago!

Yeah, by armchair analysts and Infotrak!


Bro umenoa. When Babayao came to the scene, opinion was split down the middle. Towards the nominations, Kabogo had regained imensely, almost sealing his re-election when he exposed Gakuyo as a fraudster (Gakuyo is not a fraudster). 2 days to nominations, the mother of all bombshells was unleashed.....the Nyondo cia Ngui collection of expletives meted by Kabogo in the past. Gakuyo himself went to Kameme and reiterated the Nyondo cia Ngui story among other terrible utterances by Kabogo. MAny women in the rural areas are always on Kameme/inooro, thile the townfolk are on social media.

Boom! That is the Day Kabogo's fate was sealed.


Haiya. Thimioni Kabuffallo had to get you out of hibernation. Karibu brother.
Lolest!
#10 Posted : Friday, April 28, 2017 1:10:14 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 3/18/2011
Posts: 12,069
Location: Kianjokoma
simonkabz wrote:
Lolest! wrote:
kaka2za wrote:
Lolest! wrote:
Iganamagana wrote:
2012 wrote:
The credibility of opinion polls is being questioned following a decisive win by Kabete MP Ferdinand Waititu over Kiambu Governor William Kabogo, against pollsters’ predictions.

The two were competing for the gubernatorial seat during the Jubilee party nominations in Kiambu County on Tuesday. The MP garnered 353,604 votes against the incumbent’s 69,916.

The result comes barely three weeks after an opinion poll by Infotrack showed Mr Kabogo would get 48.9% of the votes against Mr Waititu’s 31.8%, if elections were to be held on April 7.

Pollsters-on-the-spot


In their defence, the elections were not held on April 7th. A day in politics is like a lifetime. Kiambu people know all the dirt on Kabogos' past negative utterances especially against women were dug, nicely compiled and widely circulated on media platforms just two days before the first nomination day.

Lesson: Always watch your words and arrogance does not pay.

Wrong. Kabogo started losing kitambo sana


You are definitely not from Kiambu. Kabogo was assumed to be indispesable just a few weeks ago!

Yeah, by armchair analysts and Infotrak!


Bro umenoa. When Babayao came to the scene, opinion was split down the middle. Towards the nominations, Kabogo had regained imensely, almost sealing his re-election when he exposed Gakuyo as a fraudster (Gakuyo is not a fraudster). 2 days to nominations, the mother of all bombshells was unleashed.....the Nyondo cia Ngui collection of expletives meted by Kabogo in the past. Gakuyo himself went to Kameme and reiterated the Nyondo cia Ngui story among other terrible utterances by Kabogo. MAny women in the rural areas are always on Kameme/inooro, thile the townfolk are on social media.

Boom! That is the Day Kabogo's fate was sealed.

Man, Kafogo lost votes due to those stories but he was never ahead
Laughing out loudly smile Applause d'oh! Sad Drool Liar Shame on you Pray
Lolest!
#11 Posted : Friday, April 28, 2017 1:13:51 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 3/18/2011
Posts: 12,069
Location: Kianjokoma
and Karibu tena Thimioni...
Laughing out loudly smile Applause d'oh! Sad Drool Liar Shame on you Pray
safariant
#12 Posted : Friday, April 28, 2017 7:15:41 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/9/2010
Posts: 784
Location: ant hill - red hill
Infotrak said

"On the race for Senator, 35.4 per cent of those polled said they prefer voting for Kembi Gitura followed by Irungu Kang’ata at 23.1 per cent."
The greatest act of bravery is chancing a fart while suffering from diarrhoea
Angelica _ann
#13 Posted : Friday, April 28, 2017 7:22:24 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,929
safariant wrote:
Infotrak said

"On the race for Senator, 35.4 per cent of those polled said they prefer voting for Kembi Gitura followed by Irungu Kang’ata at 23.1 per cent."


Couldnt believe Irungu won. That was very nice. Among the few likeable JP members Applause Applause Applause
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
Swenani
#14 Posted : Friday, April 28, 2017 9:51:17 PM
Rank: User


Joined: 8/15/2013
Posts: 13,237
Location: Vacuum
Angelica _ann wrote:
safariant wrote:
Infotrak said

"On the race for Senator, 35.4 per cent of those polled said they prefer voting for Kembi Gitura followed by Irungu Kang’ata at 23.1 per cent."


Couldnt believe Irungu won. That was very nice. Among the few likeable JP members Applause Applause Applause


Unasema nini Angelica ann? Joshua wakahora Irungu is a likeable person?



Nyasaye, You dont know him, If I screw you for a night, you will change your mind about that short man with a checked suit
If Obiero did it, Who Am I?
safariant
#15 Posted : Saturday, April 29, 2017 11:30:35 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/9/2010
Posts: 784
Location: ant hill - red hill
Swenani wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
safariant wrote:
Infotrak said

"On the race for Senator, 35.4 per cent of those polled said they prefer voting for Kembi Gitura followed by Irungu Kang’ata at 23.1 per cent."


Couldnt believe Irungu won. That was very nice. Among the few likeable JP members Applause Applause Applause


Unasema nini Angelica ann? Joshua wakahora Irungu is a likeable person?



Nyasaye, You dont know him, If I screw you for a night, you will change your mind about that short man with a checked suit


Boss, which head is in control?
The greatest act of bravery is chancing a fart while suffering from diarrhoea
harrydre
#16 Posted : Sunday, April 30, 2017 11:17:41 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/10/2008
Posts: 9,131
Location: Kanjo
Infotrak has always given baba a clear win before elections and we all know what happens!

@simonkabz is alive? Daaamn!!
i.am.back!!!!
2012
#17 Posted : Sunday, April 30, 2017 12:26:13 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/9/2009
Posts: 6,592
Location: Nairobi
harrydre wrote:
Infotrak has always given baba a clear win before elections and we all know what happens!

@simonkabz is alive? Daaamn!!


Ukabila everywhere even opinions are tribal.
I keep wondering why anybody needs opinion polls for the whole of Kenya while all you need is to know the number of voters per tribe.
Opinion polls should be in the swing-tribes only ie Kisiis, Luhyas, Warias, Kamba and some parts of Coast.

BBI will solve it
:)
Angelica _ann
#18 Posted : Sunday, April 30, 2017 4:41:50 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,929
safariant wrote:
Swenani wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
safariant wrote:
Infotrak said

"On the race for Senator, 35.4 per cent of those polled said they prefer voting for Kembi Gitura followed by Irungu Kang’ata at 23.1 per cent."


Couldnt believe Irungu won. That was very nice. Among the few likeable JP members Applause Applause Applause


Unasema nini Angelica ann? Joshua wakahora Irungu is a likeable person?



Nyasaye, You dont know him, If I screw you for a night, you will change your mind about that short man with a checked suit


Boss, which head is in control?



Senator Muranga County nominations Jubilee candidates

MBAI JOSEPH
GITURA JAMES KEMBI: 146,207 votes
KANG’ATA IRUNGU:158,167 votes (winner)
NJANGI PETER MUIRURI


smile smile smile
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
FRM2011
#19 Posted : Thursday, July 06, 2017 12:45:07 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 11/5/2010
Posts: 2,459

Tifa research, the outfit founded by Maggie Ireri who used to be at Ipsos, has released its opinion poll results for nairobi county.

According to them, NASA has 58% and Jubilee 36% support in Nairobi.
That's a whole load of bullcrap. 51/49 is more like it.

Esther passaris will take women rep with a landslide. Fairly reasonable.

About 30% of voters are undecided on the senator race between edwin sifuna and johnson koskei. So far koskei has a marginal lead. - Fairly reasonable

Kidero and Sonko are in a neck-to-neck race at 45/44. PK is trailing at 4%.

NASA will take around 13 seats against jubilee's 4. Again lot of bull crap. 10/7 is more like it.

Finally, and this tells you why its a fake poll, they say NASA commands 70% support in Dagoreti south. This is a jubilee stronghold with >60%. All MCAs and MP were elected on TNA tickets. We are talking waithaka, mutuini, riruta and such areas.

I don't think these guys ever step out of their air-conditioned offices to conduct opinion polls. They simply cook the figures.
Swenani
#20 Posted : Thursday, July 06, 2017 12:54:09 PM
Rank: User


Joined: 8/15/2013
Posts: 13,237
Location: Vacuum
Angelica _ann wrote:
safariant wrote:
Swenani wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
safariant wrote:
Infotrak said

"On the race for Senator, 35.4 per cent of those polled said they prefer voting for Kembi Gitura followed by Irungu Kang’ata at 23.1 per cent."


Couldnt believe Irungu won. That was very nice. Among the few likeable JP members Applause Applause Applause


Unasema nini Angelica ann? Joshua wakahora Irungu is a likeable person?



Nyasaye, You dont know him, If I screw you for a night, you will change your mind about that short man with a checked suit


Boss, which head is in control?



Senator Muranga County nominations Jubilee candidates

MBAI JOSEPH
GITURA JAMES KEMBI: 146,207 votes
KANG’ATA IRUNGU:158,167 votes (winner)
NJANGI PETER MUIRURI


smile smile smile


My bad, I thought you were referring to Laikipa kafana
If Obiero did it, Who Am I?
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