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Centum HY17
maka
#51 Posted : Friday, April 14, 2017 4:34:34 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
MadDoc wrote:
target1360 wrote:
i dont admire this idea of companies planning to sell this and that in order to make a profit of x billions.
This seems more of a publicity stunt and a short term vision too
If the company is in the business of buying and selling plots then this would be acceptable.


The business model isn't that bad. Buy acres of land, develop part of it, then sell off part of the land at a premium.
Realistically, i doubt if they would be able to develop the whole parcel.
It makes sense to sell it and use the cash to offset debts.
It is an investment company. It has to know when to divest.

However, if they sell the land and the value is not felt in terms of dividends, i'd consider that sacrilegious.



Doubt it will be felt....
possunt quia posse videntur
Horton
#52 Posted : Friday, April 14, 2017 5:05:36 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 8/30/2007
Posts: 1,558
Location: Nairobi
maka wrote:
MadDoc wrote:
target1360 wrote:
i dont admire this idea of companies planning to sell this and that in order to make a profit of x billions.
This seems more of a publicity stunt and a short term vision too
If the company is in the business of buying and selling plots then this would be acceptable.


The business model isn't that bad. Buy acres of land, develop part of it, then sell off part of the land at a premium.
Realistically, i doubt if they would be able to develop the whole parcel.
It makes sense to sell it and use the cash to offset debts.
It is an investment company. It has to know when to divest.

However, if they sell the land and the value is not felt in terms of dividends, i'd consider that sacrilegious.



Doubt it will be felt....


Poor timing for selling maproti

Doubt it will yield the desired outcome....not in the short term atleast.

Again, TRDL is only 20% something owned by Centum, the company TRDL itself is in realestate. So perhaps, u guys need to delink centum from the business.
ngapat
#53 Posted : Friday, April 14, 2017 5:39:29 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 12/11/2006
Posts: 930
MadDoc wrote:
target1360 wrote:
i dont admire this idea of companies planning to sell this and that in order to make a profit of x billions.
This seems more of a publicity stunt and a short term vision too
If the company is in the business of buying and selling plots then this would be acceptable.


The business model isn't that bad. Buy acres of land, develop part of it, then sell off part of the land at a premium.
Realistically, i doubt if they would be able to develop the whole parcel.
It makes sense to sell it and use the cash to offset debts.
It is an investment company. It has to know when to divest.

However, if they sell the land and the value is not felt in terms of dividends, i'd consider that sacrilegious.

Thats exactly where the problem is. Sell land at a premium and award themselves bonuses with shareholders getting nothing. Expect 1.5b in bonuses this time
“Invest in yourself. Your career is the engine of your wealth.”
Ericsson
#54 Posted : Friday, April 14, 2017 11:06:11 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,804
Location: NAIROBI
The way two Rivers project was undertaken was fishy.
They should have started with houses i.e high end houses sitting on half an acre,build about 100 in the first 60 acres then sell.
There they could have made a profit of more than a bn and debt they would have incurred would have been less.
The mall should have been the last like the way other developers have done it e.g Greenspan,HFCK
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Realtreaty
#55 Posted : Friday, April 14, 2017 11:50:06 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 8/16/2011
Posts: 2,386
Ericsson wrote:
The way two Rivers project was undertaken was fishy.
They should have started with houses i.e high end houses sitting on half an acre,build about 100 in the first 60 acres then sell.
There they could have made a profit of more than a bn and debt they would have incurred would have been less.
The mall should have been the last like the way other developers have done it e.g Greenspan,HFCK

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
That is you and reason you are poor.
The mall job first will attract high end buyers for them as each buyer will not mind cost but convenience. Those with Money need convenience, they want to stay where they can dine, shop, hang, meet and make more business.
Before mall a house could cost 20 M while with mall and other facilities it would even double the Price to 40 Msmile smile
obiero
#56 Posted : Saturday, April 15, 2017 5:57:28 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,217
Location: nairobi
Realtreaty wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
The way two Rivers project was undertaken was fishy.
They should have started with houses i.e high end houses sitting on half an acre,build about 100 in the first 60 acres then sell.
There they could have made a profit of more than a bn and debt they would have incurred would have been less.
The mall should have been the last like the way other developers have done it e.g Greenspan,HFCK

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
That is you and reason you are poor.
The mall job first will attract high end buyers for them as each buyer will not mind cost but convenience. Those with Money need convenience, they want to stay where they can dine, shop, hang, meet and make more business.
Before mall a house could cost 20 M while with mall and other facilities it would even double the Price to 40 Msmile smile

@realtreaty I love your patience. I personally
would not have the energy to reply to such a misguided view as held by
@ericsson

KQ ABP 4.26
Ericsson
#57 Posted : Saturday, April 15, 2017 7:25:35 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,804
Location: NAIROBI
Realtreaty wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
The way two Rivers project was undertaken was fishy.
They should have started with houses i.e high end houses sitting on half an acre,build about 100 in the first 60 acres then sell.
There they could have made a profit of more than a bn and debt they would have incurred would have been less.
The mall should have been the last like the way other developers have done it e.g Greenspan,HFCK

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
That is you and reason you are poor.
The mall job first will attract high end buyers for them as each buyer will not mind cost but convenience. Those with Money need convenience, they want to stay where they can dine, shop, hang, meet and make more business.
Before mall a house could cost 20 M while with mall and other facilities it would even double the Price to 40 Msmile smile


The option of mall first only works if you are a cash rich investor like Actis who built Garden city and the owner of the hub in Karen.
The days of over inflating the price of a house just because you built a mall are long gone.
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
VituVingiSana
#58 Posted : Saturday, April 15, 2017 10:50:42 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,347
Location: Nairobi
maka wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
snipermnoma wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Two Rivers seeks Sh2bn to fund real estate plans


Two Rivers Development Limited (TRDL), a company partly owned by investment firm Centum is seeking to raise Sh2 billion through short-term debt to fund its real estate projects.


TRDL, whose other shareholders are Aviation Industry Corp of China (Avic), and the Industrial and Commercial Development Corporation, is issuing a one-year note with an interest rate offer of 14.5 per cent.
Centum Investments, which owns 58 per cent of TRDL, will guarantee the note

Madeni will finish Centum

http://www.businessdaily...6510-hj9andz/index.html


If it is a 1 year note why not just get it from a bank e.g. Sidian at the max rate of 14%?

Insider lending of this magnitude would attract the attention of CBK...


What if they borrowed from another bank?If the company is that stable the rates would definetly be lower than this one year note...If the likes of KQ can get a facility @ 7-8% they should surely enjoy the same...or even 10% thats a whole 450bps.

Please let us who is lending to KQ at 8%. Thank you. [In KES, not subsidized by GoK, a loan made today not negotiated when KQ was much healthier] I shall await your answer.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
VituVingiSana
#59 Posted : Saturday, April 15, 2017 10:52:12 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,347
Location: Nairobi
Ericsson wrote:
The way two Rivers project was undertaken was fishy.
They should have started with houses i.e high end houses sitting on half an acre,build about 100 in the first 60 acres then sell.
There they could have made a profit of more than a bn and debt they would have incurred would have been less.
The mall should have been the last like the way other developers have done it e.g Greenspan,HFCK

How is HFCK doing? Do we have the financials for Greenspan?
I think building the mall & selling a huge part of it at a "high" valuation to Old Mutual was very smart. I hope they sell off the rest of the (shares) mall!
The "parent" is now selling off "expensive" plots to various developers and this was possible because the Mall allowed TRDL to invest in infrastructure to make the entire 102 acres attractive. The security, roads, etc will make high-prices residential development attractive for many "foreign" [Green Zone e.g. UN, US, etc] staff.

I believe cash is king but as a Warren Buffett fan, I don't mind (cash) profits that come in chunks and not monthly as long as Centum can manage its cashflows.

BTW, I don't hold many Centum coz I feel I have better (potential) returns in other firms.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Ericsson
#60 Posted : Saturday, April 15, 2017 11:30:12 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,804
Location: NAIROBI
VituVingiSana wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
The way two Rivers project was undertaken was fishy.
They should have started with houses i.e high end houses sitting on half an acre,build about 100 in the first 60 acres then sell.
There they could have made a profit of more than a bn and debt they would have incurred would have been less.
The mall should have been the last like the way other developers have done it e.g Greenspan,HFCK

How is HFCK doing? Do we have the financials for Greenspan?
I think building the mall & selling a huge part of it at a "high" valuation to Old Mutual was very smart. I hope they sell off the rest of the (shares) mall!
The "parent" is now selling off "expensive" plots to various developers and this was possible because the Mall allowed TRDL to invest in infrastructure to make the entire 102 acres attractive. The security, roads, etc will make high-prices residential development attractive for many "foreign" [Green Zone e.g. UN, US, etc] staff.

I believe cash is king but as a Warren Buffett fan, I don't mind (cash) profits that come in chunks and not monthly as long as Centum can manage its cashflows.

BTW, I don't hold many Centum coz I feel I have better (potential) returns in other firms.


@VVS
HFCK did the houses then the mall last.The demand for shops at the mall will be build by the residents first not outsiders as most of them as it is becoming are idlers on the shopping mall.
The financials for Greenspan you can get from Stanlib I Fahari REIT annual report
As for the sale to Old Mutual of the mall;info I have is that this time Old Mutual squeezed centum thoroughly on the balls.They learnt from the UAP stake sale.
The foreigner staff you are talking about prefer Runda,Kiambu road and Gigiri compared to Two Rivers.
Problem with Two Rivers is the overlooking slum called Ruaka which they fear.
The Embassies if they want a place they will book in advance and give you the necessary deposit/finance to start construction.
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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