Long term cartoon.

461% return since Nov 2004 to date!!!
Still bullish for 12 years as per the bullish trend line. Any close below that multi-year trend line will be a nasty trend reversal signal.
Update: Note that we have heavy volume that checked in on Mar 4 2016 which has stalled the bullish momentum since then. Caution on this vol spike behaviour. As per VSA or price action it's not a nice signal when vol spike appears at a new high and any other attempt to set higher prices fails after that vol spike in weeks that follow! That's a classic distribution move! Near term support is 14000 handle and major support zone is 11500 - 13000 range. Last defense lies at 10000 handle.
Happy hunting

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!