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Uhuru versus Raila 2017
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KulaRaha
#161 Posted : Wednesday, February 08, 2017 11:04:06 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/26/2007
Posts: 6,514
Swenani wrote:
washiku wrote:
KulaRaha wrote:
Shotgun wrote:
IEBC DATA WEEK 3

Assuming the same voting patterns/ turn out:

WEEK 2: UHURUTO (50.19%) OTHERS (49.81%)
WEEK 3: UHURUTO (50.24%) OTHERS (49.76%)


You'll never see 2013 turnout again.


Across board or on Jubilee 'strongholds' only? Might the turnout be overturned? That is more in NASA than Jubilee?


Across board.

2pm team-There is no emotional motivation to vote like the ICC cases where people were emotional
Team Otoyo-Voter fatigue of perpetually losing


Agreed. Both sides are sick of the politicians...lack of progress etc.
Business opportunities are like buses,there's always another one coming
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ZZE123
#162 Posted : Wednesday, February 08, 2017 11:06:53 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/21/2008
Posts: 2,490
KulaRaha wrote:
Swenani wrote:
washiku wrote:
KulaRaha wrote:
Shotgun wrote:
IEBC DATA WEEK 3

Assuming the same voting patterns/ turn out:

WEEK 2: UHURUTO (50.19%) OTHERS (49.81%)
WEEK 3: UHURUTO (50.24%) OTHERS (49.76%)


You'll never see 2013 turnout again.


Across board or on Jubilee 'strongholds' only? Might the turnout be overturned? That is more in NASA than Jubilee?


Across board.

2pm team-There is no emotional motivation to vote like the ICC cases where people were emotional
Team Otoyo-Voter fatigue of perpetually losing


Agreed. Both sides are sick of the politicians...lack of progress etc.


Election Myths – My crystal ball tells me voter turnout will be higher than 2013
The man who marries a beautiful woman, and the farmer who grows corn by the roadside have the same problem
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Swenani
#163 Posted : Wednesday, February 08, 2017 11:18:12 AM
Rank: User

Joined: 8/15/2013
Posts: 13,237
Location: Vacuum
ZZE123 wrote:
KulaRaha wrote:
Swenani wrote:
washiku wrote:
KulaRaha wrote:
Shotgun wrote:
IEBC DATA WEEK 3

Assuming the same voting patterns/ turn out:

WEEK 2: UHURUTO (50.19%) OTHERS (49.81%)
WEEK 3: UHURUTO (50.24%) OTHERS (49.76%)


You'll never see 2013 turnout again.


Across board or on Jubilee 'strongholds' only? Might the turnout be overturned? That is more in NASA than Jubilee?


Across board.

2pm team-There is no emotional motivation to vote like the ICC cases where people were emotional
Team Otoyo-Voter fatigue of perpetually losing


Agreed. Both sides are sick of the politicians...lack of progress etc.


Election Myths – My crystal ball tells me voter turnout will be higher than 2013


It's not a myth.
Voter turnout through the years with my laymans analysis
1983-33%-Lowest probably due to 1979 experience
1988-35.71%-Single party desperation
1992-66.2%-Hope with introduction of multi party elections
1997-65.14%-Despair
2002-57.2%-Giving up on multi party
2007- 69%-Betrayal
2013-85.91-ICC

I'm sure the bot(Masukuma) can dig up proper data with graphs, you tube videos and explanations for these trends
If Obiero did it, Who Am I?
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  | | Edit by user: Wednesday, February 08, 2017 11:24 AM | Reason: Not specified
madollar
#164 Posted : Wednesday, February 08, 2017 11:32:53 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/17/2009
Posts: 2,040
Location: GA
Swenani wrote:
ZZE123 wrote:
KulaRaha wrote:
Swenani wrote:
washiku wrote:
KulaRaha wrote:
Shotgun wrote:
IEBC DATA WEEK 3

Assuming the same voting patterns/ turn out:

WEEK 2: UHURUTO (50.19%) OTHERS (49.81%)
WEEK 3: UHURUTO (50.24%) OTHERS (49.76%)


You'll never see 2013 turnout again.


Across board or on Jubilee 'strongholds' only? Might the turnout be overturned? That is more in NASA than Jubilee?


Across board.

2pm team-There is no emotional motivation to vote like the ICC cases where people were emotional
Team Otoyo-Voter fatigue of perpetually losing


Agreed. Both sides are sick of the politicians...lack of progress etc.


Election Myths – My crystal ball tells me voter turnout will be higher than 2013


It's not a myth.
Voter turnout through the years with my laymans analysis
1983-33%-Lowest probably due to 1979 experience
1988-35.71%-Single party desperation
1992-66.2%-Hope with introduction of multi party elections
1997-65.14%-Despair
2002-57.2%-Giving up on multi party
2007- 69%-Betrayal
2013-85.91-ICC

I'm sure the bot(Masukuma) can dig up proper data with graphs, you tube videos and explanations for these trends

2017-NASA Presidential Candidate .
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Swenani
#165 Posted : Wednesday, February 08, 2017 12:25:22 PM
Rank: User

Joined: 8/15/2013
Posts: 13,237
Location: Vacuum
madollar wrote:
Swenani wrote:
ZZE123 wrote:
KulaRaha wrote:
Swenani wrote:
washiku wrote:
KulaRaha wrote:
Shotgun wrote:
IEBC DATA WEEK 3

Assuming the same voting patterns/ turn out:

WEEK 2: UHURUTO (50.19%) OTHERS (49.81%)
WEEK 3: UHURUTO (50.24%) OTHERS (49.76%)


You'll never see 2013 turnout again.


Across board or on Jubilee 'strongholds' only? Might the turnout be overturned? That is more in NASA than Jubilee?


Across board.

2pm team-There is no emotional motivation to vote like the ICC cases where people were emotional
Team Otoyo-Voter fatigue of perpetually losing


Agreed. Both sides are sick of the politicians...lack of progress etc.


Election Myths – My crystal ball tells me voter turnout will be higher than 2013


It's not a myth.
Voter turnout through the years with my laymans analysis
1983-33%-Lowest probably due to 1979 experience
1988-35.71%-Single party desperation
1992-66.2%-Hope with introduction of multi party elections
1997-65.14%-Despair
2002-57.2%-Giving up on multi party
2007- 69%-Betrayal
2013-85.91-ICC

I'm sure the bot(Masukuma) can dig up proper data with graphs, you tube videos and explanations for these trends

2017-NASA Presidential Candidate .


If NASA sticks together, there will be a run off which might attract high voter turn out.Voter registration will be a key determinant of who wins the run off

If they split, JP might win with an even lower figure compared with 2013....in 2013, Uhunye won with less than 8,500 votes

If Obiero did it, Who Am I?
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Bigchick
#166 Posted : Wednesday, February 08, 2017 2:55:21 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/8/2013
Posts: 4,068
Location: At Large.
8,500 votes??!!

Not true.You must have missed 2 zeros hapo juu.The race was against 50% +1 not against CORD.They trailed all.the way.
Love is beautiful and so are those who share it.With Love, Marriage is an amazing event in ones life time, the foundation of joy, happiness and success.
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kaka2za
#167 Posted : Wednesday, February 08, 2017 3:36:27 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/3/2008
Posts: 4,058
Location: Gwitu
Bigchick wrote:
8,500 votes??!!

Not true.You must have missed 2 zeros hapo juu.The race was against 50% +1 not against CORD.They trailed all.the way.


Yes he got 50% +8500 otherwise kingerundiwo
Truth forever on the scaffold
Wrong forever on the throne
(James Russell Rowell)
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Bigchick
#168 Posted : Wednesday, February 08, 2017 4:04:48 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/8/2013
Posts: 4,068
Location: At Large.
kaka2za wrote:
Bigchick wrote:
8,500 votes??!!

Not true.You must have missed 2 zeros hapo juu.The race was against 50% +1 not against CORD.They trailed all.the way.


Yes he got 50% +8500 otherwise kingerundiwo


Agreed.Against 50+1 but against hao wengine ilikua more.That is where I was confused buy now niko out of the confusion.
Love is beautiful and so are those who share it.With Love, Marriage is an amazing event in ones life time, the foundation of joy, happiness and success.
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Fyatu
#169 Posted : Wednesday, February 08, 2017 6:13:44 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 1/20/2011
Posts: 1,822
Location: Nakuru
Ole Itumbi should by now ensured that that Jubilee song plays on every TV station at Prime time (7 PM - 9PM)

In case he is wondering want song i am talking about this is the SONG
Dumb money becomes dumb only when it listens to smart money
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  | | Edit by user: Wednesday, February 08, 2017 6:17 PM | Reason: Not specified
FRM2011
#170 Posted : Wednesday, February 08, 2017 7:08:12 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 11/5/2010
Posts: 2,459

Watu wa rware (nyeri) wamekataa kuchukua kura. 20% of target. Jubilee has appointed Karangi to head the team for mobilizing registration.

On FB forums, it's hilarious reading the comments. One of the questions asked most is why did they bring an outsider ? Only to be told that Karangi is actually from nyeri. And most folks still can't believe he is a nyerian.

If jubilee were keen, they would now realize that it is scary to sell the "uthamaki" crap.
A son of nyeri rose to become the CGS and a good number of nyeri guys don't believe he is from their county.

Because he never shared the goodies. Had he come from Nandi or Baringo, there would be announcements during army recruitment in all churches asking for the names of all young men and women who would wish to join the army. But in mt.kenya, that doesn't happen at all.

But Kibaki was different. He didn't have to share the goodies. He simply enlarged the national cake and we all jumped in. Only limiting factor was your swiftness and hardwork.
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