Obi 1 Kanobi wrote:[quote=Liv][color=blue]
I disagree, Peter Kenneth is being set up for a stab at the presidency in 2022 against William Ruto.
As we all know, central will not vote outsiders, and many presume other blocks like nyanza will also not vote Ruto, so solution is to get a perceived non insider from central ready to take over from UK.
I for one will vote PK anyday over Ruto.
I don't think anyone is setting PK up - its just plain obvious that if he runs now he will not get either the Central or other regions' votes - in Central he will in fact be accused of being spoiler.
The 2 farasis are too strong, entire country polarized on those 2 ends, and he knows he doesnt stand much chance now - yet remaining in political Siberia would not be advisable as he would be 'forgotten'
It is a simple analysis really.
Nbi would have been best for him as a 2022 springboard, but he would not be assured - has higher chance in Fort Hall.
IMHO, it is a fallacy, and not a truism, that Central will not automatically choose anyone outside their community come 2022.Why is that assumed so automatic?
This mindset ignores a major factor: changing age dynamics of voters.
I mean so many changes in demographic trends have taken place, with the old guard and their mentality of Kyuk hegemony gradually ebbing away.
In 5 years the numbers of the Kyuk Independence generation and those with similar mindset will be almost negligible with majority of voters being vijanas brought up in an urban or informed setting, and more closer to other vijanas elsewhere that with their wazees.
Even in Luhyaland there is a major paradigm shift not just to be used by other communities but other communities to now support their quest for power.
Similarly, Kyuks will not stay stagnant forever and will realise they need to support other communities as well to ascend to presidency.
The problem is that we are extrapolating future trends using old mindsets which will be majorly disrupted by the bend-over generation.
my 2 cents.