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Unga FY 2015-16
VituVingiSana
#1 Posted : Friday, September 30, 2016 10:18:28 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,349
Location: Nairobi
Unga has released decent, not spectacular, results for FY 2015-16 (year end 30th June). I hope someone can post the results on here.

EPS 4.32 [FY 2015 was 3.70 (Continuing Ops) + 1.57 (Discontinued Ops)]
NAV 5.7bn [includes non-controlling shareholders] vs 5.32bn
Dividend 1/-


That's history. The future looks good [but feel free to poke holes].

- Challenges in getting "good" maize in 2H but maize harvests and cheaper imports from UG will help.
- VAT exemptions for certain animal feed inputs in 2H and rolling into 2016-17.
- Silo rehab, new silos and grain intake improvements for further efficiencies as well as better storage capacity. 2H 2016-17.
- Expenses for ICT system upgrades, new HR hires and "brand equity" though I have no idea what "brand equity" means for Unga. I hope the ICT upgrades help in cutting down losses.

The abridged info does not specify what the financing costs were but I hope Unga benefits from the lower(ed) interest rates as well as the stable KES/USD.

Waiting for the Annual Report and AGM for more info!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Pesa Nane
#2 Posted : Friday, September 30, 2016 10:28:28 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 5/25/2012
Posts: 4,105
Location: 08c
Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
Pesa Nane
#3 Posted : Friday, September 30, 2016 10:33:49 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 5/25/2012
Posts: 4,105
Location: 08c
Dividend Ksh. 1 Per Share

Payable 11 January 2017
Closure 01 December 2016

AGM 01 December 2016
Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
Pesa Nane
#4 Posted : Friday, September 30, 2016 10:35:25 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 5/25/2012
Posts: 4,105
Location: 08c
@Vitu, check header. It's FY 2015-16.
Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
Pesa Nane
#5 Posted : Friday, September 30, 2016 10:37:50 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 5/25/2012
Posts: 4,105
Location: 08c
Appointment of Director:
The Board is pleased to announce the appointment of Ms. Shilpa Haria to the Board of Directors with effect from 29 September 2016.
Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
VituVingiSana
#6 Posted : Friday, September 30, 2016 11:14:50 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,349
Location: Nairobi
Pesa Nane wrote:
@Vitu, check header. It's FY 2015-16.
I am looking ahead. The results [as you know & thanks for posting] for 2015-16 have been released. So what now for 2016-17?
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
VituVingiSana
#7 Posted : Friday, September 30, 2016 11:17:31 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,349
Location: Nairobi
Pesa Nane wrote:
Appointment of Director:
The Board is pleased to announce the appointment of Ms. Shilpa Haria to the Board of Directors with effect from 29 September 2016.

Who is she? Any info on her? Is she another Ndegwa proxy?

@Aguy - Check this out. She is also connected to FTG.
http://www.bloomberg.com...&privcapId=275812554
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Elephant Man
#8 Posted : Friday, September 30, 2016 3:36:21 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 12/24/2008
Posts: 112
At last year's AGM they banged on about Ennsvalley and how it was the best thing since sliced bread(!) as a justification for the purchase of this company from the Ndegwa's, so I'll be interested in seeing it's contribution to revenue and profit once they publish their full report. Pity that they haven't published the notice (or a full report) of these results on their website at the time of this posting - an indication of their 'efficiency'?

Last year's Annual Report mentioned the availability of their Amana brand of pulses - my own observation in the supermarkets in the area that I live and shop, is that the product is either not stocked or when it is, it's crowded out by in-house store brands.

Like @VVS, I'm not sure what this investment in 'brand equity' entails, as their company name 'Unga' and flagship product 'Jogoo' are in Kenya almost generic names for maize meal - if you go to a kiosk and ask for 'Jogoo' you'll be offered maize meal (not soap, cooking oil, razor blades or petroleum jelly) even if it's of a different brand...

In my view, for a company that generates close to Kshs. 20 billion in annual turnover, with good management, their is huge room for improvement in their operating profit - unfortunately, I don't have access to the results of competing companies to prove this point.

'Small' investors will be disappointed at the dividend payout policy (if it exists) of this company...
VituVingiSana
#9 Posted : Friday, September 30, 2016 6:52:03 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,349
Location: Nairobi
@ElepantMan - I am OK with the low dividend coz Unga is still expanding its portfolio of brands and distribution reach which needs money. Better to use the cash to expand & reduce debt rather than pay a dividend and take on more loans in this economy headed into an election year. Or come for a Rights Issue.

"Since sliced bread" Laughing out loudly Applause Laughing out loudly Applause

Amana - Spot on! I think they are trying to build a name but in-house brands are killing off the rest in pricing and visibility.

Brand Equity - "Unga" has cachet. We know "Unga" and "Jogoo" even "Exe" but there is a LOT of competition. Unga refuses to mill poor quality maize [I support the move] & that means reduced sales. I only buy Unga products. So what is the expense on "Brand Equity"???

Competitors - None are listed. I think most competitors are family-owned [so no data] & some will die off as the 2nd & 3rd generations start mis-managing them. Isn't the TSS empire in trouble?

Ennsvalley - I have been skeptical. The +ve is it's a small entity within Unga. The -ve is it might take up more time & resources of Unga's senior management than it's worth.

The new and upgraded silos should do a lot for Unga's competitiveness & ability to store more grain when it is cheaper. There's also talk of a new wheat mill in Eldoret to cater for a growing urban, wheat-eating population.

Like you, I hope to see a separate breakdown of Ennsvalley comparing 2016 vs 2015.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Elephant Man
#10 Posted : Saturday, October 01, 2016 1:04:50 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 12/24/2008
Posts: 112
@VVS - Unga as a company, is over 100 years old in Kenya so the story of expanding their portfolio of brands and distribution reach sounds rather dated! My yardstick for dividends is whether the funds are better off in the company or in the pocket of the investor - probably the same thinking that informed Safaricom's special dividend. For as long as I've held this stock (about a decade), the directors retain the bulk of the profits in the business for 'investment'. My fear is that they really don't have a solid strategic plan (I've not seen one articulated) for these funds and that they will get tempted to 'buy' another Ennsvalley - mind you this investment (or anything like it) was probably not even on their radar five to six years ago! This is a mature company in a mature industry (and the barriers to entry are low) - it would need a sea change in their thinking and innovation to justify the level of retained profits. Probably a reason why they're ceding market share to upstarts like Capwell (established 1999) and supermarket brands (which are a very recent phenomenon in our retail economy) is their slow response to changing market dynamics.

As you say most competitors are family-owned businesses, which rather than die off, may even get listed (like Flame Tree), OR the 2nd and 3rd generations take them up to the next level in terms of 'brand portfolio expansion and distribution reach'.

My thinking is that they should now consider a glide path whereby they completely outsource milling of human foods (some of their product is currently milled by Rafiki Millers), stocking, packing and distribution of the finished product (under proper supervision and controls to ensure quality is maintained), and invest heavily in advertising and marketing the brands (brand equity?) throughout the region, while exploring new products and opportunities (did you know that Kenya has the 5th highest population of camels in Africa and along with Somalia and Ethiopia are among the leading exporters of these animals to the Middle East? Or that 5 million head of livestock are exported annually from Greater Somalia to the Middle East?). Food for thought....

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