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Elliott Wave Analysis Of The NSE 20
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lochaz-index
#2181 Posted : Thursday, September 22, 2016 11:52:01 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
Expect measly dividend payout from the banks at FY 2016. They have to stash away some dry powder to last the fight. Meanwhile gross sector's NPLs are slowly creeping on the 10% mark. Let's see whether the reduced rates will help to reduce the build up or the tough business environment will negate any gains on that front.

I don't expect any bank to go on a loan buying spree of existing loan accounts...that will be suicide. Stanchart pulled off that stunt in 2014 when KBRR was first introduced @10.9%. For about three months in Q3 they took on loans from all over the park. This came back to sting them hard at FY 2015 through huge provisions. Conservatism is of the essence.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
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mnandii
#2182 Posted : Thursday, September 22, 2016 6:00:37 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
mnandii wrote:
mnandii wrote:
mnandii wrote:
mnandii wrote:
A Socionomic View of Accidents
At market tops (the height of positive social mood) flying is safer while driving is dangerous.

The elevated social mood creates feelings of inclusionism. Flying requires joint effort with different teams working together to make the event a success. Thus enough attention is directed at safety.

The elevated social mood creates optimism. Optimistic drivers over-speed thus leading to accidents.

.................................................

In bear markets, social mood is depressed creating feelings of exclusionism (people pulling in different directions). Thus, for flights, this pulling apart precludes paying enough attention to safety measures hence aviation accidents.

Depressed people do not over-speed thus fewer vehicular accidents in a bear market.

Therefore, as this bear matures, ensure you limit frequency of your flying and embark on driving more. smile


Post 1036 on October 15th, 2015


Light aircraft crashes in Ngong

link


Light aircraft crash-lands in Malindi

Sad

link



Aircraft crashes at Nairobi National Park Sad

Quote:
A light aircraft belonging to SPC Aviation College has crashed at Nairobi National Park.

An instructor and a female student on board the aircraft escaped unhurt.


link

You call them coincidence. We call it the power of The Wave Principle.

Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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mufasa
#2183 Posted : Thursday, September 22, 2016 8:42:51 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 4/15/2008
Posts: 238
Yea, it can't be coincidence any more. Others are predicting that they will keep falling for the next three years, despite the expected 6% growth on GDP.
Do it today! Tomorrow is promise to no-one.
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sparkly
#2184 Posted : Friday, September 23, 2016 5:39:16 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
mnandii wrote:
mnandii wrote:
mnandii wrote:
mnandii wrote:
mnandii wrote:
A Socionomic View of Accidents
At market tops (the height of positive social mood) flying is safer while driving is dangerous.

The elevated social mood creates feelings of inclusionism. Flying requires joint effort with different teams working together to make the event a success. Thus enough attention is directed at safety.

The elevated social mood creates optimism. Optimistic drivers over-speed thus leading to accidents.

.................................................

In bear markets, social mood is depressed creating feelings of exclusionism (people pulling in different directions). Thus, for flights, this pulling apart precludes paying enough attention to safety measures hence aviation accidents.

Depressed people do not over-speed thus fewer vehicular accidents in a bear market.

Therefore, as this bear matures, ensure you limit frequency of your flying and embark on driving more. smile


Post 1036 on October 15th, 2015


Light aircraft crashes in Ngong

link


Light aircraft crash-lands in Malindi

Sad

link



Aircraft crashes at Nairobi National Park Sad

Quote:
A light aircraft belonging to SPC Aviation College has crashed at Nairobi National Park.

An instructor and a female student on board the aircraft escaped unhurt.


link

You call them coincidence. We call it the power of The Wave Principle.



Connection between the stock market and light air plane accidents in kenya is too remote IMO.
Life is short. Live passionately.
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mufasa
#2185 Posted : Friday, September 23, 2016 7:12:50 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 4/15/2008
Posts: 238
Actually, after a bit of thinking, it seems like @mnandii is suggesting that the stock market is a zero-sum game.
From this line if thought, it would follow that all uncertainities that we are about to face e.g. elections, regional political threats, interest rates etc all mean that you can't make money on the NSE in the near future.
But these threats will be with us for possibly a couple of years. Surely, me making money out of the NSE is not predicated on these assumptions.

Do it today! Tomorrow is promise to no-one.
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obiero
#2186 Posted : Friday, September 23, 2016 7:27:43 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,217
Location: nairobi
mufasa wrote:
Actually, after a bit of thinking, it seems like @mnandii is suggesting that the stock market is a zero-sum game.
From this line if thought, it would follow that all uncertainities that we are about to face e.g. elections, regional political threats, interest rates etc all mean that you can't make money on the NSE in the near future.
But these threats will be with us for possibly a couple of years. Surely, me making money out of the NSE is not predicated on these assumptions.


@stocksmaster predicted that the same would happen prior to the last election. That NSE would collapse. But the reverse held true.. Its certainly a risky time, but with the correct counters, luck may smile on your choices

KQ ABP 4.26
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hisah
#2187 Posted : Friday, September 23, 2016 2:34:11 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Britam Pray

10.00 handle better hold otherwise nasty nosedive ahead!
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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snipermnoma
#2188 Posted : Sunday, September 25, 2016 3:55:54 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/3/2014
Posts: 257
hisah wrote:
Britam Pray

10.00 handle better hold otherwise nasty nosedive ahead!


True that. All indications are that it will not hold, this bear will take it down.
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Aguytrying
#2189 Posted : Sunday, September 25, 2016 5:03:26 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
hisah wrote:
Britam Pray

10.00 handle better hold otherwise nasty nosedive ahead!


There was a rush to buy it at 10 last time, let's see if it holds
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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Spikes
#2190 Posted : Sunday, September 25, 2016 6:51:10 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
Aguytrying wrote:
hisah wrote:
Britam Pray

10.00 handle better hold otherwise nasty nosedive ahead!


There was a rush to buy it at 10 last time, let's see if it holds



As for now that rush has ran out of steam.
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
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