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snipermnoma		#2161 Posted : Tuesday, September 13, 2016 5:40:27 PM
Rank: Member Joined: 1/3/2014 Posts: 257		mnandii wrote: maka wrote: instinct wrote: snipermnoma wrote: With interest rates declining is it not a sign that the bottom for stocks is nigh? That's an interesting point...no one has seen that angle yet. stock market performance and interest rates have an inverse relationship. when bonds hit 7% money will chase equities. except bank stocks of course Bonds are not hitting 7% any time soon...we have a long way to go...if I can get a 10 year paper at 13.8% levels,then tuko mbali Those relationships work until they STOP! What I mean is that it is not reliable. How often do these relationships stop? They seem to have been reliable pretty consistently.
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hisah		#2162 Posted : Tuesday, September 13, 2016 9:28:10 PM
Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977		100 points on the bounce since stalling at 3123 as NSE20 closed today at 3223. BoE meets this Thursday so I'll be keeping an eye on FTSE. The big one is next Wednesday when US Fed meets. September and October look poised to be quite volatile. Let's see how the markets will play out. $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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mlennyma		#2163 Posted : Wednesday, September 14, 2016 9:09:54 AM
Rank: Elder Joined: 7/21/2010 Posts: 6,194 Location: nairobi		hisah wrote: 100 points on the bounce since stalling at 3123 as NSE20 closed today at 3223. BoE meets this Thursday so I'll be keeping an eye on FTSE. The big one is next Wednesday when US Fed meets. September and October look poised to be quite volatile. Let's see how the markets will play out. everything is boring i should go for holiday "Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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hisah		#2164 Posted : Wednesday, September 14, 2016 5:08:55 PM
Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977		mlennyma wrote: hisah wrote: 100 points on the bounce since stalling at 3123 as NSE20 closed today at 3223. BoE meets this Thursday so I'll be keeping an eye on FTSE. The big one is next Wednesday when US Fed meets. September and October look poised to be quite volatile. Let's see how the markets will play out. everything is boring i should go for holiday Posts drought Quiet markets are usually a strong signal for large volatility ahead. $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Gatheuzi		#2165 Posted : Wednesday, September 14, 2016 6:34:57 PM
Rank: Veteran Joined: 8/16/2009 Posts: 994		mlennyma wrote: hisah wrote: 100 points on the bounce since stalling at 3123 as NSE20 closed today at 3223. BoE meets this Thursday so I'll be keeping an eye on FTSE. The big one is next Wednesday when US Fed meets. September and October look poised to be quite volatile. Let's see how the markets will play out. everything is boring i should go for holiday That is the way it should be - super boring. See the quote below. "Investing should be more like watching paint dry or watching grass grow. If you want excitement, take $800 and go to Las Vegas." - Paul Samuelson Time is money, so money is time. Money saved is time gained in reverse! Money stores your life’s energy. You expend your energy, get paid money, and store that money for a future purchase made in a currency.
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Aguytrying		#2166 Posted : Wednesday, September 14, 2016 8:00:58 PM
Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040		hisah wrote: mlennyma wrote: hisah wrote: 100 points on the bounce since stalling at 3123 as NSE20 closed today at 3223. BoE meets this Thursday so I'll be keeping an eye on FTSE. The big one is next Wednesday when US Fed meets. September and October look poised to be quite volatile. Let's see how the markets will play out. everything is boring i should go for holiday Posts drought Quiet markets are usually a strong signal for large volatility ahead. 3000 ain't far fetched at all. It didn't look possible just a few months Ago The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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Angelica _ann		#2167 Posted : Wednesday, September 14, 2016 8:45:21 PM
Rank: Elder Joined: 12/7/2012 Posts: 11,935		Aguytrying wrote: hisah wrote: mlennyma wrote: hisah wrote: 100 points on the bounce since stalling at 3123 as NSE20 closed today at 3223. BoE meets this Thursday so I'll be keeping an eye on FTSE. The big one is next Wednesday when US Fed meets. September and October look poised to be quite volatile. Let's see how the markets will play out. everything is boring i should go for holiday Posts drought Quiet markets are usually a strong signal for large volatility ahead. 3000 ain't far fetched at all. It didn't look possible just a few months Ago We have had our lowest, things have turned for the better!!! In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
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mnandii		#2168 Posted : Thursday, September 15, 2016 1:24:55 PM
Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304		mnandii wrote: mnandii wrote: mnandii wrote: A Socionomic View of Accidents At market tops (the height of positive social mood) flying is safer while driving is dangerous. The elevated social mood creates feelings of inclusionism. Flying requires joint effort with different teams working together to make the event a success. Thus enough attention is directed at safety. The elevated social mood creates optimism. Optimistic drivers over-speed thus leading to accidents. ................................................. In bear markets, social mood is depressed creating feelings of exclusionism (people pulling in different directions). Thus, for flights, this pulling apart precludes paying enough attention to safety measures hence aviation accidents. Depressed people do not over-speed thus fewer vehicular accidents in a bear market. Therefore, as this bear matures, ensure you limit frequency of your flying and embark on driving more. Post 1036 on October 15th, 2015 Light aircraft crashes in Ngong link Light aircraft crash-lands in Malindi link Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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snipermnoma		#2169 Posted : Thursday, September 15, 2016 5:54:49 PM
Rank: Member Joined: 1/3/2014 Posts: 257		mnandii wrote: mnandii wrote: mnandii wrote: mnandii wrote: A Socionomic View of Accidents At market tops (the height of positive social mood) flying is safer while driving is dangerous. The elevated social mood creates feelings of inclusionism. Flying requires joint effort with different teams working together to make the event a success. Thus enough attention is directed at safety. The elevated social mood creates optimism. Optimistic drivers over-speed thus leading to accidents. ................................................. In bear markets, social mood is depressed creating feelings of exclusionism (people pulling in different directions). Thus, for flights, this pulling apart precludes paying enough attention to safety measures hence aviation accidents. Depressed people do not over-speed thus fewer vehicular accidents in a bear market. Therefore, as this bear matures, ensure you limit frequency of your flying and embark on driving more. Post 1036 on October 15th, 2015 Light aircraft crashes in Ngong link Light aircraft crash-lands in Malindi link socioeconomics is really panning out
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winmak		#2170 Posted : Thursday, September 15, 2016 6:11:09 PM
Rank: Member Joined: 12/1/2007 Posts: 539 Location: Nakuru		snipermnoma wrote: mnandii wrote: mnandii wrote: mnandii wrote: mnandii wrote: A Socionomic View of Accidents At market tops (the height of positive social mood) flying is safer while driving is dangerous. The elevated social mood creates feelings of inclusionism. Flying requires joint effort with different teams working together to make the event a success. Thus enough attention is directed at safety. The elevated social mood creates optimism. Optimistic drivers over-speed thus leading to accidents. ................................................. In bear markets, social mood is depressed creating feelings of exclusionism (people pulling in different directions). Thus, for flights, this pulling apart precludes paying enough attention to safety measures hence aviation accidents. Depressed people do not over-speed thus fewer vehicular accidents in a bear market. Therefore, as this bear matures, ensure you limit frequency of your flying and embark on driving more. Post 1036 on October 15th, 2015 Light aircraft crashes in Ngong link Light aircraft crash-lands in Malindi link socioeconomics is really panning out Light aircraft are not flown by teams For investors as a whole, returns decrease as motion increases ~ WB
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