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Exchange Bar: Results forecast
Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 13,475 Location: nairobi
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Spikes wrote:obiero wrote:Spikes wrote:obiero wrote:Q2 2016,figures in KES B: Equity 14.6 Actual 14.2 KCB 13.9 Actual 15.1 COOP 10.5 Actual 10.45 SCBK 7.3 Actual 7.5 BBK 6.8 Actual 5.8 DTB 5.4 Actual 5.26 I&M 5.3 Actual 4.7 CFC 3.7 Actual 3.68 NIC 3.7 Actual 3.3 NBK 2.6 Actual 0.43 HFCK 0.9 Actual 0.89 DTB results here http://mobile.reuters.com/article/idUSFWN1B60DY Warning issued here today, retain or buy COOP, EQUITY and KCB only until further notice among listed financial services. Thank me later At least 50% haircut COOP bank next week before PPT shows up with mightier demand than expected. @spikes expect broad stability on Monday and even some gains on some financial counters.. You have again begun leading newbies to the gallows? Leading?? These are my simple thoughts. I am nobody's leader here
HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 13,475 Location: nairobi
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BBK, NIC, SCBK rise.. Other big caps still bleeding but with reduced intensity. Its time to buy but only 3 financial stocks are worth the risk
HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 13,475 Location: nairobi
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HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/4/2009 Posts: 10,639 Location: NAIROBI
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Obiero weka projections ya the following kplc kengen eapc mumias Uchumi Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 13,475 Location: nairobi
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Ericsson wrote:Obiero
weka projections ya the following
kplc
kengen
eapc
mumias
Uchumi Labda ya Uchumi na Kengen pekee take.. Hizo zingine sijuani kindani
HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 4/4/2016 Posts: 1,996 Location: Kitale
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obiero wrote:Ericsson wrote:Obiero
weka projections ya the following
kplc
kengen
eapc
mumias
Uchumi Labda ya Uchumi na Kengen pekee take.. Hizo zingine sijuani kindani Hebu anza na ya kengen kwanza. Towards the goal of financial freedom
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/21/2010 Posts: 6,175 Location: nairobi
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Should we expect banks Q3 forcust or this kq man is lost???also waiting for Unga,carbacid,kplc,kengen,safcom H1 etc "Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 13,475 Location: nairobi
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Q3 2016,figures in KES B: Equity 21.6 KCB 21.4 COOP 15.1 SCBK 11.3 BBK 8.9 DTB 7.9 I&M 7.2 CFC 5.2 NIC 5.1 HFCK 1.4 NBK 0.67
HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/4/2009 Posts: 10,639 Location: NAIROBI
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@Obiero if I follow the results of Q2 and project to Q3 the figures for KCB is understated and Equity bank overstated. In Q1 Equity bank did 7.3bn and KCB 6.6bn pretax profit In Q2 Equity bank did 7bn and KCB 8.5bn That brought half year results to 14.2bn for Equity bank and 15.1bn for KCB. I'm wondering how in Q3 Equity will do 7.4bn and KCB 6.5bn; something is amiss. In my predictions I see Equity in 9 months posting 21bn and KCB 22.4bn. NB:Interest rates cap was applicable for 16 days out of 92 Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,054 Location: Nairobi
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DTB has a large (vs other KE banks) exposure to ex-Kenya business. Ugandan MPigs want rate caps but the BoU governor is against lending caps. He made a good point when he said while the "Monetary Policy Rate" is 14%, GoU is borrowing at 17%. His argument is that banks would rather lend to GoU than the "people" at 17%. The solution he said is that GoU reduces expenditure and subsequently reduces borrowing. House of Cards these economies. In Kenya, there has been a slowdown of uptake of credit by the private sector vs GoK. At some point, something will give. Will it be the KES? Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/4/2009 Posts: 10,639 Location: NAIROBI
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@VVS kenya shilling will give in and CBK may have to raise CBK rate to protect it and avoid further depreciation. Lending interest rates will then go up Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/20/2015 Posts: 2,811 Location: Mombasa
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Ericsson wrote:@VVS
kenya shilling will give in and CBK may have to raise CBK rate to protect it and avoid further depreciation.
Lending interest rates will then go up Interest rates are capped by law. The consumer is well protected. John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/4/2009 Posts: 10,639 Location: NAIROBI
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@spikes Read my statement clearly. I have said CBK will then raise the CBK rate which is the rate for pricing loans. For example if CBK rate goes to 14% just know banks will lend you at 18% I.e 14+4 Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/20/2015 Posts: 2,811 Location: Mombasa
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Ericsson wrote:@spikes
Read my statement clearly.
I have said CBK will then raise the CBK rate which is the rate for pricing loans.
For example if CBK rate goes to 14% just know banks will lend you at 18% I.e 14+4 It will be a win-win situation as savings will attract 70% of CBR. John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 13,475 Location: nairobi
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Ericsson wrote:@Obiero
if I follow the results of Q2 and project to Q3 the figures for KCB is understated and Equity bank overstated.
In Q1 Equity bank did 7.3bn and KCB 6.6bn pretax profit
In Q2 Equity bank did 7bn and KCB 8.5bn
That brought half year results to 14.2bn for Equity bank and 15.1bn for KCB.
I'm wondering how in Q3 Equity will do 7.4bn and KCB 6.5bn; something is amiss.
In my predictions I see Equity in 9 months posting 21bn and KCB 22.4bn.
NB:Interest rates cap was applicable for 16 days out of 92 I am just given these figures at the bar.. Let's wait and see
HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 13,475 Location: nairobi
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Reporting season for financial services
HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,054 Location: Nairobi
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obiero wrote:Reporting season for financial services Equity and I&M Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 13,475 Location: nairobi
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Tomorrow, we compare and contrast
HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
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Rank: Member Joined: 5/30/2016 Posts: 332 Location: Kayole
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obiero wrote:Reporting season for financial services BBK numbers elder. need to know if to purchase more sub 8 KEGN, KPLC, KQ, SCOM
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 13,475 Location: nairobi
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obiero wrote:Q3 2016,figures in KES B:
Equity 21.6
KCB 21.4
COOP 15.1
SCBK 11.3
BBK 8.9
DTB 7.9
I&M 7.2
CFC 5.2
NIC 5.1
HFCK 1.4
NBK 0.67
For the sake of those whose mice cannot scroll
HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
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