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Thoughts on TPS Serena
Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040
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Boris Boyka wrote:sparkly wrote:Aguytrying wrote:Boris Boyka wrote:mkonomtupu wrote:Aguytrying wrote:The company is experiencing serious headwinds. Im shocked that coastal region business is still in bad shape. Nevertheless, its a good company, It should pull through in the next few years, hoping tourism picks up it will be quite a while before tourism recovers. Again there is a lot of competition coming up @Aguy is the buying guru, non of your convincing will stop him from buying untill he sees 1000% + in loss haha. u just laugh at me, my laggards will wake up one day. kk already waking up Good company. Just buy slowly and wait for the recovery. Kenya is a tourism, horticulture and tea country. AND only the tourism industry books full profits onshore. Haha @Aguy....KK at least but still long way to go..i can sell you mine next month @ probably 11 there. all the best. na ukae hivo hivo (moi) one day ! utaonekaniwa sana. lol. I can almost hear his bass saying that. Kk buying limit ended at 9.00,but u will get buyers no worry. @sparkly. true that. accumulating patiently patiently. next year can't be worse than last year surely. share going for a song. but this is for the ultra patient. of late I'm really tempted by ur former bus NIC though all banks overvalued. The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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Will the market deal the sub 30 levels to get me greedy? @aguy i still fancy this counter. Strangely selling extreme is not severe! Needs to hit capitulation sellside likely sub 30 to test supply size (weak hands shakeout). $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 9/18/2014 Posts: 1,127
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I like the recent resilience on this counter. 27-29 are GFC price levels which we might not get to but if they come around more buying for me. The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 11/21/2006 Posts: 1,590
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Unlikely to go below 30 unless the numbers are very horrible i.e. 40% reduction on last year Sehemu ndio nyumba
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Rank: Member Joined: 7/3/2014 Posts: 245
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The underlying strength this stock is displaying is immense. In the world of securities, courage and patience become the supreme virtues after adequate knowledge and a tested judgment are at hand.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/23/2009 Posts: 8,083 Location: Enk are Nyirobi
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Aguytrying wrote:sparkly wrote:It will bottom out at around 25-27. I said so in another Serena thread. I hope this comes true, I really need to buy more and at a lower price, the better @aguy are you buying yet Life is short. Live passionately.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040
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sparkly wrote:Aguytrying wrote:sparkly wrote:It will bottom out at around 25-27. I said so in another Serena thread. I hope this comes true, I really need to buy more and at a lower price, the better @aguy are you buying yet I've been buying since 35.00 all way to 25.00. Your like a prophet so accurate on the bottoming out. I think they is no better time to buy TPS than the present, but, I've come to accept accept it's a risky industry/share The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,098 Location: Nairobi
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Aguytrying wrote:sparkly wrote:Aguytrying wrote:sparkly wrote:It will bottom out at around 25-27. I said so in another Serena thread. I hope this comes true, I really need to buy more and at a lower price, the better @aguy are you buying yet I've been buying since 35.00 all way to 25.00. Your like a prophet so accurate on the bottoming out. I think they is no better time to buy TPS than the present, but, I've come to accept accept it's a risky industry/share Sector - Volatile Firm's Management - Top notch! Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040
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VituVingiSana wrote:Aguytrying wrote:sparkly wrote:Aguytrying wrote:sparkly wrote:It will bottom out at around 25-27. I said so in another Serena thread. I hope this comes true, I really need to buy more and at a lower price, the better @aguy are you buying yet I've been buying since 35.00 all way to 25.00. Your like a prophet so accurate on the bottoming out. I think they is no better time to buy TPS than the present, but, I've come to accept accept it's a risky industry/share Sector - Volatile Firm's Management - Top notch! Well put. Whose reputation will stay intact? Remains to be seen The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,098 Location: Nairobi
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Aguytrying wrote:VituVingiSana wrote:Aguytrying wrote:sparkly wrote:Aguytrying wrote:sparkly wrote:It will bottom out at around 25-27. I said so in another Serena thread. I hope this comes true, I really need to buy more and at a lower price, the better @aguy are you buying yet I've been buying since 35.00 all way to 25.00. Your like a prophet so accurate on the bottoming out. I think they is no better time to buy TPS than the present, but, I've come to accept accept it's a risky industry/share Sector - Volatile Firm's Management - Top notch! Well put. Whose reputation will stay intact? Remains to be seen Warren Buffet says ... The sector's reputation. Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Rank: Member Joined: 5/4/2015 Posts: 241 Location: Kahno
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CourtesyHY 2016 Sales 2.656219b vs. 2.671950b -0.589% Profit before interest, depreciation and taxation 170.411m vs. 182.432m -6.589% Net interest cost [54.781m] vs. [108.005m] -49.279% Depreciation on property, plant and equipment [189.786m] vs. [213.881m] -11.266% Loss before income tax [74.156m] vs. [139.454m] -46.824% Loss after taxation [57.627m] vs. [97.284m] -40.764% Loss attributable to equity holders of the company [77.593m] vs. [112.010m] -30.727% EPS [0.43] vs. [0.61] -29.508% Currency translation differences [56.461m] vs. [358.713m] -84.260% Equity 9.571263b vs. 9.956492b -3.869% Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period 12.647m vs. [318.273m] +103.974%
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040
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kimanimsc wrote:CourtesyHY 2016 Sales 2.656219b vs. 2.671950b -0.589% Profit before interest, depreciation and taxation 170.411m vs. 182.432m -6.589% Net interest cost [54.781m] vs. [108.005m] -49.279% Depreciation on property, plant and equipment [189.786m] vs. [213.881m] -11.266% Loss before income tax [74.156m] vs. [139.454m] -46.824% Loss after taxation [57.627m] vs. [97.284m] -40.764% Loss attributable to equity holders of the company [77.593m] vs. [112.010m] -30.727% EPS [0.43] vs. [0.61] -29.508% Currency translation differences [56.461m] vs. [358.713m] -84.260% Equity 9.571263b vs. 9.956492b -3.869% Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period 12.647m vs. [318.273m] +103.974% This company has had a rough time, the sector is brutal, so too have the shareholders. Lets see how peak season turns out. But at 18 its going at a throw away price. Management is pushing for a rebound towards Q4 2016. with july - october peak season key to this. The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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Rank: Member Joined: 5/30/2016 Posts: 332 Location: Kayole
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Aguytrying wrote:kimanimsc wrote:CourtesyHY 2016 Sales 2.656219b vs. 2.671950b -0.589% Profit before interest, depreciation and taxation 170.411m vs. 182.432m -6.589% Net interest cost [54.781m] vs. [108.005m] -49.279% Depreciation on property, plant and equipment [189.786m] vs. [213.881m] -11.266% Loss before income tax [74.156m] vs. [139.454m] -46.824% Loss after taxation [57.627m] vs. [97.284m] -40.764% Loss attributable to equity holders of the company [77.593m] vs. [112.010m] -30.727% EPS [0.43] vs. [0.61] -29.508% Currency translation differences [56.461m] vs. [358.713m] -84.260% Equity 9.571263b vs. 9.956492b -3.869% Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period 12.647m vs. [318.273m] +103.974% This company has had a rough time, the sector is brutal, so too have the shareholders. Lets see how peak season turns out. But at 18 its going at a throw away price. Management is pushing for a rebound towards Q4 2016. with july - october peak season key to this. @Aguytrying ftgh which posted better results is trading at 4 bob why recommend people to throw away 18 bob at this loss making entity? KEGN, KPLC, KQ, SCOM
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040
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mkate_nusu wrote:Aguytrying wrote:kimanimsc wrote:CourtesyHY 2016 Sales 2.656219b vs. 2.671950b -0.589% Profit before interest, depreciation and taxation 170.411m vs. 182.432m -6.589% Net interest cost [54.781m] vs. [108.005m] -49.279% Depreciation on property, plant and equipment [189.786m] vs. [213.881m] -11.266% Loss before income tax [74.156m] vs. [139.454m] -46.824% Loss after taxation [57.627m] vs. [97.284m] -40.764% Loss attributable to equity holders of the company [77.593m] vs. [112.010m] -30.727% EPS [0.43] vs. [0.61] -29.508% Currency translation differences [56.461m] vs. [358.713m] -84.260% Equity 9.571263b vs. 9.956492b -3.869% Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period 12.647m vs. [318.273m] +103.974% This company has had a rough time, the sector is brutal, so too have the shareholders. Lets see how peak season turns out. But at 18 its going at a throw away price. Management is pushing for a rebound towards Q4 2016. with july - october peak season key to this. @Aguytrying ftgh which posted better results is trading at 4 bob why recommend people to throw away 18 bob at this loss making entity? A share can be cheap at 100 and expensive at 10 bob. you know this right? The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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Rank: Member Joined: 5/30/2016 Posts: 332 Location: Kayole
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Aguytrying wrote:mkate_nusu wrote:Aguytrying wrote:kimanimsc wrote:CourtesyHY 2016 Sales 2.656219b vs. 2.671950b -0.589% Profit before interest, depreciation and taxation 170.411m vs. 182.432m -6.589% Net interest cost [54.781m] vs. [108.005m] -49.279% Depreciation on property, plant and equipment [189.786m] vs. [213.881m] -11.266% Loss before income tax [74.156m] vs. [139.454m] -46.824% Loss after taxation [57.627m] vs. [97.284m] -40.764% Loss attributable to equity holders of the company [77.593m] vs. [112.010m] -30.727% EPS [0.43] vs. [0.61] -29.508% Currency translation differences [56.461m] vs. [358.713m] -84.260% Equity 9.571263b vs. 9.956492b -3.869% Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period 12.647m vs. [318.273m] +103.974% This company has had a rough time, the sector is brutal, so too have the shareholders. Lets see how peak season turns out. But at 18 its going at a throw away price. Management is pushing for a rebound towards Q4 2016. with july - october peak season key to this. @Aguytrying ftgh which posted better results is trading at 4 bob why recommend people to throw away 18 bob at this loss making entity? A share can be cheap at 100 and expensive at 10 bob. you know this right? This sounds like something @obiero on KQ thread would say. I make the assumption you have significant holdings on this counter. I would buy a share at 1 bob or 100 bob if they are making profits and fairly valued rather than reach for my wallet to get a piece of a company trading at any price(however cheap it looks) and manages to make losses year after year. Financial statements are a powerful tool for anyone looking to invest into the market KEGN, KPLC, KQ, SCOM
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Rank: Member Joined: 5/30/2016 Posts: 332 Location: Kayole
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Aguytrying wrote:sparkly wrote:Aguytrying wrote:sparkly wrote:It will bottom out at around 25-27. I said so in another Serena thread. I hope this comes true, I really need to buy more and at a lower price, the better @aguy are you buying yet I've been buying since 35.00 all way to 25.00. Your like a prophet so accurate on the bottoming out. I think they is no better time to buy TPS than the present, but, I've come to accept accept it's a risky industry/share @sparkly you misguided many people on the bottom call I now get @Aguy's point earlier. Soon we shall have more stocks trading on single digits. I need to stock enough popcorn in the house to watch this movie unfold KEGN, KPLC, KQ, SCOM
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040
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mkate_nusu wrote:Aguytrying wrote:mkate_nusu wrote:Aguytrying wrote:kimanimsc wrote:CourtesyHY 2016 Sales 2.656219b vs. 2.671950b -0.589% Profit before interest, depreciation and taxation 170.411m vs. 182.432m -6.589% Net interest cost [54.781m] vs. [108.005m] -49.279% Depreciation on property, plant and equipment [189.786m] vs. [213.881m] -11.266% Loss before income tax [74.156m] vs. [139.454m] -46.824% Loss after taxation [57.627m] vs. [97.284m] -40.764% Loss attributable to equity holders of the company [77.593m] vs. [112.010m] -30.727% EPS [0.43] vs. [0.61] -29.508% Currency translation differences [56.461m] vs. [358.713m] -84.260% Equity 9.571263b vs. 9.956492b -3.869% Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period 12.647m vs. [318.273m] +103.974% This company has had a rough time, the sector is brutal, so too have the shareholders. Lets see how peak season turns out. But at 18 its going at a throw away price. Management is pushing for a rebound towards Q4 2016. with july - october peak season key to this. @Aguytrying ftgh which posted better results is trading at 4 bob why recommend people to throw away 18 bob at this loss making entity? A share can be cheap at 100 and expensive at 10 bob. you know this right? This sounds like something @obiero on KQ thread would say. I make the assumption you have significant holdings on this counter. I would buy a share at 1 bob or 100 bob if they are making profits and fairly valued rather than reach for my wallet to get a piece of a company trading at any price(however cheap it looks) and manages to make losses year after year. Financial statements are a powerful tool for anyone looking to invest into the market How do you value your shares? lets use a real life example. Between safaricom at 21.50 and I&M bank at 107. which one is more expensive? The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/23/2009 Posts: 8,083 Location: Enk are Nyirobi
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mkate_nusu wrote:Aguytrying wrote:sparkly wrote:Aguytrying wrote:sparkly wrote:It will bottom out at around 25-27. I said so in another Serena thread. I hope this comes true, I really need to buy more and at a lower price, the better @aguy are you buying yet I've been buying since 35.00 all way to 25.00. Your like a prophet so accurate on the bottoming out. I think they is no better time to buy TPS than the present, but, I've come to accept accept it's a risky industry/share @sparkly you misguided many people on the bottom call I now get @Aguy's point earlier. Soon we shall have more stocks trading on single digits. I need to stock enough popcorn in the house to watch this movie unfold Wazuans be like... Life is short. Live passionately.
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Rank: Member Joined: 5/30/2016 Posts: 332 Location: Kayole
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Aguytrying wrote:mkate_nusu wrote:Aguytrying wrote:kimanimsc wrote:CourtesyHY 2016 Sales 2.656219b vs. 2.671950b -0.589% Profit before interest, depreciation and taxation 170.411m vs. 182.432m -6.589% Net interest cost [54.781m] vs. [108.005m] -49.279% Depreciation on property, plant and equipment [189.786m] vs. [213.881m] -11.266% Loss before income tax [74.156m] vs. [139.454m] -46.824% Loss after taxation [57.627m] vs. [97.284m] -40.764% Loss attributable to equity holders of the company [77.593m] vs. [112.010m] -30.727% EPS [0.43] vs. [0.61] -29.508% Currency translation differences [56.461m] vs. [358.713m] -84.260% Equity 9.571263b vs. 9.956492b -3.869% Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period 12.647m vs. [318.273m] +103.974% This company has had a rough time, the sector is brutal, so too have the shareholders. Lets see how peak season turns out. But at 18 its going at a throw away price. Management is pushing for a rebound towards Q4 2016. with july - october peak season key to this. @Aguytrying ftgh which posted better results is trading at 4 bob why recommend people to throw away 18 bob at this loss making entity? A share can be cheap at 100 and expensive at 10 bob. you know this right? @Aguytrying my main point was I wouldn't be advising anyone to buy into a company that has been making losses for over 10 straight quarters while there are better alternatives in the same market. Buying based on hope most times turns out to be a deadly bullet to your portfolio, that's why I personally avoid such companies *also note I chose ftgh not because it looks cheap but rather based on your bear wish list and the fact that it posted better half results and is more attractive fundamentally than TPS. I hope this is now clear enough to get a response to my original question in red above. Thanks KEGN, KPLC, KQ, SCOM
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Rank: Elder Joined: 4/22/2010 Posts: 11,522 Location: Nairobi
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mkate_nusu wrote:Aguytrying wrote:mkate_nusu wrote:Aguytrying wrote:kimanimsc wrote:CourtesyHY 2016 Sales 2.656219b vs. 2.671950b -0.589% Profit before interest, depreciation and taxation 170.411m vs. 182.432m -6.589% Net interest cost [54.781m] vs. [108.005m] -49.279% Depreciation on property, plant and equipment [189.786m] vs. [213.881m] -11.266% Loss before income tax [74.156m] vs. [139.454m] -46.824% Loss after taxation [57.627m] vs. [97.284m] -40.764% Loss attributable to equity holders of the company [77.593m] vs. [112.010m] -30.727% EPS [0.43] vs. [0.61] -29.508% Currency translation differences [56.461m] vs. [358.713m] -84.260% Equity 9.571263b vs. 9.956492b -3.869% Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period 12.647m vs. [318.273m] +103.974% This company has had a rough time, the sector is brutal, so too have the shareholders. Lets see how peak season turns out. But at 18 its going at a throw away price. Management is pushing for a rebound towards Q4 2016. with july - october peak season key to this. @Aguytrying ftgh which posted better results is trading at 4 bob why recommend people to throw away 18 bob at this loss making entity? A share can be cheap at 100 and expensive at 10 bob. you know this right? @Aguytrying my main point was I wouldn't be advising anyone to buy into a company that has been making losses for over 10 straight quarters while there are better alternatives in the same market. Buying based on hope most times turns out to be a deadly bullet to your portfolio, that's why I personally avoid such companies TPS has been a good stock as far as I know...at the current levels I would buy it...and big time. possunt quia posse videntur
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