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Stocks to BUY by yaserbigchair
maka
#101 Posted : Wednesday, August 17, 2016 1:57:15 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
VituVingiSana wrote:
HFCK will be fine. It's not TCL.

HFCK can always pay off the bond by raising fresh cash, retaining earnings AND it can always raise a new bond. The challenge is that elections makes it harder (more expensive) to raise funds in an election year. If the elections go smoothly [no PEV] then I expect HF can raise another bond as folks will want to move from cash to investments.


Personally I will NEVER buy a corporate bond in this country let me stick to IFBs and the other FXDs
possunt quia posse videntur
sparkly
#102 Posted : Wednesday, August 17, 2016 2:21:02 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
mkate_nusu wrote:
Pesa Nane wrote:
Take Aways: The Story of HFCK Bond

FACT 1: Approved Amount Ksh. 10Bn
FACT 2: Issued Amount
FXD (HFCK) 2010/7YR - Ksh. 5,864,400,000.00 only
FR (HFCK) 2010/7YR - Ksh. 1,166,500,000.00 only
FXD (HFCK) 02/2012/7YR - Ksh. 2,969,100,000.00 only

FACT 3: FXD (HFCK) 02/2012/7YR - Ksh. 2,969,100,000.00
Tenor: 7 years
Maturity: 02 OCTOBER 2017

FACT 4: FR (HFCK) 2010/7YR - Ksh. 1,166,500,000.00
Tenor: 7 years
Maturity: 02 OCTOBER 2017

FACT 5: FXD (HFCK) 2010/7YR - Ksh. 5,864,400,000.00 (2nd Tranche)
Tenor: 7 years
Maturity: 02 OCTOBER 2019

FACT 6: HFCK is holding (as at June 2016) Ksh. 3.7 Billion of Govt securities being "a sinking fund towards liquidation of the first tranche of its corporate bond expected in October 2017" See HY results

Figures: CMA Bulletin



Pesa 8 as from the above approximately 7 billion is due next year. The govt paper will pay for half of the first tranche and the other half is what I expect to be converted to equity.
Looking at their cash equivalents as at HY 16 and their current liquidity ratio slightly 1 % above the minimum requirement of 20 % I don't expect them to meet the payment in full. Where will the money come from if not converting to equity and diluting existing shareholders?


My guess is by converting housing inventory into sales.

Who has the full Accounts... what are the inventories held by Kenya Building Society (Housing Finance Development)
Life is short. Live passionately.
Pesa Nane
#103 Posted : Wednesday, August 17, 2016 2:47:54 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 5/25/2012
Posts: 4,105
Location: 08c
mkate_nusu wrote:
Pesa Nane wrote:
Take Aways: The Story of HFCK Bond

FACT 1: Approved Amount Ksh. 10Bn
FACT 2: Issued Amount
FXD (HFCK) 2010/7YR - Ksh. 5,864,400,000.00 only
FR (HFCK) 2010/7YR - Ksh. 1,166,500,000.00 only
FXD (HFCK) 02/2012/7YR - Ksh. 2,969,100,000.00 only

FACT 3: FXD (HFCK) 02/2012/7YR - Ksh. 2,969,100,000.00 (2nd tranche)
Tenor: 7 years
Maturity: 02 OCTOBER 2019

FACT 4: FR (HFCK) 2010/7YR - Ksh. 1,166,500,000.00
Tenor: 7 years
Maturity: 02 OCTOBER 2017

FACT 5: FXD (HFCK) 2010/7YR - Ksh. 5,864,400,000.00
Tenor: 7 years
Maturity: 02 OCTOBER 2017

FACT 6: HFCK is holding (as at June 2016) Ksh. 3.7 Billion of Govt securities being "a sinking fund towards liquidation of the first tranche of its corporate bond expected in October 2017" See HY results

Figures: CMA Bulletin



Pesa 8 as from the above approximately 7 billion is due next year. The govt paper will pay for half of the first tranche and the other half is what I expect to be converted to equity.
Looking at their cash equivalents as at HY 16 and their current liquidity ratio slightly 1 % above the minimum requirement of 20 % I don't expect them to meet the payment in full. Where will the money come from if not converting to equity and diluting existing shareholders?

VituVingiSana wrote:
HFCK will be fine. It's not TCL.

HFCK can always pay off the bond by raising fresh cash, retaining earnings AND it can always raise a new bond. The challenge is that elections makes it harder (more expensive) to raise funds in an election year. If the elections go smoothly [no PEV] then I expect HF can raise another bond as folks will want to move from cash to investments.

sparkly wrote:
... by converting housing inventory into sales.


@mkate_nusu,
HF liquidity Ratio is 21.77% (forget about the 1%)
How much cash is HF sitting on?
Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
Pesa Nane
#104 Posted : Wednesday, August 17, 2016 2:51:21 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 5/25/2012
Posts: 4,105
Location: 08c
@wazua, @Admin, migrate this conversation to the HF HY16 thread
Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
Gatheuzi
#105 Posted : Wednesday, August 17, 2016 5:53:28 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/16/2009
Posts: 994
mkate_nusu wrote:
Pesa Nane wrote:
Take Aways: The Story of HFCK Bond

FACT 1: Approved Amount Ksh. 10Bn
FACT 2: Issued Amount
FXD (HFCK) 2010/7YR - Ksh. 5,864,400,000.00 only
FR (HFCK) 2010/7YR - Ksh. 1,166,500,000.00 only
FXD (HFCK) 02/2012/7YR - Ksh. 2,969,100,000.00 only

FACT 3: FXD (HFCK) 02/2012/7YR - Ksh. 2,969,100,000.00
Tenor: 7 years
Maturity: 02 OCTOBER 2017

FACT 4: FR (HFCK) 2010/7YR - Ksh. 1,166,500,000.00
Tenor: 7 years
Maturity: 02 OCTOBER 2017

FACT 5: FXD (HFCK) 2010/7YR - Ksh. 5,864,400,000.00 (2nd Tranche)
Tenor: 7 years
Maturity: 02 OCTOBER 2019

FACT 6: HFCK is holding (as at June 2016) Ksh. 3.7 Billion of Govt securities being "a sinking fund towards liquidation of the first tranche of its corporate bond expected in October 2017" See HY results

Figures: CMA Bulletin



Pesa 8 as from the above approximately 7 billion is due next year. The govt paper will pay for half of the first tranche and the other half is what I expect to be converted to equity.
Looking at their cash equivalents as at HY 16 and their current liquidity ratio slightly 1 % above the minimum requirement of 20 % I don't expect them to meet the payment in full. Where will the money come from if not converting to equity and diluting existing shareholders?

@mkatenusu 4.1B is what is due next year, balance of 5.9B is due in 2019.
Time is money, so money is time. Money saved is time gained in reverse! Money stores your life’s energy. You expend your energy, get paid money, and store that money for a future purchase made in a currency.
Pesa Nane
#106 Posted : Wednesday, August 17, 2016 6:57:32 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 5/25/2012
Posts: 4,105
Location: 08c
Gatheuzi wrote:
mkate_nusu wrote:
Pesa Nane wrote:
Take Aways: The Story of HFCK Bond

FACT 1: Approved Amount Ksh. 10Bn
FACT 2: Issued Amount
FXD (HFCK) 2010/7YR - Ksh. 5,864,400,000.00 only
FR (HFCK) 2010/7YR - Ksh. 1,166,500,000.00 only
FXD (HFCK) 02/2012/7YR - Ksh. 2,969,100,000.00 only

FACT 3: FXD (HFCK) 02/2012/7YR - Ksh. 2,969,100,000.00 (2nd tranche)
Tenor: 7 years
Maturity: 02 OCTOBER 2019

FACT 4: FR (HFCK) 2010/7YR - Ksh. 1,166,500,000.00
Tenor: 7 years
Maturity: 02 OCTOBER 2017

FACT 5: FXD (HFCK) 2010/7YR - Ksh. 5,864,400,000.00
Tenor: 7 years
Maturity: 02 OCTOBER 2017

FACT 6: HFCK is holding (as at June 2016) Ksh. 3.7 Billion of Govt securities being "a sinking fund towards liquidation of the first tranche of its corporate bond expected in October 2017" See HY results

Figures: CMA Bulletin



Pesa 8 as from the above approximately 7 billion is due next year. The govt paper will pay for half of the first tranche and the other half is what I expect to be converted to equity.
Looking at their cash equivalents as at HY 16 and their current liquidity ratio slightly 1 % above the minimum requirement of 20 % I don't expect them to meet the payment in full. Where will the money come from if not converting to equity and diluting existing shareholders?

@mkatenusu 4.1B is what is due next year, balance of 5.9B is due in 2019.

Apologies, the typo was mine. Edited.
Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
Pesa Nane
#107 Posted : Wednesday, August 17, 2016 7:56:04 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 5/25/2012
Posts: 4,105
Location: 08c
Gatheuzi wrote:
mkate_nusu wrote:
Pesa Nane wrote:
Take Aways: The Story of HFCK Bond

FACT 1: Approved Amount Ksh. 10Bn
FACT 2: Issued Amount
FXD (HFCK) 2010/7YR - Ksh. 5,864,400,000.00 only
FR (HFCK) 2010/7YR - Ksh. 1,166,500,000.00 only
FXD (HFCK) 02/2012/7YR - Ksh. 2,969,100,000.00 only

FACT 3: FXD (HFCK) 02/2012/7YR - Ksh. 2,969,100,000.00 (2nd tranche)
Tenor: 7 years
Maturity: 02 OCTOBER 2019

FACT 4: FR (HFCK) 2010/7YR - Ksh. 1,166,500,000.00
Tenor: 7 years
Maturity: 02 OCTOBER 2017

FACT 5: FXD (HFCK) 2010/7YR - Ksh. 5,864,400,000.00
Tenor: 7 years
Maturity: 02 OCTOBER 2017

FACT 6: HFCK is holding (as at June 2016) Ksh. 3.7 Billion of Govt securities being "a sinking fund towards liquidation of the first tranche of its corporate bond expected in October 2017" See HY results

Figures: CMA Bulletin



Pesa 8 as from the above approximately 7 billion is due next year. The govt paper will pay for half of the first tranche and the other half is what I expect to be converted to equity.
Looking at their cash equivalents as at HY 16 and their current liquidity ratio slightly 1 % above the minimum requirement of 20 % I don't expect them to meet the payment in full. Where will the money come from if not converting to equity and diluting existing shareholders?

@mkatenusu 4.1B is what is due next year, balance of 5.9B is due in 2019.

Apologies, the typo was mine. Edited.
Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
Ebenyo
#108 Posted : Wednesday, August 17, 2016 8:57:30 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 4/4/2016
Posts: 1,996
Location: Kitale
They failed to pay interim dividend.That showed they were beggining to feel the weight of bond repayment.
Towards the goal of financial freedom
Gatheuzi
#109 Posted : Thursday, August 18, 2016 8:14:21 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/16/2009
Posts: 994
Pesa Nane wrote:
Gatheuzi wrote:
mkate_nusu wrote:
Pesa Nane wrote:
Take Aways: The Story of HFCK Bond

FACT 1: Approved Amount Ksh. 10Bn
FACT 2: Issued Amount
FXD (HFCK) 2010/7YR - Ksh. 5,864,400,000.00 only
FR (HFCK) 2010/7YR - Ksh. 1,166,500,000.00 only
FXD (HFCK) 02/2012/7YR - Ksh. 2,969,100,000.00 only

FACT 3: FXD (HFCK) 02/2012/7YR - Ksh. 2,969,100,000.00 (2nd tranche)
Tenor: 7 years
Maturity: 02 OCTOBER 2019

FACT 4: FR (HFCK) 2010/7YR - Ksh. 1,166,500,000.00
Tenor: 7 years
Maturity: 02 OCTOBER 2017

FACT 5: FXD (HFCK) 2010/7YR - Ksh. 5,864,400,000.00
Tenor: 7 years
Maturity: 02 OCTOBER 2017

FACT 6: HFCK is holding (as at June 2016) Ksh. 3.7 Billion of Govt securities being "a sinking fund towards liquidation of the first tranche of its corporate bond expected in October 2017" See HY results

Figures: CMA Bulletin



Pesa 8 as from the above approximately 7 billion is due next year. The govt paper will pay for half of the first tranche and the other half is what I expect to be converted to equity.
Looking at their cash equivalents as at HY 16 and their current liquidity ratio slightly 1 % above the minimum requirement of 20 % I don't expect them to meet the payment in full. Where will the money come from if not converting to equity and diluting existing shareholders?

@mkatenusu 4.1B is what is due next year, balance of 5.9B is due in 2019.

Apologies, the typo was mine. Edited.

Thanks @pesanane. In that case they need to come up with a plan of how to fill the financing gap of over 3B by next year.
Time is money, so money is time. Money saved is time gained in reverse! Money stores your life’s energy. You expend your energy, get paid money, and store that money for a future purchase made in a currency.
Metasploit
#110 Posted : Tuesday, August 23, 2016 8:44:20 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 985
Location: Dar es salaam,Tanzania
Metasploit wrote:
mkate_nusu wrote:
[quote=Metasploit]SAFARICOM
KENOL KOBIL
SCAN GROUP
KE RE
CIC



SAFCOM:Breakout at 20.50 (Real bidding volume has started today after the pullback-Has been having negligible foreign sales during the pullback..individual sales has been on volumes less than 100,000)

Kenol kobil is finally draining supply at 11.50-12 ( A multi year resistance==On the watch list

SCAN Group=Has seen large volume traded at 15 with price failing to go below 15 ( On watch ist)

CIC=Seems to have floored at 4.00 (On watch list)

SCAN group volumes are distribution and the stock is overvalued so you can fill in the blanks for yourself with the bear


Exchanged 2,951,200 shares at KES 16.20 (around 10% from KES 15.
Distribution volumes when most stocks are at their multi year low ??


wazua has always been my crowd meter

“The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.”
mkate_nusu
#111 Posted : Wednesday, August 24, 2016 6:15:15 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 5/30/2016
Posts: 332
Location: Kayole
Metasploit wrote:
Metasploit wrote:
mkate_nusu wrote:
[quote=Metasploit]SAFARICOM
KENOL KOBIL
SCAN GROUP
KE RE
CIC



SAFCOM:Breakout at 20.50 (Real bidding volume has started today after the pullback-Has been having negligible foreign sales during the pullback..individual sales has been on volumes less than 100,000)

Kenol kobil is finally draining supply at 11.50-12 ( A multi year resistance==On the watch list

SCAN Group=Has seen large volume traded at 15 with price failing to go below 15 ( On watch ist)

CIC=Seems to have floored at 4.00 (On watch list)

SCAN group volumes are distribution and the stock is overvalued so you can fill in the blanks for yourself with the bear


Exchanged 2,951,200 shares at KES 16.20 (around 10% from KES 15.
Distribution volumes when most stocks are at their multi year low ??


wazua has always been my crowd meter


let's compare notes in one year mheshimiwa
KEGN, KPLC, KQ, SCOM
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