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lochaz-index		#151 Posted : Tuesday, July 19, 2016 1:49:55 PM
Rank: Veteran Joined: 9/18/2014 Posts: 1,127		hisah wrote: sparkly wrote: NMG at 130. The bear is truly in town. Watch out for the traditional support at 118-120 and 112-115. A lot of weakness is behind the recent rebound from that support zone. I expect that support to break down! Sub 100 will shock the passengers! Sit tight. Mainstream media will soon have its 'kodak' moment. The global trend is either a company adapts to the changing world or it's swept away. The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
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sparkly		#152 Posted : Tuesday, July 19, 2016 2:20:47 PM
Rank: Elder Joined: 9/23/2009 Posts: 8,083 Location: Enk are Nyirobi		lochaz-index wrote: hisah wrote: sparkly wrote: NMG at 130. The bear is truly in town. Watch out for the traditional support at 118-120 and 112-115. A lot of weakness is behind the recent rebound from that support zone. I expect that support to break down! Sub 100 will shock the passengers! Sit tight. Mainstream media will soon have its 'kodak' moment. The global trend is either a company adapts to the changing world or it's swept away. NMG will weather the storm but they need to restructure and diversify fast. Life is short. Live passionately.
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Aguytrying		#153 Posted : Tuesday, July 19, 2016 3:58:14 PM
Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040		Othelo wrote: Aguytrying wrote: Museveni wrote: Aguytrying wrote: The bear is upon us! Emotions play a significant role in choosing what to buy and at what price. We all know the temptation to bottom fish to get the lowest prices, but its difficult to achieve. Then there's the pain of being left by a share after a failed bottom fishing manoeuvre. In light of this I've come up with a systematic way of buying this time round. Using a P\|E range of between 7-5.5 and EPS of 2014 or 2013 where necessary. Here is MY wishlist. There are many other good shares, ill be sticking with these for now. STOCK EPS TARGET PRICE PE 5.5-7 CURRENT PRICE EQUITY 4.63 25-33 39.25 KCB 5.63 30-40 46.00 NIC 7.07 38-49 49.00 NSE 2.13 12-15 20.00 DTB 21.92 120-154 204.00 HFCK 2.75 15-20 21.50 JUBILEE 48 264-340 560.00 PAN AFRICA 6.05 33-43 67.00 SAFARICOM 0.8 8-10(10-12 PE) 14.00 NATION 13.1 72-100 (unlikely) 184.00 TPS SERENA 3.45 20-25 (2013 EPS) 33.00 BAMBURI 9.80 98-130 154.00 KENOL KOBIL 0.74 5-7 (6.7-9.5 PE) 8.50 EABL 11.31 113- 170(10-15 PE) 295.00 ARM 3.01 30-45 61.00 BAT 42.55 300-450 741.00 CROWN PAINTS 3.01 17-21 62.00 FLAME TREE 0.99 6-7 7.50 BOC 11.76 65-85 133.00 The price in green was in August 2015, almost 1 year ago. compare with today Apart from three ... Safaricom, BAT and KK, the rest have had their prices massacred Quite true. Safaricom, BAT, KK and Bamburi have actually GAINED! The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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snipermnoma		#154 Posted : Wednesday, July 20, 2016 11:34:17 PM
Rank: Member Joined: 1/3/2014 Posts: 257		Aguytrying wrote: Othelo wrote: Aguytrying wrote: Museveni wrote: Aguytrying wrote: The bear is upon us! Emotions play a significant role in choosing what to buy and at what price. We all know the temptation to bottom fish to get the lowest prices, but its difficult to achieve. Then there's the pain of being left by a share after a failed bottom fishing manoeuvre. In light of this I've come up with a systematic way of buying this time round. Using a P\|E range of between 7-5.5 and EPS of 2014 or 2013 where necessary. Here is MY wishlist. There are many other good shares, ill be sticking with these for now. STOCK EPS TARGET PRICE PE 5.5-7 CURRENT PRICE EQUITY 4.63 25-33 39.25 KCB 5.63 30-40 46.00 NIC 7.07 38-49 49.00 NSE 2.13 12-15 20.00 DTB 21.92 120-154 204.00 HFCK 2.75 15-20 21.50 JUBILEE 48 264-340 560.00 PAN AFRICA 6.05 33-43 67.00 SAFARICOM 0.8 8-10(10-12 PE) 14.00 NATION 13.1 72-100 (unlikely) 184.00 TPS SERENA 3.45 20-25 (2013 EPS) 33.00 BAMBURI 9.80 98-130 154.00 KENOL KOBIL 0.74 5-7 (6.7-9.5 PE) 8.50 EABL 11.31 113- 170(10-15 PE) 295.00 ARM 3.01 30-45 61.00 BAT 42.55 300-450 741.00 CROWN PAINTS 3.01 17-21 62.00 FLAME TREE 0.99 6-7 7.50 BOC 11.76 65-85 133.00 The price in green was in August 2015, almost 1 year ago. compare with today Apart from three ... Safaricom, BAT and KK, the rest have had their prices massacred Quite true. Safaricom, BAT, KK and Bamburi have actually GAINED! Another day passes and the wishlist targets continue to come into range. Aguytrying, kudos...your predictions becoming a reality.
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Aguytrying		#155 Posted : Thursday, July 21, 2016 7:12:19 PM
Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040		Thanks sniper. I'm even surprised by some declines but majority are within range now The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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hisah		#156 Posted : Monday, July 25, 2016 3:34:52 PM
Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977		hisah wrote: sparkly wrote: NMG at 130. The bear is truly in town. Watch out for the traditional support at 118-120 and 112-115. A lot of weakness is behind the recent rebound from that support zone. I expect that support to break down! Sub 100 will shock the passengers! Sit tight. VWAP closes at 120. Right on support and on vol spike! This will be tough to watch as the leakage gathers speed. @aguy will you buy at 100 Crazy! $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Aguytrying		#157 Posted : Monday, July 25, 2016 7:28:15 PM
Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040		hisah wrote: hisah wrote: sparkly wrote: NMG at 130. The bear is truly in town. Watch out for the traditional support at 118-120 and 112-115. A lot of weakness is behind the recent rebound from that support zone. I expect that support to break down! Sub 100 will shock the passengers! Sit tight. VWAP closes at 120. Right on support and on vol spike! This will be tough to watch as the leakage gathers speed. @aguy will you buy at 100 Crazy! Wow. Note i said unlikely to print, that's how much I'm surprised. The value investor in me will buy at that price. They should have learnt from kodak that's my view. But shoking!! The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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littledove		#158 Posted : Friday, August 12, 2016 3:22:53 PM
Rank: Veteran Joined: 7/1/2014 Posts: 927 Location: sky		i have a bear wishlist of around seven stocks two of them have reached my target scangroup and cic. i have already done buying scangroup and started cic. i have decided once my target is reached i buy without turning back. i have a target of 3 to five years. There are only two emotions in the stock market, fear and hope. The problem is, you hope when you should fear and fear when you should hope
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hisah		#159 Posted : Friday, August 12, 2016 3:30:03 PM
Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977		littledove wrote: i have a bear wishlist of around seven stocks two of them have reached my target scangroup and cic. i have already done buying scangroup and started cic. i have decided once my target is reached i buy without turning back. i have a target of 3 to five years. The right focus is what is needed during the big bear season. Good work $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Ebenyo		#160 Posted : Friday, August 12, 2016 3:59:20 PM
Rank: Veteran Joined: 4/4/2016 Posts: 2,016 Location: Kitale		[quote=hisah][quote=littledove]i have a bear wishlist of around seven stocks two of them have reached my target scangroup and cic. i have already done buying scangroup and started cic. i have decided once my target is reached i buy without turning back. i have a target of 3 to five years. @little dove,can you pliz share your wish list? i also wish for five more stocks as i continue to build my ideal portfolio. Towards the goal of financial freedom
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