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Bear 2015 Wish List
murchr
#141 Posted : Friday, July 15, 2016 8:37:09 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Chaka wrote:
I need some education..lets take TPSEA today for e,g There were zero trades.Does this mean that there were shares for sale but the asking prices were higher than the offer prices or what?


Total demand = 7900
Supply = 0
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
Chaka
#142 Posted : Friday, July 15, 2016 8:38:53 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/16/2007
Posts: 2,114
I need some education..lets take TPSEA today for e,g there were zero trades.Does this mean that there were shares for sale but the asking prices were higher than the offer prices or what?
Pesa Nane
#143 Posted : Friday, July 15, 2016 9:39:45 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 5/25/2012
Posts: 4,105
Location: 08c
Chaka wrote:
I need some education..lets take TPSEA today for e,g there were zero trades.Does this mean that there were shares for sale but the asking prices were higher than the offer prices or what?


Possibilities:
1. No buyers ie no bids
2. No sellers ie no offers
3. Price mismatch ie available buyers bid lower than what the sellers are offering
4. Market is closed smile
Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
Aguytrying
#144 Posted : Saturday, July 16, 2016 1:11:03 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
DBLyon wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
muandiwambeu wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
Look at NIC now gearing to lose the 35 handle

my keen eye blinking now, I need some substance to dissuade me from loosing focus. wao


The options are so many thank God I have all the info I need.
I have since raised equity buy maximum price to 37.00 from yesterday and today I see equity is about to break lower. My eye tells me that.

The wish list, which looked too ambitious last year has stood the test of time. I've been buying and will continue. With equity the apple of my eye


Why is Equity the apple of your eye?


Among other reasons. It's the best, biggest, fastest growing, good potential blue chip bank on the NSE
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
Aguytrying
#145 Posted : Saturday, July 16, 2016 1:16:10 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
Chaka wrote:
I need some education..lets take TPSEA today for e,g there were zero trades.Does this mean that there were shares for sale but the asking prices were higher than the offer prices or what?


Basically. No bids were matched. Meaning if the best selling price was 22 no buyer matched it. Or if the highest buying bid was 20 no seller sold his shares at that bid. For whatever reason including no bids on the either side of buying or selling
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
sparkly
#146 Posted : Tuesday, July 19, 2016 12:25:18 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
NMG at 130. The bear is truly in town. Watch out for the traditional support at 118-120 and 112-115.
Life is short. Live passionately.
Fyatu
#147 Posted : Tuesday, July 19, 2016 1:05:31 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 1/20/2011
Posts: 1,820
Location: Nakuru
ARM at 29.50.....what is the status with IFC? How much is the dilution?
Dumb money becomes dumb only when it listens to smart money
hisah
#148 Posted : Tuesday, July 19, 2016 1:16:19 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
sparkly wrote:
NMG at 130. The bear is truly in town. Watch out for the traditional support at 118-120 and 112-115.

A lot of weakness is behind the recent rebound from that support zone. I expect that support to break down! Sub 100 will shock the passengers! Sit tight.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Aguytrying
#149 Posted : Tuesday, July 19, 2016 1:18:41 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
Museveni wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
The bear is upon us! Emotions play a significant role in choosing what to buy and at what price. We all know the temptation to bottom fish to get the lowest prices, but its difficult to achieve.

Then there's the pain of being left by a share after a failed bottom fishing manoeuvre.

In light of this I've come up with a systematic way of buying this time round.
Using a P|E range of between 7-5.5 and EPS of 2014 or 2013 where necessary. Here is MY wishlist. There are many other good shares, ill be sticking with these for now.

STOCK EPS TARGET PRICE PE 5.5-7 CURRENT PRICE

EQUITY 4.63 25-33 39.25
KCB 5.63 30-40 46.00
NIC 7.07 38-49 49.00
NSE 2.13 12-15 20.00
DTB 21.92 120-154 204.00
HFCK 2.75 15-20 21.50

JUBILEE 48 264-340 560.00
PAN AFRICA 6.05 33-43 67.00

SAFARICOM 0.8 8-10(10-12 PE) 14.00
NATION 13.1 72-100 (unlikely) 184.00
TPS SERENA 3.45 20-25 (2013 EPS) 33.00

BAMBURI 9.80 98-130 154.00
KENOL KOBIL 0.74 5-7 (6.7-9.5 PE) 8.50
EABL 11.31 113- 170(10-15 PE) 295.00
ARM 3.01 30-45 61.00
BAT 42.55 300-450 741.00
CROWN PAINTS 3.01 17-21 62.00
FLAME TREE 0.99 6-7 7.50
BOC 11.76 65-85 133.00


The price in green was in August 2015, almost 1 year ago. compare with today
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
Othelo
#150 Posted : Tuesday, July 19, 2016 1:29:35 PM
Rank: User

Joined: 1/20/2014
Posts: 3,528
Aguytrying wrote:
Museveni wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
The bear is upon us! Emotions play a significant role in choosing what to buy and at what price. We all know the temptation to bottom fish to get the lowest prices, but its difficult to achieve.

Then there's the pain of being left by a share after a failed bottom fishing manoeuvre.

In light of this I've come up with a systematic way of buying this time round.
Using a P|E range of between 7-5.5 and EPS of 2014 or 2013 where necessary. Here is MY wishlist. There are many other good shares, ill be sticking with these for now.

STOCK EPS TARGET PRICE PE 5.5-7 CURRENT PRICE

EQUITY 4.63 25-33 39.25
KCB 5.63 30-40 46.00
NIC 7.07 38-49 49.00
NSE 2.13 12-15 20.00
DTB 21.92 120-154 204.00
HFCK 2.75 15-20 21.50

JUBILEE 48 264-340 560.00
PAN AFRICA 6.05 33-43 67.00

SAFARICOM 0.8 8-10(10-12 PE) 14.00
NATION 13.1 72-100 (unlikely) 184.00
TPS SERENA 3.45 20-25 (2013 EPS) 33.00

BAMBURI 9.80 98-130 154.00
KENOL KOBIL 0.74 5-7 (6.7-9.5 PE) 8.50
EABL 11.31 113- 170(10-15 PE) 295.00
ARM 3.01 30-45 61.00
BAT 42.55 300-450 741.00
CROWN PAINTS 3.01 17-21 62.00
FLAME TREE 0.99 6-7 7.50
BOC 11.76 65-85 133.00


The price in green was in August 2015, almost 1 year ago. compare with today

Apart from three ... Safaricom, BAT and KK, the rest have had their prices massacred smile
Formal education will make you a living. Self-education will make you a fortune - Jim Rohn.
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