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Elliott Wave Analysis Of The NSE 20
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Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#1841 Posted : Thursday, June 16, 2016 3:35:03 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,225
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
hisah wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:

@hisah and L.Index, read this....
http://www.businessdaily.../-/3b528oz/-/index.html
Interesting?????

And I'll take you back to May 2013.

Quote:
Kenya’s Central bank on Tuesday lowered its benchmark lending rate —the Central Bank Rate (CBR)— by 100 basis points citing the country’s low inflation figure and the shilling’s continued stability against major currencies.

Furthermore, the prevailing weather conditions continue to support a low and stable short-term outlook for food inflation in spite of the risk posed by floods on food production and distribution,” said the MPC in a statement.


2yrs later MPC sounds the same... Back then a new gok was setting base. We're now headed to another election, brexit, Trump presidency...

All the best!


Cable is going strong despite this.1.4707 ATM!Wow!!!
On Trump presidency, i expect a proper shave on the USD should this nightmare happen.
Let Yellen & co continue scaring us with FED rate hike.They will chicken out again in June.


Aha....they stayed true to their calling.......never to disappoint.smile
@SufficientlyP
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hisah
#1842 Posted : Thursday, June 16, 2016 4:23:16 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
SPT, brexit is a crazy event risk. But expect the Fed to hike otherwise their credibility comes into question...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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lochaz-index
#1843 Posted : Friday, June 17, 2016 4:58:18 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
The NSE20 band is getting tighter and tighter in recent weeks. 3770-3830 it has been for about two weeks now. Seems like Mr market is waiting for safcom to top out first before bolting out of its self imposed jail.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
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hisah
#1844 Posted : Friday, June 17, 2016 5:37:15 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
lochaz-index wrote:
The NSE20 band is getting tighter and tighter in recent weeks. 3770-3830 it has been for about two weeks now. Seems like Mr market is waiting for safcom to top out first before bolting out of its self imposed jail.

Brexit event risk will be a volatility cocktail! Spectacular crash or rally coming up.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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instinct
#1845 Posted : Sunday, June 19, 2016 10:02:10 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 8/17/2007
Posts: 294
mnandii wrote:
We have ended up with an 'ending diagonal' in the NSE. The drop from current levels will be breathtaking! I will post a chart later.



if only we had listened....
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lochaz-index
#1846 Posted : Monday, June 20, 2016 3:07:41 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
hisah wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
The NSE20 band is getting tighter and tighter in recent weeks. 3770-3830 it has been for about two weeks now. Seems like Mr market is waiting for safcom to top out first before bolting out of its self imposed jail.

Brexit event risk will be a volatility cocktail! Spectacular crash or rally coming up.

I am counting on a crash. It seems like the easier path while the rest of the issues sort themselves out.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
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lochaz-index
#1847 Posted : Monday, June 20, 2016 3:35:03 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
All the CB's chose to stay their hands. The Fed especially didn't come out smelling like roses...all the dithering and retractions are taking their toll on its credibility. Going forward, they will have a very tough time justifying any decisions they come up with in addition to being ineffective. Decoupling in the making.

By holding rates constant, could be they are expecting a bremain after the vote since nothing would change and any after effects may not be far reaching. A brexit on the other hand will pull the proverbial rug from under their feet and they will be chasing the market/behind the curve for a long time. The ECB and BoJ will have it particularly rough if a brexit comes to fruition.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
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alutacontinua
#1848 Posted : Monday, June 20, 2016 8:27:55 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/23/2011
Posts: 304
lochaz-index wrote:
hisah wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
The NSE20 band is getting tighter and tighter in recent weeks. 3770-3830 it has been for about two weeks now. Seems like Mr market is waiting for safcom to top out first before bolting out of its self imposed jail.

Brexit event risk will be a volatility cocktail! Spectacular crash or rally coming up.

I am counting on a crash. It seems like the easier path while the rest of the issues sort themselves out.


Also hoping on an exit but the last couple of years have had us kick the can down the road and expect the same (Rally to ATHs). Posted this video over on Investor Lounge that goes into some detail about the pros of an exit.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UTMxfAkxfQ0
You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
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instinct
#1849 Posted : Monday, June 20, 2016 10:35:05 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 8/17/2007
Posts: 294
alutacontinua wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
hisah wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
The NSE20 band is getting tighter and tighter in recent weeks. 3770-3830 it has been for about two weeks now. Seems like Mr market is waiting for safcom to top out first before bolting out of its self imposed jail.

Brexit event risk will be a volatility cocktail! Spectacular crash or rally coming up.

I am counting on a crash. It seems like the easier path while the rest of the issues sort themselves out.


Also hoping on an exit but the last couple of years have had us kick the can down the road and expect the same (Rally to ATHs). Posted this video over on Investor Lounge that goes into some detail about the pros of an exit.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UTMxfAkxfQ0



http://www.businessdaily...0/-/4j1lht/-/index.html
. "Recent T-bill auctions have attracted heavy bids from investors, indicating a highly liquid market that would see investors compete more fiercely for the few viable investments available."
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hisah
#1850 Posted : Tuesday, June 21, 2016 4:28:24 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
alutacontinua wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
hisah wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
The NSE20 band is getting tighter and tighter in recent weeks. 3770-3830 it has been for about two weeks now. Seems like Mr market is waiting for safcom to top out first before bolting out of its self imposed jail.

Brexit event risk will be a volatility cocktail! Spectacular crash or rally coming up.

I am counting on a crash. It seems like the easier path while the rest of the issues sort themselves out.


Also hoping on an exit but the last couple of years have had us kick the can down the road and expect the same (Rally to ATHs). Posted this video over on Investor Lounge that goes into some detail about the pros of an exit.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UTMxfAkxfQ0

Quite interesting that documentary. I don't expect EU to permit an exit vote. That will kill the EU! The more EU stalls euro states against exiting the bad marriage, the bigger the crash will be when it triggers! After the swiss killed the euro peg last year, that was a major signal that the future of the euro is in limbo. Deflation and unemployment is a deadly cocktail for eurozone, which has only one outcome; the union and its currency has a short time to write the will... If brexit fails, then the pound has a long way to fall! It may fall to its 1985 low vs the $ in future.

Strangely though the FTSE is setting up for a major breakout (new all time highs) - brexit or not! Will the NSE FTSE indices get pulled along when that breakout triggers? I think mpesa bank has already pointed to that setup - flight to quality. Valuations out the window! Capital needs to park somewhere!
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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