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NBK- a junk stock?
guru267
#1 Posted : Tuesday, April 06, 2010 2:12:06 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
@all i've been running through the papers and i stumbled upon what seems like impending doom for minority NBK shareholders...

http://www.theeastafrica...0/-/7hq33e/-/index.html


what i dont understand is the share price movement seems to be reacting in the opposite direction completely... what could be the reason???

Any help on this will be highly appreciated...
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
slykat
#2 Posted : Tuesday, April 06, 2010 2:24:11 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 2/20/2007
Posts: 359
I cannot pretend to know but I guess it is mere mass speculation based on the prospects of a boardroom takeover. I would urge caution, as 1. the GoK is involved - we know what that means, and, 2. prospective bidders will likely have a discount on mkt price quite unlike what happens in a hostile takeover!
Wa_ithaka
#3 Posted : Tuesday, April 06, 2010 4:14:47 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 1/7/2010
Posts: 1,279
Location: nbi
My view of the story is that there is a fair amount of testing the waters because if true, investors are just behind the news curve and once they hear this, they will bolt en masse.
The Governor of Nyeri - 2017
Gordon Gekko
#4 Posted : Monday, April 12, 2010 8:22:23 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 5/27/2008
Posts: 3,760
@guru267 (is your birthday Feb 1967?) that is not fair. By going ex bonus hasn't made NBK junk. Assuming you had 5 shares the cb value would be 53 x 5 = 265. Since you get 2 extra shares, the value of your investment doesn't change, but the value of each share (5 + 2 bonus) becomes 265 / 7 = 37. So the drop to 38 is consistent. I just pity the guys who bought at 49 eb.
However the machination to convert preferential to ordinary will make it junk.
guru267
#5 Posted : Monday, April 12, 2010 8:38:41 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
@GG that is why i deleted my post... i initially put it up thinking the preference share conversion had began but when i checked out the corporate dates i realised it had just gone ex bonus...

whoever bought at 49 today has seriously lost it up stairs..
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
Wa_ithaka
#6 Posted : Monday, April 12, 2010 8:40:41 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 1/7/2010
Posts: 1,279
Location: nbi
Trading ex bonus today
The Governor of Nyeri - 2017
subaru
#7 Posted : Monday, April 12, 2010 4:39:02 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/15/2010
Posts: 391
Location: nairobie
can see even a trade at 30 bob lucky fella who bought at that price
Jaguar
#8 Posted : Friday, April 16, 2010 9:59:26 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 6/7/2007
Posts: 263
Location: humu humu
this "junk" is making many people smile. Bought at 51.00, sold at 59.50. Then bought ex bonus @36.00....still going up up up
guru267
#9 Posted : Friday, April 16, 2010 10:23:44 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
@jaguar there are a few things that have completely baffled me in life and this stock is one of them...

with the NSSF expecting the price to fall to 2bob after the restructuring in december.. i dont know what its doing way up here
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
Jaguar
#10 Posted : Friday, April 16, 2010 10:38:54 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 6/7/2007
Posts: 263
Location: humu humu
@guru, the restructuring is not a done deal, nssf concerns will have to be seriously addressed by g.o.k since screwing the kenyan pensioners is the last thing this govt will want to do..having said that, i bought at 36.00 expecting it to stagnate at that level for some time or head south, had actually left some cash to chase it southwards..i'm also puzzled by its meteoric rise
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