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How to tell NSE has bottomed out
hisah
#5401 Posted : Tuesday, March 22, 2016 2:44:58 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Plain and simple. This market has not bottomed!

I stated this thread in 2011 and the bottoming patterns I highlighted are not present in the current market. And worse the global stocks are flashing ugly sellside signals since Aug 2015.

Keep your eyes fixed on Japan. The show should start from there.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Aguytrying
#5402 Posted : Tuesday, March 22, 2016 3:19:21 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
hisah wrote:
Plain and simple. This market has not bottomed!

I stated this thread in 2011 and the bottoming patterns I highlighted are not present in the current market. And worse the global stocks are flashing ugly sellside signals since Aug 2015.

Keep your eyes fixed on Japan. The show should start from there.


I agree. Evidence is good results being sold industry wide, demand is drying up even in top performers like kk. I can tell in a few months we'll be staring at the bidless vacuum
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
hisah
#5403 Posted : Tuesday, March 22, 2016 4:21:35 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Quite interesting to see mpesa bank afloat through the solid sellside period from March 2015. With most counters underwater if mpesa bank were to lose the 14 handle support, NSE20 would be testing sub 3500 levels!
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
mlennyma
#5404 Posted : Tuesday, March 22, 2016 4:43:30 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,194
Location: nairobi
hisah wrote:
Quite interesting to see mpesa bank afloat through the solid sellside period from March 2015. With most counters underwater if mpesa bank were to lose the 14 handle support, NSE20 would be testing sub 3500 levels!

i think equity markets experience more bears than bulls
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
lochaz-index
#5405 Posted : Tuesday, March 22, 2016 9:05:25 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
hisah wrote:
Quite interesting to see mpesa bank afloat through the solid sellside period from March 2015. With most counters underwater if mpesa bank were to lose the 14 handle support, NSE20 would be testing sub 3500 levels!

Very puzzling from safcom I would have expected it to be in the 12-13zone by now but so far it has put up an almost impregnable defense of the indices.

NSE20 is out running the NASI in losses with the latter roughly tracking KES weakness. Mid and small caps are yet to have their day in the cleaners.

If we are to have a bottom, then lots and lots of shavings are in waiting. In addition, the banks still seem to be all cosy despite an NPL overhang plus reduced NIM's are yet to reflect on their bottomline.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
mlennyma
#5406 Posted : Tuesday, March 22, 2016 10:53:29 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,194
Location: nairobi
http://www.nation.co.ke/...4/-/15svec5/-/index.html
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
mlennyma
#5407 Posted : Tuesday, March 22, 2016 10:57:00 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,194
Location: nairobi
mlennyma wrote:
http://www.nation.co.ke/business/Dangote-urges-investors-to-ride-on-2015-down-turn/-/996/3129094/-/15svec5/-/index.html

it's planting time.
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
murchr
#5408 Posted : Wednesday, April 13, 2016 5:21:27 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Not yet?
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
cnn
#5409 Posted : Wednesday, April 13, 2016 11:02:31 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 6/17/2009
Posts: 1,627
murchr wrote:
Not yet?

What is the sign to look for? .If only it were that easy to tell.But opportunities to make money have presented themselves,i saw @sparkly trade Kengen from 5,Britam has done a 10 to 13 for those who took it up or KK from 8s to current levels.I have done KCB from 37 to 42.5 and Starnchart from 190s to 247-250(both sold i now sit out and see those first quarter numbers first) and Bamburi for the dividend yield.
Trading good companies is for me the way to go,if the above tanked after i got in, the dividends would have kept me going waiting for prices to recover.Just keep off the Mumias,KQ,Uchumi and fellow junk counters.
Spikes
#5410 Posted : Wednesday, April 13, 2016 11:05:11 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
cnn wrote:
murchr wrote:
Not yet?

What is the sign to look for? .If only it were that easy to tell.But opportunities to make money have presented themselves,i saw @sparkly trade Kengen from 5,Britam has done a 10 to 13 for those who took it up or KK from 8s to current levels.I have done KCB from 37 to 42.5 and Starnchart from 190s to 247-250(both sold i now sit out and see those first quarter numbers first) and Bamburi for the dividend yield.
Trading good companies is for me the way to go,if the above tanked after i got in, the dividends would have kept me going waiting for prices to recover.Just keep off the Mumias,KQ,Uchumi and fellow junk counters.



Thanks very much. I was warned about MSC na nilikipata!
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
569 Pages«<539540541542543>»
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