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Kengen success
murchr
#141 Posted : Friday, March 11, 2016 3:35:23 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
We have KENG veterans here who made money when they bought the stock at 7 in 2011 and sold it at 17/- in 2013. Same scene same cast.
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
Cde Monomotapa
#142 Posted : Friday, March 11, 2016 4:10:58 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
smile @muandiwambeu. Weekendi njema.
shiznit
#143 Posted : Monday, March 14, 2016 10:38:22 AM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 5/21/2013
Posts: 72
Location: KENYA
Kengen Rights Issue to be completed by June 30th.
“The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.” - John Maynard Keynes
mugo2of3
#144 Posted : Monday, March 14, 2016 4:04:55 PM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 5/22/2014
Posts: 78


If the rights issue was at the current moderate price of 7.50, KEGN would have to issue extra 3.8 Billion shares approx'

Add to that the Govt's Debt to Equity Conversion.

What are the predictions of where the rights price will be at in June . . .
mthaka
#145 Posted : Monday, March 14, 2016 4:11:58 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/30/2013
Posts: 254
the price will be 5 bob my only concern is if they expect to have the money by 30th June 2016 ,working backwards they should have released the memorandum by now.The rights will be two for every one held
muandiwambeu
#146 Posted : Monday, March 14, 2016 5:09:06 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 8/28/2015
Posts: 1,247
mthaka wrote:
the price will be 5 bob my only concern is if they expect to have the money by 30th June 2016 ,working backwards they should have released the memorandum by now.The rights will be two for every one held

Four for every one held. Where are you getting 2:1 from. Total shares to be issued 7.8, current issued 1.9. Hii hesabu ngumu kweli.
Dilution is what you get here. Approx. Six years to recovery kama utafunga mshipi vizuri. At 3.5/= am a buyer.
,Behold, a sower went forth to sow;....
Spikes
#147 Posted : Monday, March 14, 2016 5:19:54 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
muandiwambeu wrote:
mthaka wrote:
the price will be 5 bob my only concern is if they expect to have the money by 30th June 2016 ,working backwards they should have released the memorandum by now.The rights will be two for every one held

Four for every one held. Where are you getting 2:1 from. Total shares to be issued 7.8, current issued 1.9. Hii hesabu ngumu kweli.
Dilution is what you get here. Approx. Six years to recovery kama utafunga mshipi vizuri. At 3.5/= am a buyer.


It will be very difficult for this stock to hold its neck high ex rights. Critical dilution is unsurmountable. Tightening mikanda for a couple of years, I agree.
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
moneydust
#148 Posted : Monday, March 14, 2016 5:56:11 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/31/2007
Posts: 304
muandiwambeu wrote:
mthaka wrote:
the price will be 5 bob my only concern is if they expect to have the money by 30th June 2016 ,working backwards they should have released the memorandum by now.The rights will be two for every one held

Four for every one held. Where are you getting 2:1 from. Total shares to be issued 7.8, current issued 1.9. Hii hesabu ngumu kweli.
Dilution is what you get here. Approx. Six years to recovery kama utafunga mshipi vizuri. At 3.5/= am a buyer.



Classic case of fear mongering...your analysis of this is too simplistic.It will require a significant change of fundamentals for the share price to go below the rights price (assuming its 5/=).Mark you these are not bonus shares accruing to a shareholder at zero cost.Therefore a sale below the rights price would require some drastic information.The rights can only be at a maximum of 3 for every 1 held.Issued shares are at 2.1Billion and as per the shareholder approval a maximum of 7.8Billion can be issued.To issue 4 for 1 they will require 8.4Billion shares which the shareholders did not authorise.
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#149 Posted : Monday, March 14, 2016 7:46:09 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,225
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
mthaka wrote:
the price will be 5 bob my only concern is if they expect to have the money by 30th June 2016 ,working backwards they should have released the memorandum by now.The rights will be two for every one held


Thanks for the info. Any link to your source perhaps?Always advisable to trade on info. If subscription price is 5, then expect the market price to trend towards that figure as we near books closure. Where is the short buttonsmile
@SufficientlyP
Ericsson
#150 Posted : Monday, March 14, 2016 9:10:11 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,804
Location: NAIROBI
@mthaka
2:1 means the rights issue price will be at 6.50 since private shareholders are expected to raise ksh.8.58bn.
The government will maintain its stake at 70% and will defend via converting sh.20bn debt to equity.
The number of shares entitled to private shareholders is therefore
4.4bn*0.3=1.32bn.

@muandiwambeu
Not all the 7.8bn authorised shares will be issued during the upcoming rights issue.
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
75 Pages«<1314151617>»
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