Wazua
»
Investor
»
Stocks
»
The KenolKobil 2015 pendulum
Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040
|
Spikes. This is just a taste, the main feast will be in 2018 onwards after elections. When the bride may find a suitor. But with or without that the share is headed to the promised land The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
|
|
|
Rank: Elder Joined: 7/22/2009 Posts: 7,478
|
Spikes wrote:Aguytrying wrote:Aguytrying wrote:mlennyma wrote:mlennyma wrote:Realtreaty wrote:he Pendulum, still in motion!!!!!!  buyers and sellers are in a cold war buyers are giving in to the 10bob reality,Kk is worth 15bob atleast Supply at 10.00 was being mopped up as it came. Im not the optimistic one but i see scope for 11.00 before results. Nevertheless im even surprised were at 10.00. @enyands. You can safely wake up today the VWAP is 10.00 @mlennyma. This way a few days ago when 10 was looking an impossible barrier. We have similar investor eyes KK enthusiasts is your turn to eat!  No eating, yet. We watch as the cow fattens up. 2018 would be a nice time for the hungry to eat. The rest can wait and see the cow turning into a buffalo and then into a rhino!!! Never count on making a good sale. Have the purchase price be so attractive that even a mediocre sale gives good returns.
|
|
|
Rank: Elder Joined: 7/22/2009 Posts: 7,478
|
Aguytrying wrote:Spikes. This is just a taste, the main feast will be in 2018 onwards after elections. When the bride may find a suitor. But with or without that the share is headed to the promised land Imagine Ohana at the helm, no debt, out of loss making territories, out of low margin business, expansion in profitable markets and products, low global oil prices (Higher consumption, low cost of inventory/financing, Higher % margins etc.) and you will realise as Van Gaal said to Man United players, it is time to get H@&*y!!! Never count on making a good sale. Have the purchase price be so attractive that even a mediocre sale gives good returns.
|
|
|
Rank: Veteran Joined: 6/17/2009 Posts: 1,619
|
MaichBlack wrote:Aguytrying wrote:Spikes. This is just a taste, the main feast will be in 2018 onwards after elections. When the bride may find a suitor. But with or without that the share is headed to the promised land Imagine Ohana at the helm, no debt, out of loss making territories, out of low margin business, expansion in profitable markets and products, low global oil prices (Higher consumption, low cost of inventory/financing, Higher % margins etc.) and you will realise as Van Gaal said to Man United players, it is time to get H@&*y!!! I like the way Ohana has silently worked on KK,i was an admirer of a combative Segman back then but that was not taking KK far.If it sails i have missed the bus this time.
|
|
|
Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,140 Location: Nairobi
|
Spikes wrote:Aguytrying wrote:Aguytrying wrote:mlennyma wrote:mlennyma wrote:Realtreaty wrote:he Pendulum, still in motion!!!!!! buyers and sellers are in a cold war buyers are giving in to the 10bob reality,Kk is worth 15bob atleast Supply at 10.00 was being mopped up as it came. Im not the optimistic one but i see scope for 11.00 before results. Nevertheless im even surprised were at 10.00. @enyands. You can safely wake up today the VWAP is 10.00 @mlennyma. This way a few days ago when 10 was looking an impossible barrier. We have similar investor eyes KK enthusiasts is your turn to eat! We earn not eat. No begging for bailouts. Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
|
|
|
Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
|
KK finally starting to break out from long term resistance levels after years of selling pressure Next target is a monthly close above 12 handle for bulls to finally run out the bears. $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
|
|
|
Rank: Elder Joined: 7/21/2010 Posts: 6,185 Location: nairobi
|
There comes a time for a child to be born no matter the circumstances "Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
|
|
|
Rank: Elder Joined: 7/21/2010 Posts: 6,185 Location: nairobi
|
hisah wrote:KK finally starting to break out from long term resistance levels after years of selling pressure Next target is a monthly close above 12 handle for bulls to finally run out the bears. the price should atleast reflect the most profitable oil company in kenya if not the region "Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
|
|
|
Rank: Elder Joined: 7/21/2010 Posts: 6,185 Location: nairobi
|
mlennyma wrote:hisah wrote:KK finally starting to break out from long term resistance levels after years of selling pressure Next target is a monthly close above 12 handle for bulls to finally run out the bears. the price should atleast reflect the most profitable oil company in kenya if not the region the heavy blocks trading at 10.65 are conforming it's not by mistake "Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
|
|
|
Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,140 Location: Nairobi
|
See my guesstimated calculations in an earlier. I expect KES 2/- as EPS for FY 2016 based on what Ohana said re: paying down debt, sale of unprofitable businesses, more stations in Kenya, etc. It is very early in the year BUT we will know more on 18th March. And then more details during the AGM probably 4-8 weeks later where there may be a discussion about the future if shareholders ask. At a conservative 8 PER = 16/- by April 2017 after FY 2016 results are released. The bogeyman are the elections in Kenya in 2017. I am not worried about Rwanda. 2018 - That's when I expect (speculative) a buyout/takeover to take shape. 20/- if KK maintains its growth in profitability. Of course, the further out one goes the more speculative it becomes. mlennyma wrote:hisah wrote:KK finally starting to break out from long term resistance levels after years of selling pressure Next target is a monthly close above 12 handle for bulls to finally run out the bears. the price should atleast reflect the most profitable oil company in kenya if not the region *Fill up at KenolKobil. We need the cash to pay down debt. KQ & cronies pay cash. Thank You. Come Again.* Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
|
|
|
Rank: Elder Joined: 3/2/2009 Posts: 26,328 Location: Masada
|
DBLyon wrote:It's great to be on a bus that is moving... It depends moving in which direction! Portfolio: Sold
You know you've made it when you get a parking space for your yatcht.
|
|
|
Rank: Hello Joined: 2/10/2015 Posts: 8 Location: Nairobi
|
|
|
|
Rank: Elder Joined: 7/21/2010 Posts: 6,185 Location: nairobi
|
Impunity wrote:DBLyon wrote:It's great to be on a bus that is moving... It depends moving in which direction! many things happen over the weekend,I don't know what the devil might plant here to disrupt the momentum "Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
|
|
|
Rank: Elder Joined: 9/20/2015 Posts: 2,811 Location: Mombasa
|
mlennyma wrote:Impunity wrote:DBLyon wrote:It's great to be on a bus that is moving... It depends moving in which direction! many things happen over the weekend,I don't know what the devil might plant here to disrupt the momentum A weekend's events are enough to change the direction of a stock. John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
|
|
|
Rank: Elder Joined: 12/25/2014 Posts: 2,300 Location: kenya
|
mlennyma wrote:Impunity wrote:DBLyon wrote:It's great to be on a bus that is moving... It depends moving in which direction! many things happen over the weekend,I don't know what the devil might plant here to disrupt the momentum I find you having ocd on this specific stock.  . You will easily be a prey of "withdrawal syndrome" if this stock heads towards southern winds.
|
|
|
Rank: Elder Joined: 7/21/2010 Posts: 6,185 Location: nairobi
|
enyands wrote:mlennyma wrote:Impunity wrote:DBLyon wrote:It's great to be on a bus that is moving... It depends moving in which direction! many things happen over the weekend,I don't know what the devil might plant here to disrupt the momentum I find you having ocd on this specific stock. . You will easily be a prey of "withdrawal syndrome" if this stock heads towards southern winds. this is where my mouth is but iam a seasoned investor who is never scared by paper losses,when safcom left 3bob people thought it will come back,i don't mean kk wont come down but one day it will leave for good "Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
|
|
|
Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040
|
@mlennyma. What did you do to your liberty insurance. That share has resisted gravity. The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
|
|
|
Rank: Elder Joined: 7/21/2010 Posts: 6,185 Location: nairobi
|
Aguytrying wrote:@mlennyma. What did you do to your liberty insurance. That share has resisted gravity. i sold it at 24 a ride from 7bob "Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
|
|
|
Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040
|
mlennyma wrote:Aguytrying wrote:@mlennyma. What did you do to your liberty insurance. That share has resisted gravity. i sold it at 24 a ride from 7bob What a sweet ride. Why did you sell, or u will be back later? The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
|
|
|
Rank: Elder Joined: 7/21/2010 Posts: 6,185 Location: nairobi
|
Aguytrying wrote:mlennyma wrote:Aguytrying wrote:@mlennyma. What did you do to your liberty insurance. That share has resisted gravity. i sold it at 24 a ride from 7bob What a sweet ride. Why did you sell, or u will be back later? i sold to solidify my position in kk having gained whether i will be back is something to ponder but i foresaw their profits declining "Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
|
|
|
Wazua
»
Investor
»
Stocks
»
The KenolKobil 2015 pendulum
Forum Jump
You cannot post new topics in this forum.
You cannot reply to topics in this forum.
You cannot delete your posts in this forum.
You cannot edit your posts in this forum.
You cannot create polls in this forum.
You cannot vote in polls in this forum.
|