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The KenolKobil 2015 pendulum
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Aguytrying
#401 Posted : Friday, February 26, 2016 11:06:44 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
Spikes. This is just a taste, the main feast will be in 2018 onwards after elections. When the bride may find a suitor. But with or without that the share is headed to the promised land
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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MaichBlack
#402 Posted : Friday, February 26, 2016 11:15:10 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/22/2009
Posts: 7,848
Spikes wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
Realtreaty wrote:
he Pendulum, still in motion!!!!!! smile

buyers and sellers are in a cold war

buyers are giving in to the 10bob reality,Kk is worth 15bob atleast


Supply at 10.00 was being mopped up as it came. Im not the optimistic one but i see scope for 11.00 before results. Nevertheless im even surprised were at 10.00.

@enyands. You can safely wake up today the VWAP is 10.00


@mlennyma. This way a few days ago when 10 was looking an impossible barrier. We have similar investor eyes


KK enthusiasts is your turn to eat! Applause

No eating, yet.

We watch as the cow fattens up. 2018 would be a nice time for the hungry to eat. The rest can wait and see the cow turning into a buffalo and then into a rhino!!!
Never count on making a good sale. Have the purchase price be so attractive that even a mediocre sale gives good returns.
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MaichBlack
#403 Posted : Friday, February 26, 2016 11:19:43 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/22/2009
Posts: 7,848
Aguytrying wrote:
Spikes. This is just a taste, the main feast will be in 2018 onwards after elections. When the bride may find a suitor. But with or without that the share is headed to the promised land

Imagine Ohana at the helm, no debt, out of loss making territories, out of low margin business, expansion in profitable markets and products, low global oil prices (Higher consumption, low cost of inventory/financing, Higher % margins etc.) and you will realise as Van Gaal said to Man United players, it is time to get H@&*y!!!
Never count on making a good sale. Have the purchase price be so attractive that even a mediocre sale gives good returns.
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cnn
#404 Posted : Friday, February 26, 2016 11:37:56 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 6/17/2009
Posts: 1,627
MaichBlack wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
Spikes. This is just a taste, the main feast will be in 2018 onwards after elections. When the bride may find a suitor. But with or without that the share is headed to the promised land

Imagine Ohana at the helm, no debt, out of loss making territories, out of low margin business, expansion in profitable markets and products, low global oil prices (Higher consumption, low cost of inventory/financing, Higher % margins etc.) and you will realise as Van Gaal said to Man United players, it is time to get H@&*y!!!

I like the way Ohana has silently worked on KK,i was an admirer of a combative Segman back then but that was not taking KK far.If it sails i have missed the bus this time.
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VituVingiSana
#405 Posted : Friday, February 26, 2016 11:40:24 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,353
Location: Nairobi
Spikes wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
Realtreaty wrote:
he Pendulum, still in motion!!!!!! smile

buyers and sellers are in a cold war

buyers are giving in to the 10bob reality,Kk is worth 15bob atleast


Supply at 10.00 was being mopped up as it came. Im not the optimistic one but i see scope for 11.00 before results. Nevertheless im even surprised were at 10.00.

@enyands. You can safely wake up today the VWAP is 10.00


@mlennyma. This way a few days ago when 10 was looking an impossible barrier. We have similar investor eyes


KK enthusiasts is your turn to eat! Applause

We earn not eat. No begging for bailouts.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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hisah
#406 Posted : Friday, February 26, 2016 11:59:38 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
KK finally starting to break out from long term resistance levels after years of selling pressure smile

Next target is a monthly close above 12 handle for bulls to finally run out the bears.

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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mlennyma
#407 Posted : Friday, February 26, 2016 12:20:19 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,194
Location: nairobi
There comes a time for a child to be born no matter the circumstances
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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mlennyma
#408 Posted : Friday, February 26, 2016 12:34:01 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,194
Location: nairobi
hisah wrote:
KK finally starting to break out from long term resistance levels after years of selling pressure smile

Next target is a monthly close above 12 handle for bulls to finally run out the bears.


the price should atleast reflect the most profitable oil company in kenya if not the region
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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mlennyma
#409 Posted : Friday, February 26, 2016 12:39:40 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,194
Location: nairobi
mlennyma wrote:
hisah wrote:
KK finally starting to break out from long term resistance levels after years of selling pressure smile

Next target is a monthly close above 12 handle for bulls to finally run out the bears.


the price should atleast reflect the most profitable oil company in kenya if not the region

the heavy blocks trading at 10.65 are conforming it's not by mistake
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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VituVingiSana
#410 Posted : Friday, February 26, 2016 12:48:46 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,353
Location: Nairobi
See my guesstimated calculations in an earlier. I expect KES 2/- as EPS for FY 2016 based on what Ohana said re: paying down debt, sale of unprofitable businesses, more stations in Kenya, etc. It is very early in the year BUT we will know more on 18th March. And then more details during the AGM probably 4-8 weeks later where there may be a discussion about the future if shareholders ask.

At a conservative 8 PER = 16/- by April 2017 after FY 2016 results are released. The bogeyman are the elections in Kenya in 2017. I am not worried about Rwanda.

2018 - That's when I expect (speculative) a buyout/takeover to take shape. 20/- if KK maintains its growth in profitability. Of course, the further out one goes the more speculative it becomes.

mlennyma wrote:
hisah wrote:
KK finally starting to break out from long term resistance levels after years of selling pressure smile

Next target is a monthly close above 12 handle for bulls to finally run out the bears.


the price should atleast reflect the most profitable oil company in kenya if not the region


*Fill up at KenolKobil. We need the cash to pay down debt. KQ & cronies pay cash. Thank You. Come Again.*
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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