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Technical Analysis 101 : NSE - Eliminate Guesswork when trading shares
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Spikes
#41 Posted : Tuesday, February 09, 2016 9:59:25 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
Aguytrying wrote:
maka wrote:
snipermnoma wrote:
sparkly wrote:
hisah wrote:
hisah wrote:
sparkly wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
Othelo wrote:
mibbz wrote:
Interesting to see the debate on TA with a focus on Safaricom 5 years ago!

@sparkly perhaps you could share some insights on counters you see meeting the criteria. I am caught in between trying out the almost penny stocks for 10-15% gains vs the more established but somehow still sliding/stagnating counters like Britam and KCB

Currently doing this specifically on ADSS. But requires daily following to establish points of exhaustions at both ends. Then also make exit point which you MUST leave regardless to avoid greed.

Maintain your initial capital and dont reinvest gains out of the speculation trades - use this for other serious investments.

Stop loss - 15%.


I just have a simple question, how much percentage growth did you (and other speculators) make last year by using this method?

This need of constant activity in the market comes at a great price.

Speculating is one step forward and two step back. MOST success is in a rising bull market.
Bear market? Mutachomeka sana


Bought some 6,000 of Kengen at 5.5 - 6.00. Intend to add more at that range next week.

Playing the weekly hammer candle? Kool. May swing to 7 - 7.50 level. But I'm mean with cash this time. Still out of NSE as I focus on global markets. Btw also have a look at BBK on the weekly hammer candle.

@sparkly, the rally has played out nicely smile Now approaching resistance zones. Get ready to pull the sell trigger.


I see a trade at 6.85/=. Supply is flooding in. I am watching keenly if demand will rise to match the supply smile


Indeed, watch for the demand so as to decide on the next move whether to hold or sell.


missed this one...crap to hesitant...5.85 to 6.58 would give you 13.45% net I would sell and wait for the next ride...NBK @ 16 pre results then off load later on at around 19 or 21 if you are too ambitious....


Greed and fear. Fearing to buy when price is low, not wanting to sell when making profit, holding out for higher returns (greed). That's why trading is soo hard the emotions

John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
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sparkly
#42 Posted : Thursday, February 25, 2016 12:47:49 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
Spikes wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
maka wrote:
snipermnoma wrote:
sparkly wrote:
hisah wrote:
hisah wrote:
sparkly wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
Othelo wrote:
mibbz wrote:
Interesting to see the debate on TA with a focus on Safaricom 5 years ago!

@sparkly perhaps you could share some insights on counters you see meeting the criteria. I am caught in between trying out the almost penny stocks for 10-15% gains vs the more established but somehow still sliding/stagnating counters like Britam and KCB

Currently doing this specifically on ADSS. But requires daily following to establish points of exhaustions at both ends. Then also make exit point which you MUST leave regardless to avoid greed.

Maintain your initial capital and dont reinvest gains out of the speculation trades - use this for other serious investments.

Stop loss - 15%.


I just have a simple question, how much percentage growth did you (and other speculators) make last year by using this method?

This need of constant activity in the market comes at a great price.

Speculating is one step forward and two step back. MOST success is in a rising bull market.
Bear market? Mutachomeka sana


Bought some 6,000 of Kengen at 5.5 - 6.00. Intend to add more at that range next week.

Playing the weekly hammer candle? Kool. May swing to 7 - 7.50 level. But I'm mean with cash this time. Still out of NSE as I focus on global markets. Btw also have a look at BBK on the weekly hammer candle.

@sparkly, the rally has played out nicely smile Now approaching resistance zones. Get ready to pull the sell trigger.


I see a trade at 6.85/=. Supply is flooding in. I am watching keenly if demand will rise to match the supply smile


Indeed, watch for the demand so as to decide on the next move whether to hold or sell.


missed this one...crap to hesitant...5.85 to 6.58 would give you 13.45% net I would sell and wait for the next ride...NBK @ 16 pre results then off load later on at around 19 or 21 if you are too ambitious....


Greed and fear. Fearing to buy when price is low, not wanting to sell when making profit, holding out for higher returns (greed). That's why trading is soo hard the emotions


Greeeeeeeed is the driving force of Securities Exchange.


6.95 Prints. Sellers coming out in numbers to entice the buyers. Buyers hesitant at 7.00 and above.

Support held at 6.00 and volumes have been very vibrant since the third week of January.
$$$$$$
Life is short. Live passionately.
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Aguytrying
#43 Posted : Thursday, February 25, 2016 5:14:18 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
sparkly wrote:
Spikes wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
maka wrote:
snipermnoma wrote:
sparkly wrote:
hisah wrote:
hisah wrote:
sparkly wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
Othelo wrote:
mibbz wrote:
Interesting to see the debate on TA with a focus on Safaricom 5 years ago!

@sparkly perhaps you could share some insights on counters you see meeting the criteria. I am caught in between trying out the almost penny stocks for 10-15% gains vs the more established but somehow still sliding/stagnating counters like Britam and KCB

Currently doing this specifically on ADSS. But requires daily following to establish points of exhaustions at both ends. Then also make exit point which you MUST leave regardless to avoid greed.

Maintain your initial capital and dont reinvest gains out of the speculation trades - use this for other serious investments.

Stop loss - 15%.


I just have a simple question, how much percentage growth did you (and other speculators) make last year by using this method?

This need of constant activity in the market comes at a great price.

Speculating is one step forward and two step back. MOST success is in a rising bull market.
Bear market? Mutachomeka sana


Bought some 6,000 of Kengen at 5.5 - 6.00. Intend to add more at that range next week.

Playing the weekly hammer candle? Kool. May swing to 7 - 7.50 level. But I'm mean with cash this time. Still out of NSE as I focus on global markets. Btw also have a look at BBK on the weekly hammer candle.

@sparkly, the rally has played out nicely smile Now approaching resistance zones. Get ready to pull the sell trigger.


I see a trade at 6.85/=. Supply is flooding in. I am watching keenly if demand will rise to match the supply smile


Indeed, watch for the demand so as to decide on the next move whether to hold or sell.


missed this one...crap to hesitant...5.85 to 6.58 would give you 13.45% net I would sell and wait for the next ride...NBK @ 16 pre results then off load later on at around 19 or 21 if you are too ambitious....


Greed and fear. Fearing to buy when price is low, not wanting to sell when making profit, holding out for higher returns (greed). That's why trading is soo hard the emotions


Greeeeeeeed is the driving force of Securities Exchange.


6.95 Prints. Sellers coming out in numbers to entice the buyers. Buyers hesitant at 7.00 and above.

Support held at 6.00 and volumes have been very vibrant since the third week of January.
$$$$$$


Good play, What's the magic right's price?
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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Othelo
#44 Posted : Thursday, February 25, 2016 7:56:30 PM
Rank: User

Joined: 1/20/2014
Posts: 3,528
ADSS still strong ....
Formal education will make you a living. Self-education will make you a fortune - Jim Rohn.
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obiero
#45 Posted : Monday, July 17, 2017 9:49:58 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,220
Location: nairobi
Here we go

KQ ABP 4.26
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obiero
#46 Posted : Monday, July 17, 2017 9:57:03 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,220
Location: nairobi
VituVingiSana wrote:
You do realize all this is 20/20 in hindsight.

That said, I applaud your call/advise to sell (not buy) safaricom.
I am a fundamental guy & I will not dip into safaricom unless it is 5/- or lower!

7 years ago, the wazua master of disguise was saying that SCOM at KES 5 was too expensive

KQ ABP 4.26
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VituVingiSana
#47 Posted : Tuesday, July 18, 2017 12:52:56 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,349
Location: Nairobi
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
You do realize all this is 20/20 in hindsight.

That said, I applaud your call/advise to sell (not buy) safaricom.
I am a fundamental guy & I will not dip into safaricom unless it is 5/- or lower!

7 years ago, the wazua master of disguise was saying that SCOM at KES 5 was too expensive

Yes! An error I made BUT it is better not to make a gain than lose money by buying a piece of crap. Do I regret it? Yes. Do I obsess over it? No.

Example: I made an "Opportunity Loss" by not buying Safcom at 5/- or 10/- or even 15/-. I did not lose real money. Plus I made money by reinvesting in other shares [though not as much as I would have had I bought Safaricom].

Even Warren Buffett said he should have bought Microsoft shares back in the day. BTW, he and Bill Gates are good friends!

I made a REAL loss by buying KQ at various prices [but I sold out at 13-14 in 2012]. I was lucky when I reinvested the proceeds into much bette firms/counters.

Warren Buffett's 2 rules:
1) Do not lose money.
2) See Rule #1.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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alotoftalk
#48 Posted : Tuesday, July 18, 2017 1:07:49 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 8/27/2015
Posts: 138
Location: Harare
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
You do realize all this is 20/20 in hindsight.

That said, I applaud your call/advise to sell (not buy) safaricom.
I am a fundamental guy & I will not dip into safaricom unless it is 5/- or lower!

7 years ago, the wazua master of disguise was saying that SCOM at KES 5 was too expensive


Even Buffet missed Google

https://www.bloomberg.co...e-blew-it-missing-google
Investment philosophy development in progress...
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obiero
#49 Posted : Tuesday, July 18, 2017 6:55:43 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,220
Location: nairobi
alotoftalk wrote:
obiero wrote:
[quote=VituVingiSana]You do realize all this is 20/20 in hindsight.

That said, I applaud your call/advise to sell (not buy) safaricom.
I am a fundamental guy & I will not dip into safaricom unless it is 5/- or lower!

7 years ago, the wazua master of disguise was saying that SCOM at KES 5 was too expensive


Even Buffet missed Google

https://www.bloomberg.co...-blew-it-missing-google[/quote]
It happens.. But at least Buffet is back to airlines

KQ ABP 4.26
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VituVingiSana
#50 Posted : Tuesday, July 18, 2017 8:20:15 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,349
Location: Nairobi
obiero wrote:
alotoftalk wrote:
obiero wrote:
[quote=VituVingiSana]You do realize all this is 20/20 in hindsight.

That said, I applaud your call/advise to sell (not buy) safaricom.
I am a fundamental guy & I will not dip into safaricom unless it is 5/- or lower!

7 years ago, the wazua master of disguise was saying that SCOM at KES 5 was too expensive


Even Buffet missed Google

https://www.bloomberg.co...-blew-it-missing-google[/quote]
It happens.. But at least Buffet is back to airlines

Only when the airlines started making money... not when they were losing money!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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