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Elliott Wave Analysis Of The NSE 20
Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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Yet market operators are busy preaching buy stocks now they're cheap. Bla bla bla. Until this saga comes to an end taking down all the dirt out of the system, the market can't take off and the signals in the bond market undersubscriptions says we're yet to see the bottom fall out! I continue to warn those holding bank stocks sit tight  $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/20/2015 Posts: 2,811 Location: Mombasa
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hisah wrote:HFCK breaking below 20 handle All time high volume churned in mid Dec last year at 21 - 22 range. Are we going to see 10 handle tested??? If HFCK tests 10 handle it will be a total disaster in our economy because this bank has strong fundamentals. I urge NSE shutdown if we hit such indecent levels. John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040
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hisah wrote:HFCK breaking below 20 handle All time high volume churned in mid Dec last year at 21 - 22 range. Are we going to see 10 handle tested??? A former darling of mine until i missed out on the rights, which later turned out to be a blessing in disguise. I said severally that those rights were over valued, I was a lone voice in this. Looking back. This was just the classic "new listings" during a bear run, just that it was a rights. I like the company, but I do not trust Britam, who now own 46%. At 10.00-13.00 it will be equivalent to 15.00- 19.50 before the rights, which sounds about right to me. Especially any figure approaching 13.00. The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040
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hisah wrote:murchr wrote:hisah wrote:Spikes wrote:hisah wrote:Watch out for mpesa bank... The swift drops are coming! @hisah are you holding anything or as for you now cash is king? Still in cash. I wanted to board bamburi but decided not to as the market was hinting to give fatter discounts this year. NIC is also on my strike list. I was thinking about Bamburi too because of SGR but the trailing PE 17.6 is not pleasing at all, are you able to gauge what the forward PE would be? My forecast for BAMB is
Turnover 40B vs 36B
EPS - 13 vs 9.80 boosted by forex gains on USD cash holdings thus forward PER = 13.3
Total DPS - 12 (6+6) - Dividend yield at current stock price (173) is 6.9%
I expect this stock stay afloat in the current bearish storm.
That's encouraging coming from you. But we have to agree if the market gets to 3000 points, bamburi will have to shed some weight though not 50% like some have shed The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 8/28/2015 Posts: 1,247
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:- Spikes wrote:hisah wrote:HFCK breaking below 20 handle All time high volume churned in mid Dec last year at 21 - 22 range. Are we going to see 10 handle tested??? If HFCK tests 10 handle it will be a total disaster in our economy because this bank has strong fundamentals. I urge NSE shutdown if we hit such indecent levels. In 2011_2013 the market took hfck there just after the successful rights at twentish and the market surely did not close. Why think it's will close this time round. Buckle up, we are experiencing turbulence @spikes or take a parachute.  , I weathered the ride then stuck up at dsl like a real Moran. Now weigh you options cause all indicators say after that dilution the pay check home won't be so nice to talk about. We must respect Mr markets difficult times and mourn with it.  ,Behold, a sower went forth to sow;....
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 8/28/2015 Posts: 1,247
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Aguytrying wrote:hisah wrote:murchr wrote:hisah wrote:Spikes wrote:hisah wrote:Watch out for mpesa bank... The swift drops are coming! @hisah are you holding anything or as for you now cash is king? Still in cash. I wanted to board bamburi but decided not to as the market was hinting to give fatter discounts this year. NIC is also on my strike list. I was thinking about Bamburi too because of SGR but the trailing PE 17.6 is not pleasing at all, are you able to gauge what the forward PE would be? My forecast for BAMB is
Turnover 40B vs 36B
EPS - 13 vs 9.80 boosted by forex gains on USD cash holdings thus forward PER = 13.3
Total DPS - 12 (6+6) - Dividend yield at current stock price (173) is 6.9%
I expect this stock stay afloat in the current bearish storm.
That's encouraging coming from you. But we have to agree if the market gets to 3000 points, bamburi will have to shed some weight though not 50% like some have shed Construction boom has leveled up in Kenya. There is cut throat competition in built environment and thinking that Bamburi is Mr king is not here or there. For a whole year in construction have used every brand from Savanah to bamburi with equal access. Unlike before.  ,Behold, a sower went forth to sow;....
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Rank: Member Joined: 1/31/2007 Posts: 304
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muandiwambeu wrote:Aguytrying wrote:hisah wrote:murchr wrote:hisah wrote:Spikes wrote:hisah wrote:Watch out for mpesa bank... The swift drops are coming! @hisah are you holding anything or as for you now cash is king? Still in cash. I wanted to board bamburi but decided not to as the market was hinting to give fatter discounts this year. NIC is also on my strike list. I was thinking about Bamburi too because of SGR but the trailing PE 17.6 is not pleasing at all, are you able to gauge what the forward PE would be? My forecast for BAMB is
Turnover 40B vs 36B
EPS - 13 vs 9.80 boosted by forex gains on USD cash holdings thus forward PER = 13.3
Total DPS - 12 (6+6) - Dividend yield at current stock price (173) is 6.9%
I expect this stock stay afloat in the current bearish storm.
That's encouraging coming from you. But we have to agree if the market gets to 3000 points, bamburi will have to shed some weight though not 50% like some have shed Construction boom has leveled up in Kenya. There is cut throat competition in built environment and thinking that Bamburi is Mr king is not here or there. For a whole year in construction have used every brand from Savanah to bamburi with equal access. Unlike before. My sentiments exactly.I wouldnt buy into a cement company right now,there is too much dust in the air.Only the most efficient and strategic cement company will survive the bruising fight ahead.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/20/2015 Posts: 2,811 Location: Mombasa
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moneydust wrote:muandiwambeu wrote:Aguytrying wrote:hisah wrote:murchr wrote:hisah wrote:Spikes wrote:hisah wrote:Watch out for mpesa bank... The swift drops are coming! @hisah are you holding anything or as for you now cash is king? Still in cash. I wanted to board bamburi but decided not to as the market was hinting to give fatter discounts this year. NIC is also on my strike list. I was thinking about Bamburi too because of SGR but the trailing PE 17.6 is not pleasing at all, are you able to gauge what the forward PE would be? My forecast for BAMB is
Turnover 40B vs 36B
EPS - 13 vs 9.80 boosted by forex gains on USD cash holdings thus forward PER = 13.3
Total DPS - 12 (6+6) - Dividend yield at current stock price (173) is 6.9%
I expect this stock stay afloat in the current bearish storm.
That's encouraging coming from you. But we have to agree if the market gets to 3000 points, bamburi will have to shed some weight though not 50% like some have shed Construction boom has leveled up in Kenya. There is cut throat competition in built environment and thinking that Bamburi is Mr king is not here or there. For a whole year in construction have used every brand from Savanah to bamburi with equal access. Unlike before. My sentiments exactly.I wouldnt buy into a cement company right now,there is too much dust in the air.Only the most efficient and strategic cement company will survive the bruising fight ahead. One thing I know and I would wish shared with Wazuans is that some stocks will remain resilient throughout the bear market. Especially the stocks that are expecting good news after being in the dark for more than three years. Archive/bookmark this thread you will come remembering me! John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 8/28/2015 Posts: 1,247
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Spikes wrote:moneydust wrote:muandiwambeu wrote:Aguytrying wrote:hisah wrote:murchr wrote:hisah wrote:Spikes wrote:hisah wrote:Watch out for mpesa bank... The swift drops are coming! @hisah are you holding anything or as for you now cash is king? Still in cash. I wanted to board bamburi but decided not to as the market was hinting to give fatter discounts this year. NIC is also on my strike list. I was thinking about Bamburi too because of SGR but the trailing PE 17.6 is not pleasing at all, are you able to gauge what the forward PE would be? My forecast for BAMB is
Turnover 40B vs 36B
EPS - 13 vs 9.80 boosted by forex gains on USD cash holdings thus forward PER = 13.3
Total DPS - 12 (6+6) - Dividend yield at current stock price (173) is 6.9%
I expect this stock stay afloat in the current bearish storm.
That's encouraging coming from you. But we have to agree if the market gets to 3000 points, bamburi will have to shed some weight though not 50% like some have shed Construction boom has leveled up in Kenya. There is cut throat competition in built environment and thinking that Bamburi is Mr king is not here or there. For a whole year in construction have used every brand from Savanah to bamburi with equal access. Unlike before. My sentiments exactly.I wouldnt buy into a cement company right now,there is too much dust in the air.Only the most efficient and strategic cement company will survive the bruising fight ahead. One thing I know and I would wish shared with Wazuans is that some stocks will remain resilient throughout the bear market. Especially the stocks that are expecting good news after being in the dark for more than three years. Archive/bookmark this thread you will come remembering me! If you know why arm or eapc are where they are, know they grazing field is overpopulated. You might be lucky to have a hump to survive, but you will have a tale to tell how your hump used to be big. After every construction boom cement firms feel the heat since time to change systems are long being highly specialised. Some go into disuse or regionalisation of markets into segments/ turf protection. Eapc and bamburi enjoyed close to monopoly but now it's all a bear knuckles fight for market. Prices of cement are suppressed across the country unlike other years. ,Behold, a sower went forth to sow;....
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/26/2012 Posts: 15,980
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muandiwambeu wrote:Spikes wrote:moneydust wrote:muandiwambeu wrote:Aguytrying wrote:hisah wrote:murchr wrote:hisah wrote:Spikes wrote:hisah wrote:Watch out for mpesa bank... The swift drops are coming! @hisah are you holding anything or as for you now cash is king? Still in cash. I wanted to board bamburi but decided not to as the market was hinting to give fatter discounts this year. NIC is also on my strike list. I was thinking about Bamburi too because of SGR but the trailing PE 17.6 is not pleasing at all, are you able to gauge what the forward PE would be? My forecast for BAMB is
Turnover 40B vs 36B
EPS - 13 vs 9.80 boosted by forex gains on USD cash holdings thus forward PER = 13.3
Total DPS - 12 (6+6) - Dividend yield at current stock price (173) is 6.9%
I expect this stock stay afloat in the current bearish storm.
That's encouraging coming from you. But we have to agree if the market gets to 3000 points, bamburi will have to shed some weight though not 50% like some have shed Construction boom has leveled up in Kenya. There is cut throat competition in built environment and thinking that Bamburi is Mr king is not here or there. For a whole year in construction have used every brand from Savanah to bamburi with equal access. Unlike before. My sentiments exactly.I wouldnt buy into a cement company right now,there is too much dust in the air.Only the most efficient and strategic cement company will survive the bruising fight ahead. One thing I know and I would wish shared with Wazuans is that some stocks will remain resilient throughout the bear market. Especially the stocks that are expecting good news after being in the dark for more than three years. Archive/bookmark this thread you will come remembering me! If you know why arm or eapc are where they are, know they grazing field is overpopulated. You might be lucky to have a hump to survive, but you will have a tale to tell how your hump used to be big. After every construction boom cement firms feel the heat since time to change systems are long being highly specialised. Some go into disuse or regionalisation of markets into segments/ turf protection. Eapc and bamburi enjoyed close to monopoly but now it's all a bear knuckles fight for market. Prices of cement are suppressed across the country unlike other years. $$$$ loans "There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
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