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Tbill at 25% in 2016
Mainat
#1 Posted : Monday, January 11, 2016 6:30:40 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/21/2006
Posts: 1,590
The huge stock of debt repayments haven't yet kicked in, and the slope is steadily going upwards.
Given its an erection yr (yr before election when money and politicians are made), money will be poured.

CBK will have to let interest rates or Ksh go. I think it'll choose temporary interest rate hike. Like it did last year.
I therefore see 25% paid even for the 364 bond...
Sehemu ndio nyumba
Spikes
#2 Posted : Monday, January 11, 2016 7:38:46 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
Mainat wrote:
The huge stock of debt repayments haven't yet kicked in, and the slope is steadily going upwards.
Given its an erection yr (yr before election when money and politicians are made), money will be poured.

CBK will have to let interest rates or Ksh go. I think it'll choose temporary interest rate hike. Like it did last year.
I therefore see 25% paid even for the 364 bond...


@Are you a prophet of doom?
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
KulaRaha
#3 Posted : Monday, January 11, 2016 7:55:21 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/26/2007
Posts: 6,514
Very realistic scenario. First huge repayments start in Feb/March. Its gonna be a bloodbath.
Business opportunities are like buses,there's always another one coming
maka
#4 Posted : Monday, January 11, 2016 8:14:00 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
Spikes wrote:
Mainat wrote:
The huge stock of debt repayments haven't yet kicked in, and the slope is steadily going upwards.
Given its an erection yr (yr before election when money and politicians are made), money will be poured.

CBK will have to let interest rates or Ksh go. I think it'll choose temporary interest rate hike. Like it did last year.
I therefore see 25% paid even for the 364 bond...


@Are you a prophet of doom?


He is just being realistic...

http://www.nation.co.ke/.../-/a7iv08z/-/index.html

Rates will go up like crazy....
possunt quia posse videntur
Spikes
#5 Posted : Monday, January 11, 2016 8:51:55 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
maka wrote:
Spikes wrote:
Mainat wrote:
The huge stock of debt repayments haven't yet kicked in, and the slope is steadily going upwards.
Given its an erection yr (yr before election when money and politicians are made), money will be poured.

CBK will have to let interest rates or Ksh go. I think it'll choose temporary interest rate hike. Like it did last year.
I therefore see 25% paid even for the 364 bond...


@Are you a prophet of doom?


He is just being realistic...

http://www.nation.co.ke/.../-/a7iv08z/-/index.html

Rates will go up like crazy....


You mean bloodbath will be uglier than what we saw last year?
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
maka
#6 Posted : Monday, January 11, 2016 8:56:13 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
Spikes wrote:
maka wrote:
Spikes wrote:
Mainat wrote:
The huge stock of debt repayments haven't yet kicked in, and the slope is steadily going upwards.
Given its an erection yr (yr before election when money and politicians are made), money will be poured.

CBK will have to let interest rates or Ksh go. I think it'll choose temporary interest rate hike. Like it did last year.
I therefore see 25% paid even for the 364 bond...


@Are you a prophet of doom?


He is just being realistic...

http://www.nation.co.ke/.../-/a7iv08z/-/index.html

Rates will go up like crazy....


You mean bloodbath will be uglier than what we saw last year?


possunt quia posse videntur
snipermnoma
#7 Posted : Monday, January 11, 2016 10:11:58 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/3/2014
Posts: 257
maka wrote:
Spikes wrote:
maka wrote:
Spikes wrote:
Mainat wrote:
The huge stock of debt repayments haven't yet kicked in, and the slope is steadily going upwards.
Given its an erection yr (yr before election when money and politicians are made), money will be poured.

CBK will have to let interest rates or Ksh go. I think it'll choose temporary interest rate hike. Like it did last year.
I therefore see 25% paid even for the 364 bond...


@Are you a prophet of doom?


He is just being realistic...

http://www.nation.co.ke/.../-/a7iv08z/-/index.html

Rates will go up like crazy....


You mean bloodbath will be uglier than what we saw last year?




25% seems rather high. The t-bill rates will go up but considering the cash being held in anticipation, supply is high enough to keep the rate hikes in check.
whiteowl
#8 Posted : Monday, January 11, 2016 10:37:56 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 4/16/2014
Posts: 1,420
Location: Bohemian Grove
Cash will be king till 2018.
Spikes
#9 Posted : Monday, January 11, 2016 10:45:54 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
whiteowl wrote:
Cash will be king till 2018.


How can cash be a king when it is held without growth? Say bear run shall be a king and cash a queen.
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
Impunity
#10 Posted : Monday, January 11, 2016 11:15:00 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/2/2009
Posts: 26,331
Location: Masada
Spikes wrote:
whiteowl wrote:
Cash will be king till 2018.


How can cash be a king when it is held without growth? Say bear run shall be a king and cash a queen.


When RAO continues to say the "he will not accept another stolen vote" and tha Jubilee mouthpiece in cost hold that "Jubilee gaamnet will win at all cost ata kama ni kuiba ama kuuwa" then the bloodiest bath at the NSE is sure like a cock!
Sad
Portfolio: Sold
You know you've made it when you get a parking space for your yatcht.

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