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Elliott Wave Analysis Of The NSE 20
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mnandii
#821 Posted : Friday, September 04, 2015 2:49:17 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
hisah wrote:
So NSE has decided of late not to be reporting or misreporting the indices closing values... What will happen when the market falls rapidly on those days when trading will be suspended as circuit breakers trigger?


Very bad this. And when pandemonium strikes Pray Pray Pray
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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hisah
#822 Posted : Friday, September 04, 2015 4:13:36 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
USDKES!!! I'm now really concerned with this trend. NSE20 will have to price in this weak KES as the market is still not sure about the profit warnings! When that reality check zone (capitulation/despair) is hit, the correction will be awesome!

Keep your cash nicely...


$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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snipermnoma
#823 Posted : Saturday, September 05, 2015 4:21:07 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/3/2014
Posts: 257
hisah wrote:
USDKES!!! I'm now really concerned with this trend. NSE20 will have to price in this weak KES as the market is still not sure about the profit warnings! When that reality check zone (capitulation/despair) is hit, the correction will be awesome!

Keep your cash nicely...




Things are thick and getting thicker nse20 stagnating around 4150 the last week, shilling still sliding now at 105.1470 looks like it will break 107 and the nse20 below 4000. Cash is king!
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  | | Edit by user: Saturday, September 05, 2015 4:24 AM | Reason: Not specified
lochaz-index
#824 Posted : Saturday, September 05, 2015 1:00:27 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
It's getting uglier and uglier by the day. If you are to do a roll call on the countries that have already tapped out/ run out of ammo thus far, the statistics are astounding.

This could be worse than the GFC considering how much the markets are largely in sync this time and the main show is yet to unfold.

If this was only an NSE bear things would have been a lot better but as it stands our market is just but a pawn in the bigger puzzle especially considering our reserves are down to a bare minimum.

It's hard to rule out anything at this point coz even a sub 2000 index is on the cards. Might sound preposterous but could very well happen in this global bear.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
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obiero
#825 Posted : Saturday, September 05, 2015 2:34:06 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,215
Location: nairobi
lochaz-index wrote:
It's getting uglier and uglier by the day. If you are to do a roll call on the countries that have already tapped out/ run out of ammo thus far, the statistics are astounding.

This could be worse than the GFC considering how much the markets are largely in sync this time and the main show is yet to unfold.

If this was only an NSE bear things would have been a lot better but as it stands our market is just but a pawn in the bigger puzzle especially considering our reserves are down to a bare minimum.

It's hard to rule out anything at this point coz even a sub 2000 index is on the cards. Might sound preposterous but could very well happen in this global bear.

Indeed, this is a bad year.. No one saw it coming apart from myself

KQ ABP 4.26
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Boris Boyka
#826 Posted : Saturday, September 05, 2015 2:39:18 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/15/2013
Posts: 1,977
Location: Here
obiero wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
It's getting uglier and uglier by the day. If you are to do a roll call on the countries that have already tapped out/ run out of ammo thus far, the statistics are astounding.

This could be worse than the GFC considering how much the markets are largely in sync this time and the main show is yet to unfold.

If this was only an NSE bear things would have been a lot better but as it stands our market is just but a pawn in the bigger puzzle especially considering our reserves are down to a bare minimum.

It's hard to rule out anything at this point coz even a sub 2000 index is on the cards. Might sound preposterous but could very well happen in this global bear.

Indeed, this is a bad year.. No one saw it coming apart from myself

Many saw it. There were songs all over here that 2015 will be a bad year. You were among the seers smile
Everybody STEALS, a THIEF is one who's CAUGHT stealing something of LITTLE VALUE. !!!
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sparkly
#827 Posted : Saturday, September 05, 2015 5:06:48 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
Boris Boyka wrote:
obiero wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
It's getting uglier and uglier by the day. If you are to do a roll call on the countries that have already tapped out/ run out of ammo thus far, the statistics are astounding.

This could be worse than the GFC considering how much the markets are largely in sync this time and the main show is yet to unfold.

If this was only an NSE bear things would have been a lot better but as it stands our market is just but a pawn in the bigger puzzle especially considering our reserves are down to a bare minimum.

It's hard to rule out anything at this point coz even a sub 2000 index is on the cards. Might sound preposterous but could very well happen in this global bear.

Indeed, this is a bad year.. No one saw it coming apart from myself

Many saw it. There were songs all over here that 2015 will be a bad year. You were among the seers smile


@Obiero suffering from selection amnesia.
Life is short. Live passionately.
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obiero
#828 Posted : Saturday, September 05, 2015 7:05:19 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,215
Location: nairobi
sparkly wrote:
Boris Boyka wrote:
obiero wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
It's getting uglier and uglier by the day. If you are to do a roll call on the countries that have already tapped out/ run out of ammo thus far, the statistics are astounding.

This could be worse than the GFC considering how much the markets are largely in sync this time and the main show is yet to unfold.

If this was only an NSE bear things would have been a lot better but as it stands our market is just but a pawn in the bigger puzzle especially considering our reserves are down to a bare minimum.

It's hard to rule out anything at this point coz even a sub 2000 index is on the cards. Might sound preposterous but could very well happen in this global bear.

Indeed, this is a bad year.. No one saw it coming apart from myself

Many saw it. There were songs all over here that 2015 will be a bad year. You were among the seers smile


@Obiero suffering from selection amnesia.

Haiya. Kweli sikumbuki hio maneno ikisemwa.. :) Iv seen my capital being murdered, currently at a paper loss position of KES 0.25m which would have been steeper at KES 0.51m; incase I had not offloaded KCB in full. I chose not to sell coz of belief that we shall turn a corner sometime in the near future. KQ in particular shall shock the hell out of most naysayers here

KQ ABP 4.26
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  | | Edit by user: Saturday, September 05, 2015 7:08 PM | Reason: Not specified
TheGeek
#829 Posted : Saturday, September 05, 2015 9:33:58 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 7/3/2014
Posts: 245
snipermnoma wrote:
hisah wrote:
USDKES!!! I'm now really concerned with this trend. NSE20 will have to price in this weak KES as the market is still not sure about the profit warnings! When that reality check zone (capitulation/despair) is hit, the correction will be awesome!

Keep your cash nicely...




Things are thick and getting thicker nse20 stagnating around 4150 the last week, shilling still sliding now at 105.1470 looks like it will break 107 and the nse20 below 4000. Cash is king!


Take a look at nigeria for sneak preview of what is coming. Black market USD rate 25% higher and widening. Our brothers in nigeria have to engage in all manner of trickery including applying for more than 1 atm to circumvent the CBN withdrawal limits and oil headed lower, an economy that virtually imports everything life will be nearly impossible for those not living on banana island.
In the world of securities, courage and patience become the supreme virtues after adequate knowledge and a tested judgment are at hand.
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  | | Edit by user: Saturday, September 05, 2015 9:39 PM | Reason: Not specified
Magnate
#830 Posted : Sunday, September 06, 2015 6:41:15 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 11/1/2013
Posts: 257
Out of the 54 FY & Q2 announcements done this season on a q/q %PAT

Positive PAT results -26-(48.1%)
Negative & profit warnings results-28-(51.8%)

expect a gloomy FY reporting come Feb/Mar 2016.
No diagnosis,no pragnosis,no pragnosis no profit......Jesse livermore
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  | | Edit by user: Monday, September 07, 2015 12:05 AM | Reason: Not specified
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