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CURRENT NSE BULL: HAS THE EAGLE ALREADY FLOWN?
Cicero
#1 Posted : Thursday, March 11, 2010 2:46:42 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 7/7/2009
Posts: 111
I have been busy attending some matters only to get back to wazua and find the NSE having a bull albeit i admit a selective one. What has happened in the Agricultural sector to warrant a fast-paced increase in share prices? Or is it that Kenyans who have all along feared investing in NSE stocks preferring plots in Ruai, Kitengela, Juja, Kiserian and places in between have decided to return to the NSE? Or could it be the institutional investors who had hidden their clients cash in treasury bills and bonds where moths would not reach it who have decided to try out equities with higher risks but higher returns? Or is it the NSE "old-timers" and speculators who are outdoing themselves and each other trying to buy shares the public and from each other to increase prices? Or is it a mixture of all those?

What opinion do the gurus of wazua have as to when to sell or do we just all wait until the bull out runs itself and watch what happens thereafter (which i have done before without much laughter)?

I have to admit i missed out on the Agricultural shares recovery safe for Sasini which i nearly sold a month ago at the advice of wazurians. Will the other shares e.g. KQ, EABL, MUMIAS & KCB) which are curretly lagging behind also follow the direction of the bull?
Don't gamble; take all your savings and buy some good stock and hold it till it goes up, then sell it. If it don't go up, don't buy it...
sparkly
#2 Posted : Thursday, March 11, 2010 4:06:09 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
Bure, use a legible font colour.
Life is short. Live passionately.
mufasa
#3 Posted : Thursday, March 11, 2010 5:06:49 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 4/15/2008
Posts: 238
Unaniumiza macho
Do it today! Tomorrow is promise to no-one.
sheep
#4 Posted : Thursday, March 11, 2010 8:11:12 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 7/24/2008
Posts: 781
This bull is nothing like I had imagined,are those NSSF guys back coz majority of the buying is from locals.

Pump the prices,up up we go! for all of us who were well invested below 3000pts the market is paying what it owes us.

Can this sucker touch 7000pts before 2014?

The utimate goal of investing is to buy low sell high;if we re-write this core equation in psychology terms it becomes buy fear sell greed.
selah
#5 Posted : Thursday, March 11, 2010 9:36:00 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/13/2009
Posts: 1,950
Location: in kenya
CBK weekly bulletin excerpts

"The holdings of Government securities by commercial banks increased from
52.4 percent in June 2009 to 57.6 percent as at February 19, 2010 while
those of pension funds declined marginally from 22.3 percent to 21.8 percent
during the same period. Similarly, holdings of insurance companies,
parastatals and other investors declined from 11.6 percent, 7.1 percent and
6.6 percent, respectively to 10.2 percent, 6.4 percent and 4.0 percent during the same period .

Given that institutional investor reduced their investment in government securities and most probably pumped those investments to stock and coupled by foreign investor interests the bull run is definately justified by this demand.
'......to the acknowledgment of the mystery of God, and of the Father, and of Christ; 3 In whom are hid all the treasures of wisdom and knowledge.' Colossians 2:2-3
guru267
#6 Posted : Thursday, March 11, 2010 1:31:17 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
@cicero it is "EVERYONE" coming back to the NSE especially the institutions... if one looks at the NSE most of the firms are reporting profit growth, a few profit reduction, and the number reporting a full year loss is negligble and this in the wake of the worst financial crisis since the depression and 1.7& GDP growth..

compare this to DOW and the FTSE exchanges which are also rising slowly inspite of many heavy weight companies reporting full year loss eg CITIBANK, HSBC...

Also investors should know we "economists" know that this is a trough in the profit cycle for most companies and that most emerging markets are headed for a super cycle which last for about 10-15 years... and if i'm not mistaken kenya is one of those markets... thats what the fund managers and economists of these institutions are advising hence this crazy rally...

too bad the foreigners got in earlier though...
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
SUSU
#7 Posted : Thursday, March 11, 2010 4:26:34 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 11/14/2006
Posts: 64
Location: Far East
I just dont get it... why is it that all of a sudden all the institutional investors decide to come back then after a short while they all decide to withdraw kwani is this a wild beats migration??.... becarefull if they decide to go back 2 where they came from again utaliwa.. selling ur stuff will be difficult...

@ cicero... unanunua when everything looks sooo bad.. yaani no one wants to hear about NSE. ALAFU u find a kiti under a lemon tree sit and just watch how the beat goes. u will definately get cool returns. the problem is u must have guts to buy when all looks bad. ati u wait till things move up alafu u start ur stories...utaliwa mzee. now either danda the train or wait for another crush and buy...usiwe tamaa saaaana... just wait
ecstacy
#8 Posted : Thursday, March 11, 2010 4:42:41 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2008
Posts: 4,449
Let us pass this constitution smile bull bull
sparkly
#9 Posted : Thursday, March 11, 2010 5:49:46 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
Lets make some mooonie! Its very hard to control the human emotions of greed and fear... For those who painfully stuck with the nse when the chips were down, let the greedy ones come make us rich!
Life is short. Live passionately.
Kaufman
#10 Posted : Friday, March 12, 2010 2:05:01 PM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 1/29/2010
Posts: 23
The eagle is taxing. Take off with it. The Agri Stocks will be onboard.
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