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Bear 2015 Wish List
Aguytrying
#1 Posted : Wednesday, August 05, 2015 10:43:30 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
The bear is upon us! Emotions play a significant role in choosing what to buy and at what price. We all know the temptation to bottom fish to get the lowest prices, but its difficult to achieve.

Then there's the pain of being left by a share after a failed bottom fishing manoeuvre.

In light of this I've come up with a systematic way of buying this time round.
Using a P|E range of between 7-5.5 and EPS of 2014 or 2013 where necessary. Here is MY wishlist. There are many other good shares, ill be sticking with these for now.

STOCK EPS TARGET PRICE PE 5.5-7

EQUITY 4.63 25-33
KCB 5.63 30-40
NIC 7.07 38-49
NSE 2.13 12-15
DTB 21.92 120-154
HFCK 2.75 15-20

JUBILEE 48 264-340
PAN AFRICA 6.05 33-43

SAFARICOM 0.8 8-10(10-12 PE)
NATION 13.1 72-100 (unlikely)
TPS SERENA 3.45 20-25 (2013 EPS)

BAMBURI 9.80 98-130
KENOL KOBIL 0.74 5-7 (6.7-9.5 PE)
EABL 11.31 113- 170(10-15 PE)
ARM 3.01 30-45
BAT 42.55 300-450
CROWN PAINTS 3.01 17-21
FLAME TREE 0.99 6-7
BOC 11.76 65-85
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
Aguytrying
#2 Posted : Wednesday, August 05, 2015 10:45:04 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
What are you buying and at what Price?
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
subaru
#3 Posted : Wednesday, August 05, 2015 10:52:11 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/15/2010
Posts: 391
Location: nairobie
Aguytrying wrote:
What are you buying and at what Price?


wishful thinking please remove jubilee eabl bat equity from your list
Aguytrying
#4 Posted : Wednesday, August 05, 2015 11:03:57 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
subaru wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
What are you buying and at what Price?


wishful thinking please remove jubilee eabl bat equity from your list


In a REAL bear anything is possible. in 2011 for eg. JUBILEE 150. EQUITY 16.00. EABL 150. BAT 230-270
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
moneydust
#5 Posted : Wednesday, August 05, 2015 12:15:16 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/31/2007
Posts: 304
Aguytrying wrote:
What are you buying and at what Price?


Equity bank at between 30-33 will be a gem.My memories are taken back to 2011 when I loaded up on this stock at 16 and eventually made a kill.
Surprising thing is that we are having the same scenario ie high interest rates and depreciating currency.Indeed history repeats itself..
maka
#6 Posted : Wednesday, August 05, 2015 12:47:01 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
moneydust wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
What are you buying and at what Price?


Equity bank at between 30-33 will be a gem.My memories are taken back to 2011 when I loaded up on this stock at 16 and eventually made a kill.
Surprising thing is that we are having the same scenario ie high interest rates and depreciating currency.Indeed history repeats itself..


Interbank @ 20.4%,a possible 50 bps rate hike today,yesterday alone 900m of bond sell/buy back transactions took place...2011 yet again I believe prices will go lower,everyone is in panic mode...btw whats the highest interbank rate we have ever experienced?
possunt quia posse videntur
Aguytrying
#7 Posted : Wednesday, August 05, 2015 12:50:41 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
moneydust wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
What are you buying and at what Price?


Equity bank at between 30-33 will be a gem.My memories are taken back to 2011 when I loaded up on this stock at 16 and eventually made a kill.
Surprising thing is that we are having the same scenario ie high interest rates and depreciating currency.Indeed history repeats itself..


Bluechips are money makers in a real bear. EQTY, KCB, SAF, EABL should be acquired at those low prices at all costs!
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
mlennyma
#8 Posted : Wednesday, August 05, 2015 1:20:57 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,194
Location: nairobi
Many times we are getting right what to buy,our biggest failure is guessing when to sell.with all the previous market gains many will be left bare handed. the Bird was at our hands but now many find themselves holding only the feathers
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
dunkang
#9 Posted : Wednesday, August 05, 2015 1:26:10 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/2/2011
Posts: 4,824
Location: -1.2107, 36.8831
I still don't understand why KK is currently trading below 2011 levels. Were PUMA takeover rumours at play then?
Receive with simplicity everything that happens to you.” ― Rashi

B.Timer
#10 Posted : Wednesday, August 05, 2015 1:31:06 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 5/31/2008
Posts: 1,076
Aguytrying wrote:
moneydust wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
What are you buying and at what Price?


Equity bank at between 30-33 will be a gem.My memories are taken back to 2011 when I loaded up on this stock at 16 and eventually made a kill.
Surprising thing is that we are having the same scenario ie high interest rates and depreciating currency.Indeed history repeats itself..


Bluechips are money makers in a real bear. EQTY, KCB, SAF, EABL should be acquired at those low prices at all costs!


I am inclined to agree.
Co-op shouldnt be a bad pick either.
Dunia ni msongamano..
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