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Kenya Economy Watch
dunkang
#931 Posted : Monday, July 20, 2015 10:56:35 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/2/2011
Posts: 4,824
Location: -1.2107, 36.8831
Fitch Ratings has revised the Outlook on Kenya's Long-term foreign and local currency Issuer Default Ratings (IDR) to Negative from Stable and affirmed them at 'B+' and 'BB-', respectively. The agency has also affirmed the Short-term IDR at 'B' and Country Ceiling at 'BB-'. The issue ratings on Kenya's senior unsecured foreign and local currency bonds have been affirmed at 'B+'.

RINK NDO HII PAPA HAPA
Receive with simplicity everything that happens to you.” ― Rashi

hisah
#932 Posted : Monday, July 27, 2015 4:47:58 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977


Equities in a slump, real estate slumping before 2nd shock CBR rate hike and KBRR hike. Econ in a slump. The recession is gaining traction Pray

Money market taking over!
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
muganda
#933 Posted : Monday, July 27, 2015 8:41:34 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/15/2006
Posts: 3,907
“We do understand the risks and the problems that would come from targeting a rate. We definitely want to be sure that if there is movement in the rate, it is smooth, gradual and something that can be picked up by the entire economy” CBK Governor



Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#934 Posted : Monday, July 27, 2015 10:45:45 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,225
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
muganda wrote:
“We do understand the risks and the problems that would come from targeting a rate. We definitely want to be sure that if there is movement in the rate, it is smooth, gradual and something that can be picked up by the entire economy” CBK Governor




Throwing in the towel? Renminbi clearing house now our saving grace
@SufficientlyP
hisah
#935 Posted : Saturday, August 01, 2015 5:18:59 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Kenya inflation falls unexpectedly in July on lower food prices

Low inflation, high interest rates, econ macros out of sync...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#936 Posted : Wednesday, August 05, 2015 6:03:37 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Hikes paused. CBR maintained at 11.50% with next meeting slated in September.

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
murchr
#937 Posted : Wednesday, August 12, 2015 5:30:22 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Read if you have time
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
hisah
#938 Posted : Wednesday, August 12, 2015 7:33:04 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Expensive fuel will be a tough sell dear ERC and oil honchos. Things will grind to a halt. Don't be surprised when they do...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#939 Posted : Friday, August 14, 2015 12:52:53 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Central Bank Rate - 11.50%
Interbank Rate - 24.0373% as at 13/08/2015
91 Day T-Bill - 11.49% as at 17/08/2015
Inflation Rate - 6.62% for Jul 2015
Lending Rate - 15.26% for May 2015
Savings Rate - 1.48% for May 2015
Deposit Rate - 6.55% for May 2015
KBRR - 9.87% as at 07/07/2015

Everything is pretty distorted here!
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#940 Posted : Friday, August 14, 2015 1:58:23 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
hisah wrote:
KES/UGX - Muscular, very bullish KES
KES/TZS - Bullish KES
USD/KES - bearish KES
USD/UGX - strong bear UGX
USD/TZS - strong bear TZS

KE trades a lot with UG. Meaning UG needs a lot more UGX to exchange for KES. Impact KE goods are now more expensive thus they'll cut back on KE imports as well as USD imports. Same case for TZ.

KE econ in a slump, facing expensive USD, with expensive KES reducing UG/TZ export trade. Is anyone seeing what's coming?? CBK can't solve this equation with rate hikes. Treasury ministry gone bonkers! Unless bernanke literally pours USD from his helicopter in KE to save that widening current account deficit.

This will be tough to watch Pray

Why Uhuru has stuck to controversial deals with Museveni

Image courtesy on Business Daily KE

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
263 Pages«<9293949596>»
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