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How to tell NSE has topped/Maxed out.
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murchr
#151 Posted : Thursday, July 16, 2015 5:27:24 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Aguytrying wrote:
murchr wrote:
Metasploit #41 Posted : Friday, September 26, 2014 3:31:12 PM wrote:
murchr wrote:
hisah wrote:
Britam - 2yr chart shows strong rejection from the 40/- zone level. Chartists will tell that the coming correction will not be gentle...



Equity - 2yr chart says thin sim or no thin sim, upside is very limited!



Centum - 2yr chart. This is my favourite coz it's such a nice selloff bazooka cocktail which will leave serious hangover side-effects for late the party-goers. Best bull trap setup at the NSE so far!



I will be waiting for those lessons learnt tales. And they'll be plenty as the trapped realize the pretty shiny golden handcuffs just work like the normal handcuffs.






Interesting .... waiting for the lessons. smile


LONG SHOOTING STAR CANDLESTICK FOR THE THREE



I think this is my post of the year.

@murchr. Is it still a correction according to you?


Of my holdings the only one getting a beating is HFCK, the rest are as expected.

Kengen - price range (7-9) will remain constant until after the rights.

Safcom, EABL, KPLC, Liberty, KNRE Co-op - normal movements no major change.

There were those who were floating with the tide, we can clearly see them naked (BRITAM)
Aguy you were here when we were freezing in 2011 its not the same I remember guys telling us to go look at nse.co.ke and indeed there was real blood..i've not yet seen all counters in the red this time (or did I miss it). When that happens wake me up.




"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
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Othelo
#152 Posted : Thursday, July 16, 2015 5:41:47 PM
Rank: User

Joined: 1/20/2014
Posts: 3,528
Let us wait for @mnandii waves in the Elliot's thread to roughly see the direction!!!
Formal education will make you a living. Self-education will make you a fortune - Jim Rohn.
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Aguytrying
#153 Posted : Friday, July 17, 2015 12:16:25 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
@murchur. We haven't yet reached the blood bath of 2011, but that is where we are heading... according to the experts. When the big 3 are pulled down i guess it will become very clear.
Ie. safcom- this time it has gone below 16.00 and boy has it taken many others down with it. coz in the first round from 5100-4900 it barely moved.

the other 2 are equity and Kcb. when they join the party proper it will be awesome.

whatever it is. get your cheque book ready
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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murchr
#154 Posted : Friday, July 17, 2015 2:38:12 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Aguytrying wrote:
@murchur. We haven't yet reached the blood bath of 2011, but that is where we are heading... according to the experts. When the big 3 are pulled down i guess it will become very clear.
Ie. safcom- this time it has gone below 16.00 and boy has it taken many others down with it. coz in the first round from 5100-4900 it barely moved.

the other 2 are equity and Kcb. when they join the party proper it will be awesome.

whatever it is. get your cheque book ready


"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
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mwekez@ji
#155 Posted : Friday, July 17, 2015 3:21:24 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
murchr wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
@murchur. We haven't yet reached the blood bath of 2011, but that is where we are heading... according to the experts. When the big 3 are pulled down i guess it will become very clear.
Ie. safcom- this time it has gone below 16.00 and boy has it taken many others down with it. coz in the first round from 5100-4900 it barely moved.

the other 2 are equity and Kcb. when they join the party proper it will be awesome.

whatever it is. get your cheque book ready




Aiming 3000 by year end?
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Othelo
#156 Posted : Friday, July 17, 2015 3:57:23 PM
Rank: User

Joined: 1/20/2014
Posts: 3,528
mwekez@ji wrote:
murchr wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
@murchur. We haven't yet reached the blood bath of 2011, but that is where we are heading... according to the experts. When the big 3 are pulled down i guess it will become very clear.
Ie. safcom- this time it has gone below 16.00 and boy has it taken many others down with it. coz in the first round from 5100-4900 it barely moved.

the other 2 are equity and Kcb. when they join the party proper it will be awesome.

whatever it is. get your cheque book ready




Aiming 3000 by year end?

3000 is too low, if just below 4000 will be massive hit!
Formal education will make you a living. Self-education will make you a fortune - Jim Rohn.
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murchr
#157 Posted : Friday, July 17, 2015 5:53:03 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
mwekez@ji wrote:
murchr wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
@murchur. We haven't yet reached the blood bath of 2011, but that is where we are heading... according to the experts. When the big 3 are pulled down i guess it will become very clear.
Ie. safcom- this time it has gone below 16.00 and boy has it taken many others down with it. coz in the first round from 5100-4900 it barely moved.

the other 2 are equity and Kcb. when they join the party proper it will be awesome.

whatever it is. get your cheque book ready




Aiming 3000 by year end?


That would take us back to 2011. Anyway..If you play with the NSE20 5yr chart from Bloomberg you will notice that these numbers were last seen in July/14 . Safcom last traded at 15.1x in Feb/15. Of the NSE20 those pulling down the index are 1. NMG 2.BRITAM which have lost close to half if not more than their value. As for the banks, KCB is 15% from its high of 65 EQT 32% down (golden handcuffs) and Co-op is about 8%. Honestly, I dont see KCB going down further. But I could be wrong.
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
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hisah
#158 Posted : Friday, July 17, 2015 6:38:10 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
murchr wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
murchr wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
@murchur. We haven't yet reached the blood bath of 2011, but that is where we are heading... according to the experts. When the big 3 are pulled down i guess it will become very clear.
Ie. safcom- this time it has gone below 16.00 and boy has it taken many others down with it. coz in the first round from 5100-4900 it barely moved.

the other 2 are equity and Kcb. when they join the party proper it will be awesome.

whatever it is. get your cheque book ready




Aiming 3000 by year end?


That would take us back to 2011. Anyway..If you play with the NSE20 5yr chart from Bloomberg you will notice that these numbers were last seen in July/14 . Safcom last traded at 15.1x in Feb/15. Of the NSE20 those pulling down the index are 1. NMG 2.BRITAM which have lost close to half if not more than their value. As for the banks, KCB is 15% from its high of 65 EQT 32% down (golden handcuffs) and Co-op is about 8%. Honestly, I dont see KCB going down further. But I could be wrong.

NSE20 closed @4638. The entire 2014 rally has been erased in a few weeks @murchr. The slippery acceleration will catch people off guard as 4400 is tested! The CB has unleashed a bazooka in a gun fight! The carnage will not be funny!
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#159 Posted : Friday, July 17, 2015 6:44:02 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Britam closed @16.90. Critical support at 17 - 17.50 is not stemming off the sellers. This will get ugly! The way this thing is sliding is quite alarming!
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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murchr
#160 Posted : Friday, July 17, 2015 6:52:30 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
hisah wrote:
murchr wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
murchr wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
@murchur. We haven't yet reached the blood bath of 2011, but that is where we are heading... according to the experts. When the big 3 are pulled down i guess it will become very clear.
Ie. safcom- this time it has gone below 16.00 and boy has it taken many others down with it. coz in the first round from 5100-4900 it barely moved.

the other 2 are equity and Kcb. when they join the party proper it will be awesome.

whatever it is. get your cheque book ready




Aiming 3000 by year end?


That would take us back to 2011. Anyway..If you play with the NSE20 5yr chart from Bloomberg you will notice that these numbers were last seen in July/14 . Safcom last traded at 15.1x in Feb/15. Of the NSE20 those pulling down the index are 1. NMG 2.BRITAM which have lost close to half if not more than their value. As for the banks, KCB is 15% from its high of 65 EQT 32% down (golden handcuffs) and Co-op is about 8%. Honestly, I dont see KCB going down further. But I could be wrong.

NSE20 closed @4638. The entire 2014 rally has been erased in a few weeks @murchr. The slippery acceleration will catch people off guard as 4400 is tested! The CB has unleashed a bazooka in a gun fight! The carnage will not be funny!


The index hit 5K points in Nov if we're to co-relate those are still few wks from July. Same time last yr guys here were singing this same chorus...CB will fail miserably by the way. My view is that foreigners bringing in $$ are in for bargains those selling could be doing it at a loss given that KES has lost value. The losers in the market are over priced.
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
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