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How to tell NSE has topped/Maxed out.
Aguytrying
#131 Posted : Thursday, July 09, 2015 11:55:04 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
hisah wrote:
Is that britam below 20 handle? Geez! Closed @18.75. Sit tight! Meanwhile NSE20 slumped 1.1% yesterday closing at 4762 in response to that CBK shock hike after rebounding to 4900 from 4745. Irrational selling period coming up!


I'm sitting tight with a chunk In bills/mmf as I wait. It's surprising to see britam descending so fast. Season 2 of fat tails buying time. No hurry like u say
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
littledove
#132 Posted : Friday, July 10, 2015 9:00:59 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 7/1/2014
Posts: 927
Location: sky
Othelo wrote:
Many Wanjikus will get ulcers central by end of 2015 since the market is dipping slowly slowly, slow punctures. They will realise the slide later than late!!!

smile the bear arrived long time ago, its only that it was feeding on some appetisers before embarking on a major feast! some counters have already lost more than 30% from their peak and during those peak they traded heavy volumes. or how do you explain somebody who bought carbacid at above 60 and now 18, EA portland at above 110 and now its 55, britam at above 35 and now 18, cic at above 12 and now 7.60, HF at above 50 now 27, transcentury at above 30 now 13, uchumi at above 20 now 8, cfc above 150 etc only less than 5 blue chips are holding the index thus making many not to realize the impact
There are only two emotions in the stock market, fear and hope. The problem is, you hope when you should fear and fear when you should hope
mlennyma
#133 Posted : Friday, July 10, 2015 12:04:14 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,194
Location: nairobi
None of my stocks has lost from my entry points,can i sell instead of praising myself?when is the market preparing to beat me??
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
citymayor
#134 Posted : Friday, July 10, 2015 1:41:49 PM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 2/15/2012
Posts: 29
Location: unimportant
littledove wrote:
Othelo wrote:
Many Wanjikus will get ulcers central by end of 2015 since the market is dipping slowly slowly, slow punctures. They will realise the slide later than late!!!

smile the bear arrived long time ago, its only that it was feeding on some appetisers before embarking on a major feast! some counters have already lost more than 30% from their peak and during those peak they traded heavy volumes. or how do you explain somebody who bought carbacid at above 60 and now 18, EA portland at above 110 and now its 55, britam at above 35 and now 18, cic at above 12 and now 7.60, HF at above 50 now 27, transcentury at above 30 now 13, uchumi at above 20 now 8, cfc above 150 etc only less than 5 blue chips are holding the index thus making many not to realize the impact


often overlooked, volume analysis is a proven method of looking at the general direction of the market. Selling pressure continues by glancing at the RSI(37)
A look at the 2 year daily chart of the NSE-20 share index: NVI(smart money) is trading below its 255 day SMA, likewise is the PVI(crowd followers/wanjikus). The probability of a bear market from these 2 observations is 53% and 67% respectively.
*Created by Norman Fosback in the mid 70’s, it is worth noting that the PVI can give you fairly good indications of the market condition at a glance depending on whether it is above or below its yearly average.

You can read more on Fosback’s observations here
The Emotional Dog and Its Rational Tail
murchr
#135 Posted : Sunday, July 12, 2015 8:06:00 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Watch the markets for some interesting activities these coming weeks.
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
jawgey
#136 Posted : Sunday, July 12, 2015 9:38:15 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/13/2014
Posts: 398
Location: Denmark
murchr wrote:
Watch the markets for some interesting activities these coming weeks.


I hate this term 'interesting' which is very consistent with jimnah mbaru remarks at the start of the year.
Seeing is believing
winmak
#137 Posted : Monday, July 13, 2015 1:33:58 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 12/1/2007
Posts: 539
Location: Nakuru
jawgey wrote:
murchr wrote:
Watch the markets for some interesting activities these coming weeks.


I hate this term 'interesting' which is very consistent with jimnah mbaru remarks at the start of the year.


Generates heat in the belly but sheds no light on any direction
For investors as a whole, returns decrease as motion increases ~ WB
mlennyma
#138 Posted : Monday, July 13, 2015 2:55:13 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,194
Location: nairobi
winmak wrote:
jawgey wrote:
murchr wrote:
Watch the markets for some interesting activities these coming weeks.


I hate this term 'interesting' which is very consistent with jimnah mbaru remarks at the start of the year.


Generates heat in the belly but sheds no light on any direction

basing on jimna mbaru and what the market state is now,you should be able to define what interesting meanssmile
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
obiero
#139 Posted : Tuesday, July 14, 2015 10:42:58 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,226
Location: nairobi
samaki imeharibika kutoka kichwa.. KCB at 54

VituVingiSana
#140 Posted : Wednesday, July 15, 2015 2:38:10 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,349
Location: Nairobi
obiero wrote:
samaki imeharibika kutoka kichwa.. KCB at 54

And your buddies at KQ can't catch a break.
http://www.businessdaily...60/-/2w68ys/-/index.html
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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