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Is Our Broke Governments Obsessive Money Printing Keeping Foreign Investors Away
Much Know
#1 Posted : Tuesday, March 02, 2010 9:11:51 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/6/2008
Posts: 3,548
In my opinion, our government has become so broke and is printing too much money,indicators are:-
1. 25% increase in money pumped into the economy over the last 6months from CBK weekly reports.
2. Declining Forex reserves despite fall in oil prices, increase in tourist arrivals, increase in remittances, increase in coffee and tea prices, November to January increase in foreign investors at NSE and so on.

Foreign investors try to take advantage of the twin gains on the stock market and currency of an emerging economy where they get higher returns than in their own markets because of this twin gain effect. But it seems in Kenya, all the gains are being used to pay the 40 members of cabinet, pay for the problems caused by Ministry of Education e.t.c and the shilling continues to drop, ama is this pseudo economics?
A New Kenya
VituVingiSana
#2 Posted : Tuesday, March 02, 2010 9:34:25 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,098
Location: Nairobi
So what's new?
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Much Know
#3 Posted : Tuesday, March 02, 2010 9:46:49 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/6/2008
Posts: 3,548
Are we the next greece albeit a small fish borrowing to feed people?Sad
A New Kenya
VituVingiSana
#4 Posted : Tuesday, March 02, 2010 9:56:27 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,098
Location: Nairobi
No... we are not Greece coz no-one will lend to us that much cash!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Much Know
#5 Posted : Tuesday, March 02, 2010 10:34:34 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/6/2008
Posts: 3,548
@VVS what is the outlook? I mean even the kawaida man uses the strength of their currency to somewhat judge where the economy is headed other factors not withstanding, in the past it has worked quite well to a large degree. Look at the gains in agricultural sector(our mainstay) having nil effect? Say some of the money is being used on constructing thika/mombasa road, would we still be headed down, are the growth projections of kitu 4% realistic under the circumstances?, has the economy been misread to the degree that we are headed for trouble. Foreigners are very sensitive to such, they know it before we do. Is the spending on the balance positive or negative? Is it time to pull out like the foreigners have done? Or should the government urgently control its spending even more to avoid inflation, just a bit nervous, tell me there is no reason to be nervous?
A New Kenya
guru267
#6 Posted : Tuesday, March 02, 2010 10:41:14 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
i think the 25% increase in cash supply may just be GOK trying to stimulate our DEAD economy by loosening monetary policy and fiscal...

provided they keep this spending in check according to economic models eg(capital and reproductive expenditure increases) i think this is good for the economy rather than GOK going broke...
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
Scubidu
#7 Posted : Tuesday, March 02, 2010 12:22:39 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 9/4/2009
Posts: 700
Location: Nairobi
@much know. check out the US situation. The article below is really interesting taking about the states never going broke, but expecting to always attract foreigners.

http://pragcap.com/us-default
“We are the middle children of history man, no purpose or place. We have no great war, no great depression. Our great war is a spiritual war, our great depression is our lives!" – Tyler Durden
Wa_ithaka
#8 Posted : Tuesday, March 02, 2010 1:08:02 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 1/7/2010
Posts: 1,279
Location: nbi
Somebody is smoking mushrooms. Again.

States do go broke. Too many to mention, but think Mexico, Argentina, Indonesia,
The Governor of Nyeri - 2017
muganda
#9 Posted : Tuesday, March 02, 2010 1:46:00 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/15/2006
Posts: 3,905
Aren't the US printing much more money than we are? Going by this, we may soon find foreign investors coming from countries where our own printing is small time...

This stimulus bug will is another bubble.
Wa_ithaka
#10 Posted : Thursday, March 04, 2010 4:27:27 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 1/7/2010
Posts: 1,279
Location: nbi
Muganda-the americano has a much larger economy. Or so he says...
The Governor of Nyeri - 2017
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