mnandii wrote:Erh! Ahem!
I think this worry about USDKES exchange rate is misplaced. Me believes there is no way the previous high of 108 Kes to USD will be breached. Kes will rise strongly against the USD soon!
I had posted this chart of the Exchange rate earlier this year. By then I was looking for the Kes to weaken.
The weakness should complete soon. Then we go below 70 Kes to 1 Dollar.
Actually, the reason I say 108 level shld not be broken is the wave 1 in the chart (which I label as impulse). The fall from the all-time high of 108 to about 82 is clearly an impulse wave. The weakness in the Kes we are experiencing now is a wave 2, a counter-trend rally. Second waves can never retrace more than 100% of first waves!
So, expect Kes to strengthen against the Dollar in the coming months.
NB: Another
good reason why I don't expect 108 to be breached is the
mood surrounding the weakening shilling.
Everybody is crying and lamenting how the future for the Kes is bleak.
This is pre-requisite for a turn!
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.