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Portfolio recommendations from Brokers
Gatheuzi
#351 Posted : Tuesday, April 21, 2015 6:46:14 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 8/16/2009
Posts: 994
Can't agree more especially on KRE, ARM and SCAN which are 3 of the 4 counters I currently hold. The forth one is KENO.

ARM will also benefit from conversion of short term to long term debts in the current plan they are working on with CFCStanbic.

Scan plans to reduce depedency on Kenyan Market which in 2013 accounted for around 80% of revenues. It also wants to increase percentage of digital advertising, Research and PR thereby reducing dependency on media advertising. In 2013 their investment income was down 75% due to lower interest rates and use of cash to finance acquisitions. In Nigeria they had issues with one firm associated with Ogilvy but the other one firm was doing well there.

Time is money, so money is time. Money saved is time gained in reverse! Money stores your life’s energy. You expend your energy, get paid money, and store that money for a future purchase made in a currency.
Gatheuzi
#352 Posted : Tuesday, April 21, 2015 10:51:35 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 8/16/2009
Posts: 994
Pesa Nane wrote:
Quote:
SUNTRA WEEKLY INSIGHT - APRIL 20, 2015.

MARKET WATCH

Uchumi..........SELL..........Kshs 10.25

Weak correlation between branch expansion and revenue growth, implying poor branch positioning and inferior layout and offering. Expansion into smaller towns is unlikely to give the supermarket company the customer demand needed to drive revenues. Uchumi is yet to benefit form the devolved government structure. Finance cost went up 2 times after the supermarket borrowed Kshs 600 M repayable within one year and this will strain
the workng capital of Uchumi.


What a good way to describe Uchumi. I saw a branch coming up in Limuru (it is the size of Jipange in Thika Road. I then looked oposite the road and noticed that Tuskys are putting up a Mega (of sorts) branch. Even a mad man will tell you that Uchumi will in no way compete with that giant in such close proximity.
Time is money, so money is time. Money saved is time gained in reverse! Money stores your life’s energy. You expend your energy, get paid money, and store that money for a future purchase made in a currency.
Pesa Nane
#353 Posted : Friday, May 01, 2015 6:19:18 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 5/25/2012
Posts: 4,105
Location: 08c
Source AIB Capital

Weekly Stock Recommendations: Week of 27th April 2015

Quote:
CENTUM-BUY at Ksh 60 and below
Recently acquired 10,000 acres of land at a cost of approximately Ksh 2 billion in Vipingo, Kilifi County.

The company has 66% shareholding in K-rep bank.

Centum has partnered with Gulf Energy to execute the Lamu 960 mw coal power plant tender.

CMA issued asset management licenses, therefore increasing services offered. Targeting Kes 30bn of Assets under management in 2014. Plans to increase geographical footprint to the rest of Africa with a target of at least 50% of the portfolio outside Kenya.

The company’s intends to further diversify into the agricultural and power sector, key growth sectors in Sub Saharan Africa.

We expect good performance for the company in the financial year 2015. Results expected around June 2015.
Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
Pesa Nane
#354 Posted : Friday, May 01, 2015 6:28:54 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 5/25/2012
Posts: 4,105
Location: 08c
Source AIB Capital

Weekly Stock Recommendations: Week of 27th April 2015

Quote:
Housing Finance- BUY, Target price Kes 45.39
The group’s profit before tax was at Ksh 1.4 billion in 2014, similar to results announced in 2013 weighed down by heavy investment in building human resource to support the banking strategy; investment in the core banking system and the branch expansion. Net loans and
advances grew 28% to Ksh 45 billion from Ksh Ksh 35 billion in 2013

KBS is expected to further boost earnings in the current financial year with the completion of Precious gardens phase one; Kahawa Downs , Komarock phase 2 and K Mall to be completed in 2015

The Company raised Ksh 3.5 billion during the rights issue to fund the growth and expansion plans. The expansion of housing finance branch network is also expected to provide increased opportunities for
mobilizing lower costs deposits to finance growth.

We expect good growth in earnings in the current financial year as contributions from the subsidiaries are expected to increase significantly.


* Komarock Phase 2 is an error. Should be Komarock Phase 5B
* Also SunCity Mall to be completed in 2015
* County Expansion to 30 branches from current 16
* Ground breaking of Komarock Phase 5c at the tail end of 2015
Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
Pesa Nane
#355 Posted : Friday, May 01, 2015 6:33:08 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 5/25/2012
Posts: 4,105
Location: 08c
Source AIB Capital

Weekly Stock Recommendations: Week of 27th April 2015

Quote:
EQUITY BANK, BUY at Ksh 47 and below

The group’s profit after tax increased by 28% to Ksh 17 billion from Ksh 13 billion in 2013 with a 36% growth in loan book to Ksh 26.2 billion 2014 and a 41% growth in Total Assets to Ksh 70.7 billion in 2014.

Equity bank is planning to expand to 10 other countries in Africa which has seen it take up Ksh 36 billion in Loans and creating approximately 400 million new
shares.

We expect a dilution and an increase in finance costs as a result of the new loans and additional shares. We however, expect this to be outweighed by the benefits that will accrue from regional expansion in the long-run.

The share price has dropped to the lowest levels this year at Ksh 47 which we believe is a good entry point.
Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
Pesa Nane
#356 Posted : Friday, May 01, 2015 6:39:52 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 5/25/2012
Posts: 4,105
Location: 08c
Source AIB Capital

Weekly Stock Recommendations: Week of 27th April 2015

Quote:
COOP BANK- BUY
The group reported a profit before tax of Ksh 10.92 billion same level of profitability as in the previous year after removing a one off staff retrenchment cost of Ksh 1.34 billion. The bank expects to save at least Ksh 500 million annually out of this rationalization.

Profit after tax was Ksh 8 billion compared to Ksh 9.1 billion previous year on account of a higher tax bracket of 30% from 20% the previous year. Asset book rose 31% Interest income 20% and non funded income 17%.

The bank engaged Mc Kinsey and company to undertake “growth and efficiency review”. We expect a reduction in operating expenses as a result of the costs
cutting measures employed. Management estimates a reduction in the cost to income ratio to 53% in 2015 and below 50% by 2017, 30% reduction of cost of funds
by 2015, growth of atleast 30% in 2015. We expect improved profitability in 2015.

Expected to announce the first quarter results end of this month.
Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
Pesa Nane
#357 Posted : Friday, May 01, 2015 6:44:40 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 5/25/2012
Posts: 4,105
Location: 08c
Source AIB Capital

Weekly Stock Recommendations: Week of 27th April 2015

Quote:
CFC BANK- BUY, Target price Kes 144

Net interest income went up 12.2% to Kes 8.5 billion, Non-interest income went down 3% to Kes 8.41 billion, Net loans and advances were also down 2.5% to Kes 101 billion.

Recently raised Kshs 4 billion through a bonds issue aimed at accelerating its project financing mainly concentrated in power, infrastructure and commodities as
well as to increase its branch network.

We expect a growth rate of 11.45% in E.P.S in 2015 translating to an E.P.S of Kes 16.03.
Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
Pesa Nane
#358 Posted : Friday, May 01, 2015 6:48:22 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 5/25/2012
Posts: 4,105
Location: 08c
Source AIB Capital

Weekly Stock Recommendations: Week of 27th April 2015

Quote:
NIC BANK- BUY, target price 77
In its 2014 results, Net interest income rose 10% to Ksh 8 billion, Non interest income was up 11% to 3.6 bn, Loans and advances were up 22% to 102 billion and Profit after tax rose 27% to Ksh 4.1 billion.

The Company plans to increase its country wide presence by opening more branches as well as focus on regional expansion. We therefore expect increased revenues from the loan book growth and from new business.

The Company recently opened a new leasing subsidiary, NIC Leasing Limited Liability Partnership, in a bid to tap into the the growing leasing market. It has partnered with Mercantile Finance which it too fully owned and is a subsidiary to the Bank.

The company is currently trading at a P/E of X8.06 against the sector average of X10.40, with an EPS of Ksh 7.07.

Pray
Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
Pesa Nane
#359 Posted : Friday, May 01, 2015 7:07:17 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 5/25/2012
Posts: 4,105
Location: 08c
Source AIB Capital

Weekly Stock Recommendations: Week of 27th April 2015

Quote:
KENYA RE -BUY
The company’s profit after tax went up 12% in 2014 to Ksh 3.12 billion from Ksh 2.79 billion in 2013. Its gross written premiums grew by Ksh 11.5 billion as
a result of overall insurance premium growth in Kenya and the rest of Africa where the corporation derives the bulk of its revenues.

Investment income also rose 14% to Ksh 2.6 billion from Ksh 2.3 billion with major drivers for growth being earnings from fixed income instruments and
rental income.

The corporation continues to earn new business shares and enjoy tremendous support from cedants across the chosen markets.

In Kenya undewriters are now required to cede 20% of reinsurance business, up from the current 18% following an increase by the government. The government has also extended the duration for the mandatory Cessions by 5years to 2020 securing a steady flow of business for the next five years.

The company is currently trading below book value, at a P/B of 0.67X
Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
Pesa Nane
#360 Posted : Friday, May 01, 2015 7:13:10 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 5/25/2012
Posts: 4,105
Location: 08c
Source AIB Capital

Weekly Stock Recommendations: Week of 27th April 2015

Quote:
CIC Insurance- BUY at Kshs 9

The group reported a drop 16.5% drop in Profit after tax in 2014 to Ksh 1 billion from Ksh 1.3 billion in 2013 due to increases in claims particularly on the medical business. Assets increased 39% to Ksh 23.7
billion

The company has hired financial consultancy firm Deloitte to advise on the restructuring of the Company after its 2014 performance. The move is aimed at cutting costs and boosting the insurers efficiency.

CIC is the leading provider of micro insurance in the region, capitalizing on strategic partnerships with banks, Sacco’s and monetary financial Institutions with alternative distribution channels such as Bancassurance and agency banking to increase micro-insurance on penetration with products more tailored to the low income population. Regional expansion and real estate projects also expected to boost its revenues.

We hold a Long-term positive view on the counter based on the vast potential for micro insurance in Kenya and the regional economies.
Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
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