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Investment in shares in a politically charged Country is for steel hearted
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sheep
#11 Posted : Wednesday, February 24, 2010 6:06:52 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 7/24/2008
Posts: 781
What a bad time to bail out of the NSE just as all technical indicators are looking up.We might go sideways for the better part of this year but the trajectory is up...maybe near 5000pts by 2012 feel free to ignore politics coz what is widely expected to happen by the majority is usually discounted by the smart money,a small blip to trick wishy washy investors will definitely occur and we will sail to new utopia then something drastic,sudden and unexpected occurs and catches majority of investors on the wrong side and usher in a beginning of new sorrows.
The utimate goal of investing is to buy low sell high;if we re-write this core equation in psychology terms it becomes buy fear sell greed.
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mv_ufanisi
#12 Posted : Wednesday, February 24, 2010 6:27:55 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/15/2010
Posts: 625
@Fundaah, you have a point. History shows that it is likely that a politically charged environment may lead to bloodletting. There is always the lull before the storm. Rwanda had a mini-genocide before the actual genocide. The prudent investor should diversify from such a risky market and have a safety net through diversification to less risky markets.
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VituVingiSana
#13 Posted : Wednesday, February 24, 2010 6:50:55 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,349
Location: Nairobi
In Africa... the truth is that you should have 'alternates' just in case...

Look at Kenya in 2007-8... I was fully invested... and even put in more during the lull in Jan 2008 thinking the blood-letting would not escalate...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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cnn
#14 Posted : Wednesday, February 24, 2010 8:12:44 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 6/17/2009
Posts: 1,627
@fudaah,when you are back i will sell to you what i am buying now at a premium.
The Agriculture counters seem to be picking up,if they could just realise their NAVs....
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VituVingiSana
#15 Posted : Wednesday, February 24, 2010 8:23:47 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,349
Location: Nairobi
cnn wrote:
@fudaah,when you are back i will sell to you what i am buying now at a premium.
The Agriculture counters seem to be picking up,if they could just realise their NAVs....

LOL... These firm should just sell the land to GoK at a fair price & be done!

Look at the land that these firms have... perhaps the IDPs can be re-settled there?
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Fundaah
#16 Posted : Wednesday, February 24, 2010 9:43:51 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 11/19/2008
Posts: 1,267
Cnn...before you brag..this 'it's time to buy' song has been here since late 2008....
If you are in the market for a long time say next 5 years ....you may gain but from now to January 2012...if you are faint hearted look for alternative channels to put your money.... otherwise take a comprehensive insurance for your health...
Isaiah 65:17-Look! I am creating new heavens and a new earth, and no one will even think about the old ones anymore
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Fundaah
#17 Posted : Wednesday, February 24, 2010 9:57:51 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 11/19/2008
Posts: 1,267
VituVingiSana wrote:
In Africa... the truth is that you should have 'alternates' just in case...

Look at Kenya in 2007-8... I was fully invested... and even put in more during the lull in Jan 2008 thinking the blood-letting would not escalate...


I like this.
Isaiah 65:17-Look! I am creating new heavens and a new earth, and no one will even think about the old ones anymore
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sheep
#18 Posted : Wednesday, February 24, 2010 10:25:32 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 7/24/2008
Posts: 781
If I could recall,the PEV didn't affect the market much.The lowest it got was 4500 and then levitated to 5500.I was greatly surprised by the resilience of the market then,it is only after the US financial crisis that things began to unfold...reasons are always there to justify personal beliefs.
The utimate goal of investing is to buy low sell high;if we re-write this core equation in psychology terms it becomes buy fear sell greed.
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ecstacy
#19 Posted : Wednesday, February 24, 2010 10:48:45 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2008
Posts: 4,449
It works both ways. So..as an example...if the Draft Constitution passes the referendum (which it likely will), what do you imagine is the effect on the NSE?...
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cnn
#20 Posted : Wednesday, February 24, 2010 11:06:58 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 6/17/2009
Posts: 1,627
@fundaah,we have choices so i will buy on each month like i have for the last six years,the rewards have been great in most cases and i can survive the few hiccups.Patience and resilience are key, the crisis of late 08 to early last year has taught me this.If you must have your money over night dont put it on the NSE.Bail out if you must,there are other rooms but the kitchen.
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