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stock picking
kenmac
#1 Posted : Sunday, February 21, 2010 9:46:08 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 5/26/2009
Posts: 1,793
>> What methods do you use to estimate the true value of a stock to know whethe its overvalued or undervalued in stock markets?....any resources on this subject are welcome.
......Ecclesiastes
guru267
#2 Posted : Monday, February 22, 2010 9:15:25 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
@kenmac this is a very strange question to ask because there are so many ways of valuing stocks..
i would suggest a few ways for example P/E ratios, Net Asset Value.. but these valuation methods are supposed to be backed up with a lot of financial knowledge of the way markets operate...

so to you i can best suggest that you join a unit trust or talk to a broker extensively because if you play this game without the right knowledge.. you WILL get burned
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
Gordon Gekko
#3 Posted : Monday, February 22, 2010 10:44:12 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 5/27/2008
Posts: 3,760
Tried, tested and proven. 1) Write down all listed companies on pieces of paper. 2)Place the pieces in a sufuria. 3) Decide the number of companies you want to buy into. 4) Pick as many pieces of paper from the sufuria as the number of companies you want to buy into. 5) Place order with your broker. There is no better method than that this.
VituVingiSana
#4 Posted : Monday, February 22, 2010 10:45:25 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,056
Location: Nairobi
@GG - I prefer throwing darts... more entertaining...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
guru267
#5 Posted : Monday, February 22, 2010 10:55:46 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
@gordon and @VVS...
y'all are "crazy"... Liar are you trying to get this guy roasted from head to toe on the NSE???
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
Wa_ithaka
#6 Posted : Monday, February 22, 2010 11:23:27 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 1/7/2010
Posts: 1,279
Location: nbi
Put a finger on it.
Failing that, get off your fat backside, do some research on company fundamentals, do your research on Kenya's economic prospects and then invest...
The Governor of Nyeri - 2017
stock.enigma
#7 Posted : Monday, February 22, 2010 12:05:51 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 8/14/2009
Posts: 244
@kenmak

The easiest way to start is to buy into a company which you admire a)what it does, or b)the CEO. try that this week and report your progress
Chaka
#8 Posted : Monday, February 22, 2010 12:21:55 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/16/2007
Posts: 2,114
@Kenmac,
This is what I do whenever I have spare cash:
Buy shares in companies manufacturing products or providing services that you use i.e if you love beer then have some EABL,If you love tea go Mumias,If you like talking on your mobile and you are on Safcom get some Safcom as well,since you cannot do without power get some Kengen and KPLC....but I do this for the long term
RichVee
#9 Posted : Monday, February 22, 2010 1:13:35 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 1/26/2010
Posts: 124
As a beginner, I found these recources (see below) helpful. Not specifically to tell whether a stock is overvalued or undervalued, but nevertheless very useful in getting a clearer understanding.

From what I have read so far, if there was anyone that knew exactly how to tell, there would be nothing left for the rest of us ordinary folk to buy. So do yourself a favor and do some research, learn about the companies that are listed, study the historical trends then go by what your (informed) gut feel directs.

http://www.investmentguide.co.uk/shares1.htm
http://www.wisegeek.com/...-when-buying-stocks.htm


Tired of mediocrity. Am going to the very top!
Njung'e
#10 Posted : Monday, February 22, 2010 2:15:21 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/7/2007
Posts: 11,935
Location: Nairobi
@Wa-ithaka,
Long before anything,you do some reading about stocks.Much of this information is available on the internet.....thereafter,you can research....and for heaven's sake,don't put your money on a microscope or two...lol
Nothing great was ever achieved without enthusiasm.
2012
#11 Posted : Monday, February 22, 2010 3:13:08 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/9/2009
Posts: 6,592
Location: Nairobi
Gordon Gekko wrote:
2)Place the pieces in a sufuria.


I know nothing can replace sufurias as we all know they are low risk high return but supposing I don't have one, which container comes a distant second?

BBI will solve it
:)
BGL
#12 Posted : Monday, February 22, 2010 3:16:46 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 10/11/2009
Posts: 1,223
A pot.
History will not remember you for your IQ. It will remember you for what you did. “Genius is 1 percent inspiration, 99 percent perspiration.” Thomas Edison
sparkly
#13 Posted : Monday, February 22, 2010 7:07:15 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
I know of no one way of choosing stocks. One way i know not to choose stocks is to jump into a stock where everyone else is jumping into.
Life is short. Live passionately.
Kaufman
#14 Posted : Monday, February 22, 2010 11:52:38 PM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 1/29/2010
Posts: 23
I buy major players in different sectors.
I like the financial sector more, they seem to
always rake profits.
guru267
#15 Posted : Tuesday, February 23, 2010 5:38:53 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
2012 wrote:

I know nothing can replace sufurias as we all know they are low risk high return but supposing I don't have one, which container comes a distant second?


what??
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
guru267
#16 Posted : Tuesday, February 23, 2010 5:41:29 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
@kenmac anything with a low p/e of less than 8times is a cheap stock except for agricultural stocks
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
Scubidu
#17 Posted : Tuesday, February 23, 2010 6:25:27 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 9/4/2009
Posts: 700
Location: Nairobi
@guru267. what's the significance of 8times p/e and why doesn't it apply to agriculturals?
“We are the middle children of history man, no purpose or place. We have no great war, no great depression. Our great war is a spiritual war, our great depression is our lives!" – Tyler Durden
2012
#18 Posted : Tuesday, February 23, 2010 6:40:54 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/9/2009
Posts: 6,592
Location: Nairobi
guru267 wrote:
@kenmac anything with a low p/e of less than 8times is a cheap stock except for agricultural stocks


Why 8 times?

BBI will solve it
:)
stock.enigma
#19 Posted : Tuesday, February 23, 2010 8:03:37 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 8/14/2009
Posts: 244
What of negative pe like KQ?
guru267
#20 Posted : Tuesday, February 23, 2010 9:14:54 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
Scubidu wrote:
@guru267. what's the significance of 8times p/e and why doesn't it apply to agriculturals?


@scubidu i say 8 times because a p/e of 8 and below is considered cheap by most analysts and there is huge chance for price increase if there is profit growth..
it doesnt work for agriculturals as these stocks tend to have low p/e due to extremely volatile earnings and lack of interest/demand by investors...
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
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